Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I make extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

My proprietary models can be accessed directly at www.qantrading.com

Quantitative Researcher

NVIDIA. Burry's Claims Miss The Forest For The Trees. The Real Issues Are Structural, Not Legal

The Cost of Running Hot: Nvidia's Warranty Reserves Spike 168%

How Much of Nvidia’s Demand Is Nvidia-Enabled?

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> started correcting at the end of October 2025. At the same time, in early November, SoftBank Group announced it was unloading all its NVDA stake. </li>
<li>SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son, speaking at an investment forum in Tokyo Monday,  revealed he was reluctant to sell SoftBank's Nvidia stake, but needed to raise cash for new AI investments.</li>
<li>Both companies are very oversold according to our models, NVDA has reached a point where is a good BUY, we present here a new analytics tool, to support this theory.</li>
</ul>



NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) started correcting at the end of October 2025. At the same time, in early November, SoftBank Group announced it was unloading all its NVDA stake. 
SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son, speaking at an investment forum in Tokyo Monday,  revealed he was reluctant to sell SoftBank's Nvidia stake, but needed to raise cash for new AI investments.
Both companies are very oversold according to our models, NVDA has reached a point where is a good BUY, we present here a new analytics tool, to support this theory.


NVIDIA Corp

NVDA Tactical Outlook: Time to BUY?