Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Advantest (6857) Bubble Watch: 1 Red Flag, 2 Green, 7 Yellow. You Decide.

[Quiddity Index] Oct25 Leaderboard for Nikkei 225 Mar26 Review; One In One Out Likely

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 Leaderboards; Probably One IN, One OUT

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Review: Shift (3697) In, Citizen Watch (7762) Out. Kokusai Misses

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Monday's huge post-election move in Nikkei 225 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a> caused Advantest to clear 10.00% realtime at day-end. Assuming nothing changes til end-Jan-2026, Advantest gets capped at end-Mar-2026</li>
<li>As of today, that would be roughly 1.6x ADV and US$2.75bn but it would be 10% of Max Real World Float. </li>
<li>This is far off but should stay on the radar. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> is close behind at 8.7%. 15+% outperformance would put it in capping territory too.  </li>
</ul>


Monday's huge post-election move in Nikkei 225 and Advantest Corp (6857 JP) caused Advantest to clear 10.00% realtime at day-end. Assuming nothing changes til end-Jan-2026, Advantest gets capped at end-Mar-2026
As of today, that would be roughly 1.6x ADV and US$2.75bn but it would be 10% of Max Real World Float. 
This is far off but should stay on the radar. Softbank Group (9984 JP) is close behind at 8.7%. 15+% outperformance would put it in capping territory too.  


[Quiddity Index] HUGE Rally Brings Advantest to Nikkei Capping Territory