Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

I am Raj - CA and CFA. A Buy-side analyst.

I cover BFSI, Autos, Tech, AI and several other sectors across geographies.
   
I am a CA and CFA, with 10+ years experience in fundamental equity research across buy-side and sell-side and across geographies.

My research process is fundamental driven, focused on the catalysts which would have a direct impact on a stocks performance and market valuation. These days, I look for names which have a clear mis-pricing evident in its valuation vs. fundamental business moats/ growth/ NAV. Fortunately, there are always such stories around. More importantly, the timeline of when the mis-pricing is resolved and what triggers this resolution is what interests me.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Sea Ltd’s current margin pressure is investment-driven, not price-war driven, with logistics expansion and loyalty programs weighing short-term but strengthening long-term platform economics.</li>
<li>Shopee monetization remains intact with scaling ads and stable take-rates, while Gaming and DFS provide stable earnings and growth support, reducing reliance on near-term e-commerce margin recovery.</li>
<li>At ~0.8x forward sales for Shopee, valuation is depressed; normalization toward 2.0x–2.8x supports ~60% base-case and ~90% upside potential.</li>
</ul>


Sea Ltd’s current margin pressure is investment-driven, not price-war driven, with logistics expansion and loyalty programs weighing short-term but strengthening long-term platform economics.
Shopee monetization remains intact with scaling ads and stable take-rates, while Gaming and DFS provide stable earnings and growth support, reducing reliance on near-term e-commerce margin recovery.
At ~0.8x forward sales for Shopee, valuation is depressed; normalization toward 2.0x–2.8x supports ~60% base-case and ~90% upside potential.


Sea Ltd (SE US): Shopee Trading at Trough Valuations