HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Osbert Tang is an equity analyst with over 20 years of experience with focuses on China transport, infrastructure, industrials and utilities sectors. He has been based in Shanghai since 2003, accumulated nearly 20 years of on-ground knowledge on the Chinese economy and financial markets, and has a wealth of contacts with China corporates and government entities. 

Osbert has received votes from top-tier institutional investors and has been a highly-ranked transport and infrastructure analyst in the Asiamoney, Institutional Investors and Greenwich surveys. In addition to his extensive experience with international investment banks including RBS, ABN AMRO (both served as Shanghai Chief Representative), Paribas Asia Equity, Maybank Kim Eng and DBS Securities, he has been a senior analyst with Moody’s Investors Service with focus on ratings of China infrastructure and related LGFV issuers. He has also worked in the area of strategic development at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited. 

Osbert holds a BBA from the Chinese University of Hong Kong, an MBA from the University of Texas at Austin and a MSSc in Applied Psychology from the City University of Hong Kong. He was accredited with the CFA charter in 1997, and is a member of both British Psychological Society and Hong Kong Psychological Society.

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SHEIN Global Pre-IPO: Key Positives and Negatives

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK)</a> has an ambitious IPO plan to raise HK$13.1bn. However, the volatile earnings record and challenging environment require a sizeable safety margin.</li>
<li>We project a 3-year EPS CAGR of -5.3% as profitability will only slightly recover next year. Yet, our forecasts may still be optimistic.</li>
<li>The maximum IPO price (HK$49.50) implies a FY16 PER of 18.5x, but its small size and volatile growth are negatives. We will only be involved at the low end.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (625 HK) has an ambitious IPO plan to raise HK$13.1bn. However, the volatile earnings record and challenging environment require a sizeable safety margin.
We project a 3-year EPS CAGR of -5.3% as profitability will only slightly recover next year. Yet, our forecasts may still be optimistic.
The maximum IPO price (HK$49.50) implies a FY16 PER of 18.5x, but its small size and volatile growth are negatives. We will only be involved at the low end.


SHEIN Global (625 HK) IPO: Cheap for Some Reason