Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Senior Quantitative Strategist at Aethon Capital (crypto fund).

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC (Austin, TX - USA). 

I specialize in systematic, short-term forecasting for US and Pan-Asian Stocks and Indexes. My methodology is centered on proprietary quantitative modeling (statistical study of trend persistence and mean reversion effects), leveraging probabilistic Bayesian models to predict tactical shifts over a 1-day to few-week horizon.

All models are explicitly human-built—no AI/machine learning—to eliminate black-box risk. This intensive, non-automated approach ensures that every Tactical Market Call is supported by a clear, explainable rationale.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

SoftBank (9984 JP): Tactical Put Underwriting After Sharp Pullback

SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook After 15% Weekly Drop, Going Into August 6 Earnings Release

Japan Morning Connection: Can Softbank Shake off Weakness as Analysts Hike Targets and ARM Eyes ATHs

Japan Strategy Weekly | the AI Trade Grows More Selective

Japan Morning Connection: AI Related Names Set to Slide Following SOX's Skittish Retreat from Highs

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> dropped 12.53% on Friday, possibly after news of Open AI evaluating a delay of its IPO after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/space-exploration-technologies-corp-spacex" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33284:1" rel="noopener">SpaceX (SPCX US)</a> retreated sharply from its post-IPO peak value.</li>
<li>We wrote our opinion about the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/space-exploration-technologies-corp-spacex" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33284:1" rel="noopener">SpaceX (SPCX US)</a> IPO <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/spacex-tactical-outlook-short-the-mega-cap-debut" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>. Frankly it's a bit early to panic just because of a pullback, our forecast is on a multi-month window.</li>
<li>However, most AI-related stocks, including those financing AI-businesses, like SoftBank Group, have valuations that are too stretched/excessive. <strong>We analyze SoftBank’s potential support targets in the event of a continued sell-off.</strong>
</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) dropped 12.53% on Friday, possibly after news of Open AI evaluating a delay of its IPO after SpaceX (SPCX US) retreated sharply from its post-IPO peak value.
We wrote our opinion about the SpaceX (SPCX US) IPO here. Frankly it's a bit early to panic just because of a pullback, our forecast is on a multi-month window.
However, most AI-related stocks, including those financing AI-businesses, like SoftBank Group, have valuations that are too stretched/excessive. We analyze SoftBank’s potential support targets in the event of a continued sell-off.



SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook After SpaceX Slump Delays OpenAI IPO Monetization