Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Capital markets veteran with 25 years across sell-side and buy-side research, investor relations, and fund management. Currently publish independent equity research (Mofferies Investment Research, via Smartkarma) spanning semiconductor memory (DRAM/NAND/HBM), foundry, semiconductor equipment and advanced packaging, gold and cross-asset strategy, financials forensics, and APAC IPOs — with a standing watchlist of 190+ companies across 41 countries. Background includes deep aviation-sector expertise (airlines, airports, OEMs, lessors, air cargo, travel/OTAs). Approach centers on identifying cyclical inflection points and mispriced risk across sectors, translated into explicit, actionable calls.

Strait of Hormuz: Markets Are Pricing Reopening, But the World Is Adapting to Iranian Control

USA + Israel Versus Iran War Damage Assessment (Day 43)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Laos Oil, gas and consumable fuels / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Hormuz disruption creates real oil deficit; Saudi rerouting helps but cannot offset ~11mb/d shortfall as inventories fall sharply </li>
<li>This is no longer a risk premium story; it is a physical market tightening with inventories replacing lost supply </li>
<li>Oil enters structural bull phase as buffers vanish; price must rise to ration demand if disruption persists</li>
</ul>


Hormuz disruption creates real oil deficit; Saudi rerouting helps but cannot offset ~11mb/d shortfall as inventories fall sharply 
This is no longer a risk premium story; it is a physical market tightening with inventories replacing lost supply 
Oil enters structural bull phase as buffers vanish; price must rise to ration demand if disruption persists


The Buffer Is Gone: Crude Oil Enters a New Scarcity Cycle