Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Capital markets veteran with 25 years across sell-side and buy-side research, investor relations, and fund management. Currently publish independent equity research (Mofferies Investment Research, via Smartkarma) spanning semiconductor memory (DRAM/NAND/HBM), foundry, semiconductor equipment and advanced packaging, gold and cross-asset strategy, financials forensics, and APAC IPOs — with a standing watchlist of 190+ companies across 41 countries. Background includes deep aviation-sector expertise (airlines, airports, OEMs, lessors, air cargo, travel/OTAs). Approach centers on identifying cyclical inflection points and mispriced risk across sectors, translated into explicit, actionable calls.

The Buffer Is Gone: Crude Oil Enters a New Scarcity Cycle

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Zimbabwe Energy / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>War-Related disruptions have removed c.4–5mb/d of oil supply and c.88mtpa of LNG capacity, marking a material but uneven shock to global energy markets.</li>
<li>Oil markets remain buffered by spare capacity, while LNG losses—concentrated in key export hubs—pose a more durable constraint on global gas supply. </li>
<li>Damage is skewed towards upstream production and LNG infrastructure, implying longer recovery timelines and sustained volatility in gas and refined products.</li>
</ul>


War-Related disruptions have removed c.4–5mb/d of oil supply and c.88mtpa of LNG capacity, marking a material but uneven shock to global energy markets.
Oil markets remain buffered by spare capacity, while LNG losses—concentrated in key export hubs—pose a more durable constraint on global gas supply. 
Damage is skewed towards upstream production and LNG infrastructure, implying longer recovery timelines and sustained volatility in gas and refined products.


USA + Israel Versus Iran War Damage Assessment (Day 43)