Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

China Consumption Weekly: East Buy, NIO, Tencent, PDD, Alibaba, JD.com

China Consumption Weekly (25 Dec 2023): Tencent, NetEase, NIO, Xpeng, Alibaba, Meituan, Douyin

China Consumption Weekly (1 Jan 2024): Tencent, NetEase, Alibaba, JD.com, PDD

Trip.com (TCOM): Channel Checks Suggest Market Share Expansion in the US

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Bifurcated Chinese Express Market Developing

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Travelers increased by 75% YoY and traveling spending increased by 144% YoY in China in 9M2023.</li>
<li>TCOM’s total revenue rose by 31% in 3Q23 over 3Q19 before COVID.</li>
<li>We conclude an upside of 33% and a price target of US$43.70.</li>
</ul>


Travelers increased by 75% YoY and traveling spending increased by 144% YoY in China in 9M2023.
TCOM’s total revenue rose by 31% in 3Q23 over 3Q19 before COVID.
We conclude an upside of 33% and a price target of US$43.70.


Shanghai International Airport (600009 CH)

Trip.com (TCOM US, 9961 HK): Revenue 30% Above Pre-COVID Level