Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Philip Rush is the Founder and Chief Economist of Heteronomics. Until launching in November 2016, he was Nomura's Senior European Economist and was the Chief UK Economist there since 2010. Before that, he was UK Economist at Barclays Wealth, where he also developed strategic asset allocation models for their market return portfolios. Philip started his career at Lehman Brothers covering the UK, Scandinavian and Swiss economies. A book on his fundamental framework was published in January 2018 as "Real Market Economics".

Chief Economist

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Household energy utility prices are not much higher than before the energy supply shock began, and are unsurprisingly announced to be rising by only 4% in October.</li>
<li>The ongoing supply shortage is squeezing prices higher as winter approaches, with inventory levels perilously low in Europe, relying on a warm and wet El Niño season.</li>
<li>Pass-Through to the CPI/RPI is dampened this time by the blending of fixed tariffs with a high weight. Except that policy and tax changes hit immediately in April and October.</li>
</ul>


Household energy utility prices are not much higher than before the energy supply shock began, and are unsurprisingly announced to be rising by only 4% in October.
The ongoing supply shortage is squeezing prices higher as winter approaches, with inventory levels perilously low in Europe, relying on a warm and wet El Niño season.
Pass-Through to the CPI/RPI is dampened this time by the blending of fixed tariffs with a high weight. Except that policy and tax changes hit immediately in April and October.


UK: De-Energised Ofgem Vol