Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Philip Rush is the Founder and Chief Economist of Heteronomics. Until launching in November 2016, he was Nomura's Senior European Economist and was the Chief UK Economist there since 2010. Before that, he was UK Economist at Barclays Wealth, where he also developed strategic asset allocation models for their market return portfolios. Philip started his career at Lehman Brothers covering the UK, Scandinavian and Swiss economies. A book on his fundamental framework was published in January 2018 as "Real Market Economics".

Chief Economist

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>UK GDP started 2023 with a slightly fuller rebound, continuing the skew towards upside surprises. Resilience was broad across services sectors.</li>
<li>Strikes at schools failed to knock activity as much as those in other sectors or even prevent a rebound from the sickness-depressed attendance in December.</li>
<li>The Q1 decline now looks likely to be only marginal, although we continue to expect a recession this year as excessive inflation and demand eventually get squeezed out.</li>
</ul>


UK GDP started 2023 with a slightly fuller rebound, continuing the skew towards upside surprises. Resilience was broad across services sectors.
Strikes at schools failed to knock activity as much as those in other sectors or even prevent a rebound from the sickness-depressed attendance in December.
The Q1 decline now looks likely to be only marginal, although we continue to expect a recession this year as excessive inflation and demand eventually get squeezed out.


UK: Output Partially Resumes in Jan-23