The dollar and treasuries are no longer safe havens in the wake of the US market sell off. Tariffs undercut primary reasons for foreigners to buy and hold US dollar assets.
What is covered in the Full Insight:
Introduction: US Bear Market - This Time is Different
The Role of the US Dollar and Treasuries
Impact of Tariffs and Global Trade Isolation
Historical Context and Current Market Dynamics
Anticipated Market Movements and Investment Strategy
Boomeranged on Thu, 22 May 2025 04:53
The US declining "Exceptionalism" is coming to the foreground again. Treasuries were hit as a $16B Treasury sale of 20-year bonds had lackluster demand. The 5% coupon rate was the highest since the tenor was reintroduced in 2020. Starting with the Moody's downgrade, the Treasury market has slumped, as have the dollar and equity markets. The 10 year continued its march to 5% before year-end.