HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Osbert Tang is an equity analyst with over 20 years of experience with focuses on China transport, infrastructure, industrials and utilities sectors. He has been based in Shanghai since 2003, accumulated nearly 20 years of on-ground knowledge on the Chinese economy and financial markets, and has a wealth of contacts with China corporates and government entities. 

Osbert has received votes from top-tier institutional investors and has been a highly-ranked transport and infrastructure analyst in the Asiamoney, Institutional Investors and Greenwich surveys. In addition to his extensive experience with international investment banks including RBS, ABN AMRO (both served as Shanghai Chief Representative), Paribas Asia Equity, Maybank Kim Eng and DBS Securities, he has been a senior analyst with Moody’s Investors Service with focus on ratings of China infrastructure and related LGFV issuers. He has also worked in the area of strategic development at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited. 

Osbert holds a BBA from the Chinese University of Hong Kong, an MBA from the University of Texas at Austin and a MSSc in Applied Psychology from the City University of Hong Kong. He was accredited with the CFA charter in 1997, and is a member of both British Psychological Society and Hong Kong Psychological Society.

Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

China & HK Strategy: Are These Stocks Potential Privatisation Targets?

China & HK Strategy: Assessing Placement Risks, Who Needs Money?

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>'s suspension may suggest privatisation by the Yang family (68.8% stake). With US$192m public float and US$216m net cash, out-of-pocket cash needed is limited. </li>
<li>1H24 is decent with a 37.5% earnings growth and 3.3pp margin expansion. The consensus forecast of 4.8% growth in 2H24 is conservative, providing a good opportunity for privatisation.</li>
<li>Benchmarking the take-out price to the 3-year average P/B will mean a 33% upside while the sector's average PER multiple implies ~70% higher than the pre-suspension price.</li>
</ul>



Vesync (2148 HK)'s suspension may suggest privatisation by the Yang family (68.8% stake). With US$192m public float and US$216m net cash, out-of-pocket cash needed is limited. 
1H24 is decent with a 37.5% earnings growth and 3.3pp margin expansion. The consensus forecast of 4.8% growth in 2H24 is conservative, providing a good opportunity for privatisation.
Benchmarking the take-out price to the 3-year average P/B will mean a 33% upside while the sector's average PER multiple implies ~70% higher than the pre-suspension price.
