Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Amrutha Raj

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Iron ore futures dropped as China’s steel demand weakened and Beijing considered a pre-sale ban of unfinished homes, potentially hurting global steel demand. </li>
<li>Expectations of impending production restrictions were bolstered when Baosteel forecasted that China's total steel output could decrease by 50 million tons this year. </li>
<li>On the technical front, prices remain below key moving averages, and MACD lags the signal line, reinforcing a persistent bearish outlook. </li>
</ul>


Iron ore futures dropped as China’s steel demand weakened and Beijing considered a pre-sale ban of unfinished homes, potentially hurting global steel demand. 
Expectations of impending production restrictions were bolstered when Baosteel forecasted that China's total steel output could decrease by 50 million tons this year. 
On the technical front, prices remain below key moving averages, and MACD lags the signal line, reinforcing a persistent bearish outlook. 


[IO Technicals 2025/22] Bearish Momentum Strengthens

<ul>
<li>PBoC reduced one-year and five-year loan prime rates to 3.0% and 3.5%, respectively, marking a careful step amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. </li>
<li>Xu Lin proposed a 4% annual growth target to address demographic and structural challenges, advocating structural reforms and private sector engagement. </li>
<li>Iron ore inventories at Chinese ports fell in the third week of May, primarily due to reduced arrivals of new shipments.</li>
</ul>


PBoC reduced one-year and five-year loan prime rates to 3.0% and 3.5%, respectively, marking a careful step amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions. 
Xu Lin proposed a 4% annual growth target to address demographic and structural challenges, advocating structural reforms and private sector engagement. 
Iron ore inventories at Chinese ports fell in the third week of May, primarily due to reduced arrivals of new shipments.


[IO Fundamentals 2025/21] Cautious Stimulus, Economic Recalibration & Inventory Insights

<ul>
<li>A 90-day mutual tariff rollback between the U.S. and China has boosted global sentiment, with iron ore futures jumping nearly 3% on hopes of eased trade friction.</li>
<li>Consumer and producer prices in China continued to fall in April, highlighting persistent deflationary pressures and unresolved structural challenges despite ongoing policy support. </li>
<li>Portside iron ore inventories fell in early May, suggesting robust mill demand and potential price support, though risks remain if end-user consumption fails to keep pace. </li>
</ul>


A 90-day mutual tariff rollback between the U.S. and China has boosted global sentiment, with iron ore futures jumping nearly 3% on hopes of eased trade friction.
Consumer and producer prices in China continued to fall in April, highlighting persistent deflationary pressures and unresolved structural challenges despite ongoing policy support. 
Portside iron ore inventories fell in early May, suggesting robust mill demand and potential price support, though risks remain if end-user consumption fails to keep pace. 


[IO Fundamentals 2025/19] U.S.-China Trade Truce Lifts Sentiment and IO Inventories Decline

<ul>
<li>SGX Iron Ore Futures rose $2.45/ton WoW to $98.30/ton, supported by stimulus hopes and US-China trade talks, before facing resistance near the upper Bollinger Band.</li>
<li>Prices remain below major moving averages despite a bullish MACD crossover, with a recent death cross and RSI at 46.83 indicating mixed momentum and limited upside.</li>
<li>Managed Money increased net short positions, while Physicals turned net long; total futures and options open interest dropped 11.14% WoW, signaling reduced overall market participation.</li>
</ul>


SGX Iron Ore Futures rose $2.45/ton WoW to $98.30/ton, supported by stimulus hopes and US-China trade talks, before facing resistance near the upper Bollinger Band.
Prices remain below major moving averages despite a bullish MACD crossover, with a recent death cross and RSI at 46.83 indicating mixed momentum and limited upside.
Managed Money increased net short positions, while Physicals turned net long; total futures and options open interest dropped 11.14% WoW, signaling reduced overall market participation.


[IO Technical 2025/19]: Bearish Signals Persist Despite Brief Rally

<ul>
<li>Gold surged 2.6%, surpassing $3,000/oz for the first time, while silver rose 4.4% to its highest YTD level, both driven by a weaker dollar.</li>
<li>GLD ETF saw a $1.16 billion net inflow, reversing the prior week’s $933 million outflow,while SLV ETF recorded $131.8 million in inflows, up from the previous week’s $85.7 million outflow.</li>
<li>Gold futures ADV rose 25.2% WoW, with open interest up 6.5%, while silver options call OI at key strikes ($34–$35) indicates rising interest in further upside.</li>
</ul>


Gold surged 2.6%, surpassing $3,000/oz for the first time, while silver rose 4.4% to its highest YTD level, both driven by a weaker dollar.
GLD ETF saw a $1.16 billion net inflow, reversing the prior week’s $933 million outflow,while SLV ETF recorded $131.8 million in inflows, up from the previous week’s $85.7 million outflow.
Gold futures ADV rose 25.2% WoW, with open interest up 6.5%, while silver options call OI at key strikes ($34–$35) indicates rising interest in further upside.


[Precious Insights 2025/11]: Gold & Silver Surge to New Highs Amid Softer Inflation & Rising Volume

Amrutha Raj
Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order
• Mint Finance

[IO Technicals 2025/22] Bearish Momentum Strengthens

SGX IO Futures retreated sharply amid bearish sentiment in China’s steel market. Rising concerns over construction demand and looming production...

Mint Finance

[IO Fundamentals 2025/21] Cautious Stimulus, Economic Recalibration & Inventory Insights

PBoC's measured policy easing, Xu Lin’s balanced growth target, and shrinking iron ore inventories suggest a complex and evolving outlook for...

Mint Finance

[IO Fundamentals 2025/19] U.S.-China Trade Truce Lifts Sentiment and IO Inventories Decline

A rare tariff truce lifts global sentiment, iron ore rallies on supply optimism, but China’s deepening deflation and steel curbs temper market...

Mint Finance

[IO Technical 2025/19]: Bearish Signals Persist Despite Brief Rally

Iron ore prices rose on stimulus and trade optimism but faced renewed pressure from steel output cuts and technical resistance, highlighting...

Mint Finance

[Precious Insights 2025/11]: Gold & Silver Surge to New Highs Amid Softer Inflation & Rising Volume

Gold surpassed $3,000/oz, & silver hit YTD highs, driven by softer inflation & a weaker dollar. ETF inflows rebounded, and rising derivatives...

Mint Finance