Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Games Global Limited operates as a game development company. The Company develops, distributes, and markets online casino-style gaming content and integrated business-to-business solutions to i-gaming operators in regulated markets globally based on the size of studio network. Games Global serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Games Global, a promising iGaming content provider and B2B online gaming supplier, set terms for its U.S. IPO. The IPO price is expected to be between $16 and $19/share.</li>
<li>With the most recent F-1/A, the company may raise ~$114M at the high end of the range at $19/share. Zinnia Limited sells additional 8.5M shares in this offering.   </li>
<li>Games Global has created an impressive portfolios of iGaming content through a series of successful acquisitions, and I see upside potential vs. IPO price of $17.50 at the midpoint.</li>
</ul>


Games Global, a promising iGaming content provider and B2B online gaming supplier, set terms for its U.S. IPO. The IPO price is expected to be between $16 and $19/share.
With the most recent F-1/A, the company may raise ~$114M at the high end of the range at $19/share. Zinnia Limited sells additional 8.5M shares in this offering.   
Games Global has created an impressive portfolios of iGaming content through a series of successful acquisitions, and I see upside potential vs. IPO price of $17.50 at the midpoint.


Games Global IPO: Strong Profitability and Impressive Portfolios of IGaming Content

ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, principally engages in commercialization and sales of electric vehicles and battery, and provision of automotive related research and development services. ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Geely-Backed ZEEKR set terms for U.S. IPO: EV maker offers 17.5M American depositary shares (ADSs) at the price range of $18-$21, implying a market cap of ~$4.8B at the midpoint.</li>
<li>Geely Auto, Mobileye and CATL have indicated a non-binding interest in subscribing for an aggregate of up to ~$349M worth of the ADSs being offered in this offering.</li>
<li>I have a positive view of ZEEKR IPO as the offering will be priced significantly below last round valuation of ~$13B.  </li>
</ul>


Geely-Backed ZEEKR set terms for U.S. IPO: EV maker offers 17.5M American depositary shares (ADSs) at the price range of $18-$21, implying a market cap of ~$4.8B at the midpoint.
Geely Auto, Mobileye and CATL have indicated a non-binding interest in subscribing for an aggregate of up to ~$349M worth of the ADSs being offered in this offering.
I have a positive view of ZEEKR IPO as the offering will be priced significantly below last round valuation of ~$13B.  


ZEEKR IPO: Attractive ~$4.8B Midpoint Valuation Offers At Least 30% Upside

Equity Bottom-Up

Darktrace PLC operates as an AI company. The Company develops immune system platform which leverages unsupervised machine learning to detect cyber-threats. Darktrace serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Darktrace shares rallied ~64% in 2024 after the company raised FY24 revenue, adj. EBITDA guidance and Thoma Bravo offered 620 pence/share in cash to take Darktrace private.</li>
<li>The acquisition is expected to complete during 3Q or 4Q of 2024. The cybersecurity unicorn has delivered revenue growth at scale coupled with solid profitability and cash flow generation.</li>
<li>I maintained a bullish view on the undervalued stock and initiated coverage of Darktrace on January 11, 2023, with a 497p price target as steep discount was unjustified.</li>
</ul>


Darktrace shares rallied ~64% in 2024 after the company raised FY24 revenue, adj. EBITDA guidance and Thoma Bravo offered 620 pence/share in cash to take Darktrace private.
The acquisition is expected to complete during 3Q or 4Q of 2024. The cybersecurity unicorn has delivered revenue growth at scale coupled with solid profitability and cash flow generation.
I maintained a bullish view on the undervalued stock and initiated coverage of Darktrace on January 11, 2023, with a 497p price target as steep discount was unjustified.


Bright Day For Darktrace: Thoma Bravo Adds Cybersecurity Unicorn To Its Portfolio

Hesai Group provides 3D light detection and ranging solutions. The Company's LiDAR products enables a broad spectrum of applications across passenger and commercial vehicles with advanced driver assistance systems, as well as autonomous vehicle fleets providing passenger and freight mobility services.

<ul>
<li>Hesai Group, one of the global leaders in the LiDAR and perception solutions market, completed its IPO in February 2023 and listed ADSs on the Nasdaq Global Select Market.</li>
<li>The stock peaked at $30+ during the first trading day and fell ~67% over the following 8 months as selling pressure intensified and investor sentiment worsened.</li>
<li>The stock has taken another leg down following U.S. DoD’s decision to include Hesai Group in 1260H list of Chinese military-linked companies. Hesai believes this inclusion is unjust and meritless.</li>
</ul>


Hesai Group, one of the global leaders in the LiDAR and perception solutions market, completed its IPO in February 2023 and listed ADSs on the Nasdaq Global Select Market.
The stock peaked at $30+ during the first trading day and fell ~67% over the following 8 months as selling pressure intensified and investor sentiment worsened.
The stock has taken another leg down following U.S. DoD’s decision to include Hesai Group in 1260H list of Chinese military-linked companies. Hesai believes this inclusion is unjust and meritless.


Hesai Group: Time To Cover Shorts As The Stock Found A Bottom and Delisting Risk Is Real

<ul>
<li>ZEEKR, a Chinese EV maker, plans to raise up to $500M in US IPO. The company put its offering on hold in 2023 due to a mismatch in valuation expectations.</li>
<li>A fast-growing company will offer ADSs, and the size of the company’s potential IPO is down from their initial target of up to $1B, a negative sign for ZEEKR shares.</li>
<li>EV stocks have significantly underperformed the broader market this year amid price wars, slow growth ahead and intense competition, especially in China.  </li>
</ul>


ZEEKR, a Chinese EV maker, plans to raise up to $500M in US IPO. The company put its offering on hold in 2023 due to a mismatch in valuation expectations.
A fast-growing company will offer ADSs, and the size of the company’s potential IPO is down from their initial target of up to $1B, a negative sign for ZEEKR shares.
EV stocks have significantly underperformed the broader market this year amid price wars, slow growth ahead and intense competition, especially in China.  


ZEEKR IPO Valuation Update: Likely To Price IPO Below Last Round Valuation of ~$13B

A highly collaborative investment professional and US software research analyst with 10+ years of international experience in equity research, treasury operations, and trading positions across multiple asset classes at leading multinational banks Citibank and Morgan Stanley, UHNWI-backed family office and European independent equity research firm. A respectable background in equity capital markets, corporate treasury, investment banking operations, equity research analysis and portfolio management.

Andrei Zakharov
Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Games Global IPO: Strong Profitability and Impressive Portfolios of IGaming Content

The Isle of Man-based Games Global targets ~$2B IPO valuation. I like the company’s strong profitability/cash flow profile and see upside potential...

Andrei Zakharov

ZEEKR IPO: Attractive ~$4.8B Midpoint Valuation Offers At Least 30% Upside

ZEEKR plans to price its IPO in May and my analysis suggests that attractive ~$4.8B midpoint valuation offers at least 30% upside vs. IPO price of...

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Bright Day For Darktrace: Thoma Bravo Adds Cybersecurity Unicorn To Its Portfolio

British cybersecurity unicorn Darktrace agreed sale to PE firm Thoma Bravo for ~£4.3B or 620p/share. In my insight I discuss valuation analysis of...

Andrei Zakharov

Hesai Group: Time To Cover Shorts As The Stock Found A Bottom and Delisting Risk Is Real

Hesai Group priced its IPO at $19/ADS in February 2023 and shares have materially underperformed Nasdaq and S&P 500, with shares down ~77% vs. IPO...

Andrei Zakharov

ZEEKR IPO Valuation Update: Likely To Price IPO Below Last Round Valuation of ~$13B

ZEEKR restarted US IPO in April and plans to raise up to $500M. I’m cautious about buying into ZEEKR IPO as EV stocks have significantly...

Andrei Zakharov