Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

Anglo American PLC is a global mining company. The Company's mining portfolio includes bulk commodities including iron ore, manganese and metallurgical coal, base metals including copper and nickel and precious metals and minerals including platinum and diamonds.  Anglo American PLC has mining operations in Africa, Europe, North and South America, Asia and Australia.

<ul>
<li>In this note we assess the JSE Top 40 index effect of an Anglo American restructuring or takeover by BHP, assuming the Amplats and Kumba stakes are spun out.</li>
<li>We also explore the details of BHP's initial offer and what the market could be pricing with respect to a potential revision of BHP's stock offer (minimum).</li>
<li>If Kumba is unbundled from Anglo American, we expect the stock to enter the JSE Top 40. Potential deletes are included in the note.</li>
</ul>


In this note we assess the JSE Top 40 index effect of an Anglo American restructuring or takeover by BHP, assuming the Amplats and Kumba stakes are spun out.
We also explore the details of BHP's initial offer and what the market could be pricing with respect to a potential revision of BHP's stock offer (minimum).
If Kumba is unbundled from Anglo American, we expect the stock to enter the JSE Top 40. Potential deletes are included in the note.


Anglo American (AGL, AAL): JSE Index Effects of Potential Takeover or Restructuring

Prosus N.V. provides internet based services. The Company focuses on investments in internet, digital media, e-commerce retailing, and consumer internet companies. Prosus serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Last week Monday, Tencent confirmed the early release of Dungeon and Fighter Mobile, a highly anticipated mobile adaptation of the computer game developed by Nexon.</li>
<li>The game is expected to be released in China on the 21st of May following positive test results.</li>
<li>Tencent was the 11th best performing constituent in the HSTECH index for the week (out of 30), returning 14.7%. The index ended the week up 13.4%.</li>
</ul>


Last week Monday, Tencent confirmed the early release of Dungeon and Fighter Mobile, a highly anticipated mobile adaptation of the computer game developed by Nexon.
The game is expected to be released in China on the 21st of May following positive test results.
Tencent was the 11th best performing constituent in the HSTECH index for the week (out of 30), returning 14.7%. The index ended the week up 13.4%.


NPN X PRX Discount Update Post Tencent Early Game Release News Flow

<ul>
<li>The discounts of both Naspers and Prosus have widened during the last 5 trading sessions.</li>
<li>We see current levels as attractive entry points for trading the rump.</li>
<li>In our view, there are a number of fundamental factors that could act as positive catalysts to a further structural narrowing of the discount.</li>
</ul>


The discounts of both Naspers and Prosus have widened during the last 5 trading sessions.
We see current levels as attractive entry points for trading the rump.
In our view, there are a number of fundamental factors that could act as positive catalysts to a further structural narrowing of the discount.


NPN X PRX: Discounts Widen as Fed Pivots on Rate Outlook

Naspers Limited operates in the technology industry. The Company invests in global internet companies across the world.

<ul>
<li>Naspers and Prosus outperformed the benchmark by a large margin, ending the quarter up 7.3% and 6.7%, respectively. The Capped SWIX finished the quarter down 2.3%.</li>
<li>Tencent was up 3.5% in HKD and 6.5% in ZAR.</li>
<li>Tencent currently makes up 74% of Prosus’ NAV, down 1 percentage point from 75% at the start of the year.</li>
</ul>


Naspers and Prosus outperformed the benchmark by a large margin, ending the quarter up 7.3% and 6.7%, respectively. The Capped SWIX finished the quarter down 2.3%.
Tencent was up 3.5% in HKD and 6.5% in ZAR.
Tencent currently makes up 74% of Prosus’ NAV, down 1 percentage point from 75% at the start of the year.


Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): Performance for Q1 2024, Gains Driven by Tencent, NAV Growth

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Tencent is due to release FY23 results tomorrow morning after the HK close. The earnings call is scheduled for 14:00 SAST.</li>
<li>The market is expecting 1.8% QoQ revenue growth, 8.6% YoY. Strong QoQ revenue growth of 10% is expected for the advertising segment.</li>
<li>QoQ revenue growth for the gaming sector is expected to decline by 4.9%. Domestic gaming revenue is expected to fall by 7.6%, international gaming revenue expected to increase by 9.6%.</li>
</ul>


Tencent is due to release FY23 results tomorrow morning after the HK close. The earnings call is scheduled for 14:00 SAST.
The market is expecting 1.8% QoQ revenue growth, 8.6% YoY. Strong QoQ revenue growth of 10% is expected for the advertising segment.
QoQ revenue growth for the gaming sector is expected to decline by 4.9%. Domestic gaming revenue is expected to fall by 7.6%, international gaming revenue expected to increase by 9.6%.


Tencent (700 HK): Gross Margins, Cost Cutting Likely to Be Focus Going into Q4 FY23 Results

Quant Analyst at DMA. DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA
Quantitative Equity Analyst
• DMA

Anglo American (AGL, AAL): JSE Index Effects of Potential Takeover or Restructuring

We explore the recent takeover bid by BHP and potential JSE index effects of a takeover or restructuring that would see Amplats and Kumba unbundled.

DMA

NPN X PRX Discount Update Post Tencent Early Game Release News Flow

Naspers outperformed Prosus last week as Tencent announced that DnF mobile would be released earlier on the 21st of May.

DMA

NPN X PRX: Discounts Widen as Fed Pivots on Rate Outlook

There has been a notable widening in the discounts of both Naspers and Prosus following Fed rhetoric. This coupled with a number of potential...

DMA

Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): Performance for Q1 2024, Gains Driven by Tencent, NAV Growth

A look into the performance of Naspers and Prosus for the first quarter of 2024. Gains were driven by Tencent and a weaker Rand (NAV growth) as...

DMA

Tencent (700 HK): Gross Margins, Cost Cutting Likely to Be Focus Going into Q4 FY23 Results

A look into what is priced ahead of Tencent's FY23 results release tomorrow after the HK close. Gross margins and cost cutting are likely going to...

DMA