Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi's (1810 HK)</a> one-month implied volatility has decreased from recent peaks but remains above the 90th percentile, while realized volatility is exceptionally high, exceeding 100% (100th percentile).</li>
<li>The options market exhibits an inverted term structure (backwardation) favoring calendar or diagonal spreads, with a slightly negatively sloped skew supporting put and call spreads.</li>
<li>Open interest extends to March 2026, with balanced call and put interest across most expiries, except for March 2026, which is heavily call-dominated.</li>
</ul>



Xiaomi's (1810 HK) one-month implied volatility has decreased from recent peaks but remains above the 90th percentile, while realized volatility is exceptionally high, exceeding 100% (100th percentile).
The options market exhibits an inverted term structure (backwardation) favoring calendar or diagonal spreads, with a slightly negatively sloped skew supporting put and call spreads.
Open interest extends to March 2026, with balanced call and put interest across most expiries, except for March 2026, which is heavily call-dominated.


Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Volatility Insights and Analysis Identify Spread Opportunities

<ul>
<li>Over the past five trading days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.</li>
<li>Bearish and Bullish strategies balance each other, with only 12% of trades expressing a neutral view, such as Iron Condors. Some strategies were traded in unusually large size.</li>
<li>Diagonal Spreads account for over 25% of all strategies and can make for near self-financing strategies. An inverted volatility term structure, aka backwardation, supports calendar and diagonal spreads.</li>
</ul>


Over the past five trading days, Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
Bearish and Bullish strategies balance each other, with only 12% of trades expressing a neutral view, such as Iron Condors. Some strategies were traded in unusually large size.
Diagonal Spreads account for over 25% of all strategies and can make for near self-financing strategies. An inverted volatility term structure, aka backwardation, supports calendar and diagonal spreads.


Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

<ul>
<li>One-Month implied volatility for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> has decreased from recent highs to around its three-year median, while realized volatility, a lagging indicator, remains significantly higher at the 87th percentile.</li>
<li>The term structure is flat, with May and June implied volatilities nearly identical, indicating no significant impact from the upcoming earnings announcement in early June.</li>
<li>Open interest is spread over the next nine months, with April calls concentrated at strikes 145 to 150 and deep out of the money calls at strikes 180 to 200.</li>
</ul>


One-Month implied volatility for Meituan (3690 HK) has decreased from recent highs to around its three-year median, while realized volatility, a lagging indicator, remains significantly higher at the 87th percentile.
The term structure is flat, with May and June implied volatilities nearly identical, indicating no significant impact from the upcoming earnings announcement in early June.
Open interest is spread over the next nine months, with April calls concentrated at strikes 145 to 150 and deep out of the money calls at strikes 180 to 200.


Meituan (3690 HK): Options Insights and Analysis, Skew Shift Amid Earnings Calm

<ul>
<li>Over the past five trading days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.</li>
<li>Long volatility strategies dominate, with the ratio of bearish vs. bullish positions approximately 2:1.</li>
<li>Diagonal Spreads account for 25% of all strategies and can make for near self-financing strategies. </li>
</ul>


Over the past five trading days, Meituan (3690 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
Long volatility strategies dominate, with the ratio of bearish vs. bullish positions approximately 2:1.
Diagonal Spreads account for 25% of all strategies and can make for near self-financing strategies. 


Meituan (3690 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>
India: RBI rate decision on 9 April, 0.25% cut expected.</li>
<li>
CPI Release: Several economies release CPI data next week, while central banks update their forecasts and scenarios with the recently released US tariffs.</li>
<li>
Monthly Option Expiries: in India (BSE Stock options), Japan (Nikkei, Topix, Stocks), and South Korea (Kospi 200). The BSE moved the expiry one day forward due to a holiday.</li>
</ul>



India: RBI rate decision on 9 April, 0.25% cut expected.

CPI Release: Several economies release CPI data next week, while central banks update their forecasts and scenarios with the recently released US tariffs.

Monthly Option Expiries: in India (BSE Stock options), Japan (Nikkei, Topix, Stocks), and South Korea (Kospi 200). The BSE moved the expiry one day forward due to a holiday.


Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (7 - 13 April)

Financial Economist with over 20 years of investment experience across all asset classes. He has worked as a sell-side derivatives researcher and trader on one of London’s largest trading floors, and as a structurer and portfolio manager for the buy-side in Switzerland. As head of Quantitative Strategy at an Asian WealthTech company, Gaudi and his team designed over 50 distinct investment strategies for institutional clients in Australasia.

Gaudi’s analysis follows a scientific approach based on empirical research and quantitative evidence.

Gaudenz Schneider
Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Volatility Insights and Analysis Identify Spread Opportunities

Xiaomi's implied and realized volatility remains high with the options market showing opportunities for calendar spreads and diagonal spreads.

Gaudenz Schneider

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

Xiaomi Corp's multi-leg option strategies show diverse approaches with a mix of bullish and bearish trades, including large trades and self...

Gaudenz Schneider

Meituan (3690 HK): Options Insights and Analysis, Skew Shift Amid Earnings Calm

Meituan's implied volatility has dropped to median levels, but realized volatility remains high. Flat term structure suggests little impact from...

Gaudenz Schneider

Meituan (3690 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

Meituan's multi-leg option strategies show dominance of long volatility and 25% use of Diagonal Spreads, providing a variety of approaches in the...

Gaudenz Schneider

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (7 - 13 April)

RBI expected to cut rates in India, CPI data and option expiries in focus for several economies next week. Exchange holiday in India.

Gaudenz Schneider

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Volatility Insights and Analysis Identify Spread Opportunities

​Xiaomi's implied and realized volatility remains high with the options market showing opportunities for calendar spreads and diagonal spreads.

Gaudenz Schneider

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

​Xiaomi Corp's multi-leg option strategies show diverse approaches with a mix of bullish and bearish trades, including large trades and self...

Gaudenz Schneider

Meituan (3690 HK): Options Insights and Analysis, Skew Shift Amid Earnings Calm

​Meituan's implied volatility has dropped to median levels, but realized volatility remains high. Flat term structure suggests little impact from...

Gaudenz Schneider

Meituan (3690 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

​Meituan's multi-leg option strategies show dominance of long volatility and 25% use of Diagonal Spreads, providing a variety of approaches in the...

Gaudenz Schneider

Market Movers: Key Dates at a Glance (7 - 13 April)

​RBI expected to cut rates in India, CPI data and option expiries in focus for several economies next week. Exchange holiday in India.

Gaudenz Schneider

Xiaomi's implied and realized volatility remains high with the options market showing opportunities for calendar spreads and diagonal spreads.

Xiaomi Corp's multi-leg option strategies show diverse approaches with a mix of bullish and bearish trades, including large trades and self...

Meituan's implied volatility has dropped to median levels, but realized volatility remains high. Flat term structure suggests little impact from...

Meituan's multi-leg option strategies show dominance of long volatility and 25% use of Diagonal Spreads, providing a variety of approaches in the...

RBI expected to cut rates in India, CPI data and option expiries in focus for several economies next week. Exchange holiday in India.