Independent Investment Research & Investor, Maverick Equity Research

Maverick Equity Research

Independent Investment Research & Investor

Independent Investment Research & Investor: value, dividend and growth stocks. Risk management & hedging for an all weather portfolio.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Zooming out first for a big picture perspective - helpful away from the news &amp; chatter:</li><li>Bears Make Headlines &amp; Lose Money, Bulls Make Money! As always … !</li><li>The bear case sounds very smart very often, only problem is, it’s quite rarely right … !</li></ul>

Zooming out first for a big picture perspective - helpful away from the news &amp; chatter:Bears Make Headlines &amp; Lose Money, Bulls Make Money! As always … !The bear case sounds very smart very often, only problem is, it’s quite rarely right … !

The S&P 500 Report: Performance, Profitability, Sentiment & More - #Ed 5

<ul><li>Despite working in various headquarters in European banks, my work likely did not reach directly more than 500 people at any time (confidential/secretive/sensitive etc), hence a 10x bigger reach now is quite crazy and interesting for sure!</li><li><p>Let’s begin with 2 charts on US monetary policy and inflation that I was humbled to have them liked and retweeted on Twitter by the great Danielle DiMartino Booth (CEO &amp; Chief Strategist, QI Research LLC, Fmr Federal Reserve insider, Economist): M2 with a negative growth of -2.04% working to make inflation low / back to target</p></li><li><p>note how the -4.63% growth last year was a rate that meant it was the fastest pace of money supply compression since Jan 1933 ... let that sink in!</p></li></ul>

Despite working in various headquarters in European banks, my work likely did not reach directly more than 500 people at any time (confidential/secretive/sensitive etc), hence a 10x bigger reach now is quite crazy and interesting for sure!Let’s begin with 2 charts on US monetary policy and inflation that I was humbled to have them liked and retweeted on Twitter by the great Danielle DiMartino Booth (CEO &amp; Chief Strategist, QI Research LLC, Fmr Federal Reserve insider, Economist): M2 with a negative growth of -2.04% working to make inflation low / back to targetnote how the -4.63% growth last year was a rate that meant it was the fastest pace of money supply compression since Jan 1933 ... let that sink in!

Maverick Charts & Markets - February 2024 Edition #15

<ul><li>One would meet here people from all walks of life, interests, subject of study, leisure reading, university studying, work etc.</li><li>One can meet a 20-year youngster that dropped from university and works 10-12h/a day on his app which already works very very well, to a 45-year chap that has been devoting his last 5 years to give Shakespeare a new novel interpretation … which makes me tell myself and my friends many times that our single focused interests, opinions, biases and views about the world might be quite narrow and 100,000 miles apart from somebodies else’s.</li><li>It’s not about being ‘right’ or ‘wrong’, but about the fundamental aspect to remain open minded … .</li></ul>

One would meet here people from all walks of life, interests, subject of study, leisure reading, university studying, work etc.One can meet a 20-year youngster that dropped from university and works 10-12h/a day on his app which already works very very well, to a 45-year chap that has been devoting his last 5 years to give Shakespeare a new novel interpretation … which makes me tell myself and my friends many times that our single focused interests, opinions, biases and views about the world might be quite narrow and 100,000 miles apart from somebodies else’s.It’s not about being ‘right’ or ‘wrong’, but about the fundamental aspect to remain open minded … .

Maverick Charts & Markets - January 2024 Edition #14

<ul><li>To start, the 2023 and 10 years Total Returns &amp; CAGR of the big 3 indices: sentiment is very positive, risk appetite is on and we have a new bull market.</li><li>Let’s start with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA).</li><li>Created in 1896, is one of the oldest &amp; most widely recognized stock market indices in the world &amp; and is made up of 30 blue-chip stocks that are considered leaders in their respective industries.</li></ul>

To start, the 2023 and 10 years Total Returns &amp; CAGR of the big 3 indices: sentiment is very positive, risk appetite is on and we have a new bull market.Let’s start with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA).Created in 1896, is one of the oldest &amp; most widely recognized stock market indices in the world &amp; and is made up of 30 blue-chip stocks that are considered leaders in their respective industries.

Maverick Valuations #2 - USA: Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100 & The Mighty S&P 500

<ul><li>1st chart shows us the 2023 % returns &amp; the holdings weightings while the 2nd table is a return attribution analysis which tells us exactly that 10.25% (1025 b.p basis points) are due to just 7 stocks, the M7 (Magnificent Seven) tech stocks: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla, Meta/Facebook &amp; Google/Alphabet. Let that sink in!</li><li>The laggard are the following top 7 stocks: their weight is small in the index, but note the individual returns which are materially negative in 2023</li><li>To continues smoothly here, the S&amp;P 500 with the stocks above their 52-week lows &amp; below their 52-week highs: tech, AI, semiconductors and consumer discretionary are leading and hot, while energy, cruises &amp; travel cooled off in the last year</li></ul>

1st chart shows us the 2023 % returns &amp; the holdings weightings while the 2nd table is a return attribution analysis which tells us exactly that 10.25% (1025 b.p basis points) are due to just 7 stocks, the M7 (Magnificent Seven) tech stocks: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla, Meta/Facebook &amp; Google/Alphabet. Let that sink in!The laggard are the following top 7 stocks: their weight is small in the index, but note the individual returns which are materially negative in 2023To continues smoothly here, the S&amp;P 500 with the stocks above their 52-week lows &amp; below their 52-week highs: tech, AI, semiconductors and consumer discretionary are leading and hot, while energy, cruises &amp; travel cooled off in the last year

The S&P 500 Report: Performance, Profitability, Valuation & Key Metrics - Ed #2