High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>As we begin 2024, the past few week have been consumed with media chatter over the launch of new bitcoin ETF’s with predictions this would unleash a new bitcoin bull market, meanwhile price action in different market sectors have been off to surprisingly strong starts.</li><li>Regardless of your favorite market prognosticators’ forecast for 2024 (up, down, or sideways), catching emerging waves in the start of each year, especially paying attention to volume and price, can lead to significant outperformance.</li><li>For example, if you recall back to January 2023’s earnings call season, it featured an eye opening proclamation from Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella that “<em>We [Microsoft] fundamentally believe the next platform wave will be AI</em>” which came exactly one day before Microsoft announced its rumored $10B investment in OpenAI.</li></ul>

As we begin 2024, the past few week have been consumed with media chatter over the launch of new bitcoin ETF’s with predictions this would unleash a new bitcoin bull market, meanwhile price action in different market sectors have been off to surprisingly strong starts.Regardless of your favorite market prognosticators’ forecast for 2024 (up, down, or sideways), catching emerging waves in the start of each year, especially paying attention to volume and price, can lead to significant outperformance.For example, if you recall back to January 2023’s earnings call season, it featured an eye opening proclamation from Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella that “We [Microsoft] fundamentally believe the next platform wave will be AI” which came exactly one day before Microsoft announced its rumored $10B investment in OpenAI.

<ul><li>Looking back, March 2023 presented a significant “wobble” to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tightening campaign as the sudden bank failures, the largest since the 2008 financial crisis, of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank in particular, caused the Fed to step in as customers rushed to withdraw their deposits while these banks did not have enough liquid funds on hand to satisfy those customers’ cash requirements.</li><li>One reason for these bank failures was that normally safe investments in U.S. Treasuries, purchased at the highs, began losing money due to their duration mismatch as interest rates were rapidly increased by the Federal Reserve.</li><li>In came the Fed’s BTFP program to the rescue which was setup to eliminate a financial institution’s need to rapidly sell securities, and is open to federally insured banks, savings associations, and credit unions, as well as the U.S. branches of foreign banks.</li></ul>

Looking back, March 2023 presented a significant “wobble” to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tightening campaign as the sudden bank failures, the largest since the 2008 financial crisis, of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank in particular, caused the Fed to step in as customers rushed to withdraw their deposits while these banks did not have enough liquid funds on hand to satisfy those customers’ cash requirements.One reason for these bank failures was that normally safe investments in U.S. Treasuries, purchased at the highs, began losing money due to their duration mismatch as interest rates were rapidly increased by the Federal Reserve.In came the Fed’s BTFP program to the rescue which was setup to eliminate a financial institution’s need to rapidly sell securities, and is open to federally insured banks, savings associations, and credit unions, as well as the U.S. branches of foreign banks.

<ul><li>The start of the second half of the year so far has seen a change in the market themes versus the first half of the year.</li><li>Microsoft’s declaration in January 2023 that AI would emerge as the next computing platform coupled with Nvidia’s shocking earnings guide up last quarter, coupled with a weaker dollar and decline in bond yields, provided fuel in the first half of the year for the technology sector and garnered investor eyeballs to anything closely associated with AI.</li><li>However, on Microsoft’s most recent earnings call on July 25th, CFO Amy Hood stated “Even with strong demand and a leadership position, growth from our AI services will be gradual as Azure AI scales and our copilots reach general availability dates. So for FY '24, the impact will be weighted towards H2.”</li></ul>

The start of the second half of the year so far has seen a change in the market themes versus the first half of the year.Microsoft’s declaration in January 2023 that AI would emerge as the next computing platform coupled with Nvidia’s shocking earnings guide up last quarter, coupled with a weaker dollar and decline in bond yields, provided fuel in the first half of the year for the technology sector and garnered investor eyeballs to anything closely associated with AI.However, on Microsoft’s most recent earnings call on July 25th, CFO Amy Hood stated “Even with strong demand and a leadership position, growth from our AI services will be gradual as Azure AI scales and our copilots reach general availability dates. So for FY '24, the impact will be weighted towards H2.”

<ul><li>So far in 2023, mega-cap growth names such as Meta, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Netflix have continued to provide market leadership resulting in a 41% YTD gain in the QQQ ETF.</li><li>However, last week saw notable rotation away from technology (XLK) to the healthcare, energy, and financial sectors.</li><li>This came off the backs of notable technology heavyweights Tesla and Netflix earnings reports and investors selling off these names after their earnings prints this week.</li></ul>

So far in 2023, mega-cap growth names such as Meta, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Netflix have continued to provide market leadership resulting in a 41% YTD gain in the QQQ ETF.However, last week saw notable rotation away from technology (XLK) to the healthcare, energy, and financial sectors.This came off the backs of notable technology heavyweights Tesla and Netflix earnings reports and investors selling off these names after their earnings prints this week.

<ul><li>After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break down below prior weekly support levels in a large bearish engulfing candle last week.</li><li>This breakdown can serve as a tailwind for multi-nationals (especially technology names), commodities, emerging markets, treasuries, and cryptos.</li><li>The dollar is now sitting at a 15 month low. This decline may not be over as the MACD indicator is now crossing down.</li></ul>

After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break down below prior weekly support levels in a large bearish engulfing candle last week.This breakdown can serve as a tailwind for multi-nationals (especially technology names), commodities, emerging markets, treasuries, and cryptos.The dollar is now sitting at a 15 month low. This decline may not be over as the MACD indicator is now crossing down.