Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Cafe De Coral Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Cafe De Coral Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates quick service restaurants, fast casual dining, institutional catering and specialty restaurant chains, and food manufacturing business.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cafe-de-coral-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2568:1" rel="noopener">Cafe De Coral Holdings (341 HK)</a> share price never really rebounded post COVID despite its operating numbers gradually improving. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> share price has rallied along with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> but not Cafe de Coral.</li>
<li>Recent profit alert that, excluding pandemic subsidies, the group's net profit will rise 470% YoY. </li>
</ul>



Cafe De Coral Holdings (341 HK) share price never really rebounded post COVID despite its operating numbers gradually improving. 

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) share price has rallied along with the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) but not Cafe de Coral.
Recent profit alert that, excluding pandemic subsidies, the group's net profit will rise 470% YoY. 


PT Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul Tbk manufactures and produces herbal products. The Company's products consist of medicinal herbs, energy drinks, sweets and other beverages.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a> had a poor Q2-Q3 numbers, and investors sold off. </li>
<li>The recent uptick is driven by revenue growth and cost cutting exercises (mainly in wages) that improve margins.  </li>
<li>Productivity may not stay at the same level thus Q2 24 numbers are key. Take your win first. </li>
</ul>



Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) had a poor Q2-Q3 numbers, and investors sold off. 
The recent uptick is driven by revenue growth and cost cutting exercises (mainly in wages) that improve margins.  
Productivity may not stay at the same level thus Q2 24 numbers are key. Take your win first. 


Keisei Electric Railway Co / Equity Bottom-Up

Keisei Electric Railway Co., Ltd. provides passenger rail and bus transportation services in the Metropolitan Tokyo and Chiba prefecture areas.  The Company operates department and supermarket stores, hotels, travel agents, movie theater and restaurants, and sells, leases, and maintains real estate.  Keisei Electric is a shareholder of Oriental Land Co., Ltd. which operates Tokyo Disneyland.

<ul>
<li>The activist investor is back and has demanded further action to unlock value from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>  management.</li>
<li>Operational numbers are still healthy, but growth is not as large due to the high base.</li>
<li>Immediate pressure to divest Oriental Land thus short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a>  and long Keisei.</li>
</ul>


The activist investor is back and has demanded further action to unlock value from Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)  management.
Operational numbers are still healthy, but growth is not as large due to the high base.
Immediate pressure to divest Oriental Land thus short Oriental Land (4661 JP)  and long Keisei.


Keisei Electric Rail (9009): For Relative Value Trade

Far East Hospitality Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

Far East Hospitality Trust is a hospitality stapled group comprising Far East H-REIT and Far East H-BT. Far East H-REIT is a Singapore-based real estate investment trust, which invests in hospitality assets and Far East H-BT, a Singapore-based business trust which will be dormant as of the Listing Date.

<ul>
<li>Taylor Swift concerts in Singapore has increased both hotels' occupancy rate and daily rate</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-east-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19061:1" rel="noopener">Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP)</a> share price has not moved much since the Swift concert. </li>
<li>There is a slim chance FEHT hotels did not participate in the upside during Swift event, but the odds are higher that FEHT hotels will participate in the upside.</li>
</ul>


Taylor Swift concerts in Singapore has increased both hotels' occupancy rate and daily rate

Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP) share price has not moved much since the Swift concert. 
There is a slim chance FEHT hotels did not participate in the upside during Swift event, but the odds are higher that FEHT hotels will participate in the upside.


Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT): Swift Effect

Travelsky Technology Ltd H / Equity Bottom-Up

Travelsky Technology Limited provides information technology solutions for China's air travel and tourism industries.  The Company provides electronic travel distribution systems, or ETD, in China, develops airport passenger processing and air cargo systems, owns and operates real-time network for China's civil aviation industry, and operates Internet-based travel platform.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travelsky-technology-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19829:1" rel="noopener">Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK)</a> share price has recovered by 25% since January 2024 sell off</li>
<li>CNY travel data indicates a huge potential of revenue increase for Travelsky.</li>
<li>At 18x PER, Travelsky has become a bargain in the travel sector that is clearly rebounding. </li>
</ul>



Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) share price has recovered by 25% since January 2024 sell off
CNY travel data indicates a huge potential of revenue increase for Travelsky.
At 18x PER, Travelsky has become a bargain in the travel sector that is clearly rebounding. 


Travelsky (696 HK): Big Jan and Feb so Far

A Long & Short Investment Ideas generator for Asian Equities with 10 years experience in a Hedge fund focused on bottom-up ideas, searching out mispriced ideas and misunderstood investment thesis. Provides on-the-ground insights in various Asian markets with a sway towards ASEAN. Experienced and survived the Asian Financial Crisis in a family business, as well as the Global Financial Crisis in financial markets where lessons learned. It's all about understanding business drivers and navigating business cycles, which has high applicability in generating investment ideas. 

Investment horizon: Mid to Long term

Henry Soediarko
Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas
• CrossASEAN Research

Cafe De Coral (341 HK): Immediate Upside

Cafe De Coral struggles to rebound post-COVID, while Haidilao International Holding sees share price rally alongside market indices. Profit alert...

Henry Soediarko

Sido Muncul (SIDO): Take Your Win First

After a poor year last year, SIDO operating numbers come back in Q4 23 and even more so in Q1 24 due to revenue growth and cost cutting exercise....

Henry Soediarko

Keisei Electric Rail (9009): For Relative Value Trade

Keisei's management received another pressure from activist investor to divest more stakes in Oriental Land. Weak Yen will help to bring tourists...

Henry Soediarko

Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT): Swift Effect

Far East Hospitality Trust hotels (74% of the revenue) should be beneficiaries of the Swift concert mania, but so far the share price has not gone...

Henry Soediarko

Travelsky (696 HK): Big Jan and Feb so Far

At 18x PER, Travelsky clearly is trading at undemanding valuation. The large growth of tourists coming during CNY also indicates that the potential...

Henry Soediarko

Cafe De Coral (341 HK): Immediate Upside

​Cafe De Coral struggles to rebound post-COVID, while Haidilao International Holding sees share price rally alongside market indices. Profit alert...

Henry Soediarko

Sido Muncul (SIDO): Take Your Win First

​After a poor year last year, SIDO operating numbers come back in Q4 23 and even more so in Q1 24 due to revenue growth and cost cutting exercise....

Henry Soediarko

Keisei Electric Rail (9009): For Relative Value Trade

Keisei's management received another pressure from activist investor to divest more stakes in Oriental Land. Weak Yen will help to bring tourists...

Henry Soediarko

Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT): Swift Effect

Far East Hospitality Trust hotels (74% of the revenue) should be beneficiaries of the Swift concert mania, but so far the share price has not gone...

Henry Soediarko

Travelsky (696 HK): Big Jan and Feb so Far

At 18x PER, Travelsky clearly is trading at undemanding valuation. The large growth of tourists coming during CNY also indicates that the potential...

Henry Soediarko

Cafe De Coral struggles to rebound post-COVID, while Haidilao International Holding sees share price rally alongside market indices. Profit alert...

After a poor year last year, SIDO operating numbers come back in Q4 23 and even more so in Q1 24 due to revenue growth and cost cutting exercise....