Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

Iron ores are rocks and minerals from which metallic iron can be economically extracted. The ores are usually rich in iron oxides and vary in color from dark grey, bright yellow, deep purple, to rusty red. The iron itself is usually found in the form of magnetite (Fe3O4, 72.4% Fe), hematite (Fe2O3, 69.9% Fe), goethite (FeO(OH), 62.9% Fe), limonite (FeO(OH).n(H2O)) or siderite (FeCO3, 48.2% Fe).

<ul>
<li>Year-End seasonality remains a powerful tailwind for iron ore, as post October holiday steel output recovery historically drives the market’s strongest gains.</li>
<li>Pre-Holiday inventory rebuilding by Chinese steel mills continues creating short-term demand distortions, opening repeatable tactical opportunities in iron ore markets.</li>
<li>Among the three major holiday-driven trading setups examined, the pre-Chinese New Year strategy generated the strongest cumulative profits despite posting a comparatively lower win rate.</li>
</ul>


Year-End seasonality remains a powerful tailwind for iron ore, as post October holiday steel output recovery historically drives the market’s strongest gains.
Pre-Holiday inventory rebuilding by Chinese steel mills continues creating short-term demand distortions, opening repeatable tactical opportunities in iron ore markets.
Among the three major holiday-driven trading setups examined, the pre-Chinese New Year strategy generated the strongest cumulative profits despite posting a comparatively lower win rate.


From Pre-CNY Rallies to Golden Week Shorts: Decoding Iron Ore’s Seasonal Playbook

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>TOP STORIES Cover Story: Digital Yuan Overhaul Targets Mass Adoption, Cross-Border Use China’s digital yuan has taken a step away from being a high-tech version of cash — and toward something closer to a bank deposit.</li><li>FINANCE &amp; ECONOMY Update: Strong Exports Keep China’s GDP Growth on Target China’s economy expanded 5% in 2025, buoyed by a record trade surplus that helped offset weak domestic demand and a persistent property slump weighing on investment.</li><li>Hong Kong Ties Up With Shanghai Gold Exchange on Gold Ecosystem The Hong Kong government plans to sign a memorandum of understanding with the Shanghai Gold Exchange to jointly build a gold ecosystem, as the city looks to expand its role in global bullion trading.</li></ul>

TOP STORIES Cover Story: Digital Yuan Overhaul Targets Mass Adoption, Cross-Border Use China’s digital yuan has taken a step away from being a high-tech version of cash — and toward something closer to a bank deposit.FINANCE &amp; ECONOMY Update: Strong Exports Keep China’s GDP Growth on Target China’s economy expanded 5% in 2025, buoyed by a record trade surplus that helped offset weak domestic demand and a persistent property slump weighing on investment.Hong Kong Ties Up With Shanghai Gold Exchange on Gold Ecosystem The Hong Kong government plans to sign a memorandum of understanding with the Shanghai Gold Exchange to jointly build a gold ecosystem, as the city looks to expand its role in global bullion trading.

CX Daily:  Digital Yuan Overhaul Targets Mass Adoption, Cross-Border Use 

<ul><li>Cover Story: China’s AI Titans Escalate Battle for Control of Digital Gateways</li><li>China to Allow Interest on Digital Yuan in Major Overhaul</li><li>China Rolls Out Nationwide Cross-Border Cash-Pooling Program</li><li>Hong Kong Fully Allocates $14 Billion Under Offshore Yuan Funding Facility </li></ul>

Cover Story: China’s AI Titans Escalate Battle for Control of Digital GatewaysChina to Allow Interest on Digital Yuan in Major OverhaulChina Rolls Out Nationwide Cross-Border Cash-Pooling ProgramHong Kong Fully Allocates $14 Billion Under Offshore Yuan Funding Facility 

CX Daily: China’s AI Titans Escalate Battle for Control of Digital Gateways 

Global Macro Strategist, Westbourne Research Services

Sharmila Whelan

Global Macro Strategist

Macroeconomic, Geopolitical and Policy Forecasting

Westbourne Research Services

Westbourne Research is a global macroeconomic, geopolitical and policy forecasting and strategic advisory consultancy. Located in London, UK and serving clients globally. Our knowledge is deep, spanning all asset classes and key industrial sectors. Our perspective is global. Our presence is expansive, with 30 years analysing and working in developed and emerging markets. We are uniquely India and China specialists.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>We still like the US dollar this year but medium to long-term the currency is challenged.</li>
<li>The share of the dollar in international reserves is declining steadily.</li>
<li>The biggest threat is not renminbi internationalisation by mBridge and other multi central bank digital currency platforms. </li>
</ul>


We still like the US dollar this year but medium to long-term the currency is challenged.
The share of the dollar in international reserves is declining steadily.
The biggest threat is not renminbi internationalisation by mBridge and other multi central bank digital currency platforms. 


Challenges To The Dollar - Make For A Sell

Global Commodities, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Global Commodities

<ul>
<li>Mixed steel prices reflected short-term boosts from rising hot metal output and policy support, offset by lingering property sector woes, trade uncertainties, and structural market challenges.</li>
<li>IO prices consolidated and closed slightly above the 200-day DMA indicating the strengthening of the bullish trend. Bulls risk facing a consolidation or downward correction from these levels. </li>
<li>Managed Money, Physicals participants &amp; Others are net short with 129.1k, 5.1k &amp; 18.6k lots respectively across all F&amp;O expiries. Managed Money decreased net shorts while FIIs decreased net longs.</li>
</ul>


Mixed steel prices reflected short-term boosts from rising hot metal output and policy support, offset by lingering property sector woes, trade uncertainties, and structural market challenges.
IO prices consolidated and closed slightly above the 200-day DMA indicating the strengthening of the bullish trend. Bulls risk facing a consolidation or downward correction from these levels. 
Managed Money, Physicals participants &amp; Others are net short with 129.1k, 5.1k &amp; 18.6k lots respectively across all F&amp;O expiries. Managed Money decreased net shorts while FIIs decreased net longs.


Iron Ore Weekly TA Review [2025/04]: Continued Bullishness Pre-CNY