A Value Investing Journal, Acid Investments

Acid Investments

A Value Investing Journal

I love stonks and I love rambling. Sometimes, I feel it unfair to subject those around me with the inundation of my thoughts, so I tweet and I spill ink on here. Jokes aside, I love investing and edgy ideas; I hope to become a better investor and this is my journal to that end. I will be sharing value/special situations I come across organically or through other blogs/13F and I hope to provide a variant analytical view to said situations. I hope to receive constructive feedback and let’s grab some of dem benjamins together!

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>If anyone remembers, in the spring of last year, we had a banking crisis - multiple bank-runs that led to the some of the largest bank failures in US history.</li><li>Sparked by the bankruptcy of FTX, Silvergate was first hit by a bank run before the subsequent panic-induced domino-closure of <strong>three highly reputable banks</strong> - Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), NY based Signature Bank and lastly, First Republic Bank.</li><li>I still vividly remember the day, Peter Thiel “commanded his cronies” to pull their money out of SVB, ASAP; the stock gapped down bigly at opening and the rest is history.</li></ul>

If anyone remembers, in the spring of last year, we had a banking crisis - multiple bank-runs that led to the some of the largest bank failures in US history.Sparked by the bankruptcy of FTX, Silvergate was first hit by a bank run before the subsequent panic-induced domino-closure of three highly reputable banks - Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), NY based Signature Bank and lastly, First Republic Bank.I still vividly remember the day, Peter Thiel “commanded his cronies” to pull their money out of SVB, ASAP; the stock gapped down bigly at opening and the rest is history.

Thanksgiving musings: What's done extremely well over the last year???

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Weekly HFD for large US banks are turning positive in several areas, making the mosaic even stronger than if just as single series were improving</li>
<li>Loan growth for the largest US banks is now positive even if low, but moving from a negative rate of growth, the trajectory is a steady improvement</li>
<li>Loan loss reserves growth is lowering, suggesting bettering LGD and PD while large time deposit growth is down substantially, improving liquidity risk (which can impact credit)</li>
</ul>


Weekly HFD for large US banks are turning positive in several areas, making the mosaic even stronger than if just as single series were improving
Loan growth for the largest US banks is now positive even if low, but moving from a negative rate of growth, the trajectory is a steady improvement
Loan loss reserves growth is lowering, suggesting bettering LGD and PD while large time deposit growth is down substantially, improving liquidity risk (which can impact credit)


US Banks - Strong Weekly Balance Sheet Figures for Loans, Loan Loss Reserves and Time Deposits

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Indian Whiskey Maker Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers Sets Terms for $180 Million IPO</li>
<li>Indian State-Owned Banks Sell Bonds as Foreign Demand Surges Ahead of Index Inclusion</li>
<li>K92 Mining Expands Loan and Offtake Agreement with Trafigura to Advance Kainantu Operations</li>
</ul>


Indian Whiskey Maker Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers Sets Terms for $180 Million IPO
Indian State-Owned Banks Sell Bonds as Foreign Demand Surges Ahead of Index Inclusion
K92 Mining Expands Loan and Offtake Agreement with Trafigura to Advance Kainantu Operations


#21Business Buzz: ABD $180 Mn IPO, State Owned Banks Sell Bonds, K29 Secures $120 Mn Loan

<ul>
<li>UBS merger with Credit Suisse sparks concerns over reduced competition and higher financing costs</li>
<li>EU announces tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, risking trade tensions with China</li>
<li>Preliminary wage deal at BHP’s Spence copper mine averts potential costly strike</li>
</ul>


UBS merger with Credit Suisse sparks concerns over reduced competition and higher financing costs
EU announces tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, risking trade tensions with China
Preliminary wage deal at BHP’s Spence copper mine averts potential costly strike


#17Business Buzz: BHP Averts Strike, UBS Market Concerns, EU Tariffs on Chinese EVs

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The FSS mentioned it has uncovered 211 billion won of naked short sales by Credit Suisse and 8 other global banks of Korea-listed stocks between 2021 and 2023. </li>
<li>The current ban on short selling stocks could be extended to at least 1H 2025. </li>
<li>The Korean government's imposing these large fines on the foreign brokers is sending a message to the foreign brokers to not engage in naked short selling.</li>
</ul>


The FSS mentioned it has uncovered 211 billion won of naked short sales by Credit Suisse and 8 other global banks of Korea-listed stocks between 2021 and 2023. 
The current ban on short selling stocks could be extended to at least 1H 2025. 
The Korean government's imposing these large fines on the foreign brokers is sending a message to the foreign brokers to not engage in naked short selling.


Big Fines on Foreign Investment Banks for Naked Short Selling in Korea - Implications

Are we heading towards a banking contagion?

The Banking Turmoil
Are we heading towards a banking contagion?

Thanksgiving musings: What's done extremely well over the last year???

If anyone remembers, in the spring of last year, we had a banking crisis - multiple bank-runs that led to the some of the largest bank failures in...

Acid Investments

US Banks - Strong Weekly Balance Sheet Figures for Loans, Loan Loss Reserves and Time Deposits

The largest US banks by assets are showing HFD that is increasingly positive for loan growth, loan loss reserves growth and large time deposits...

Daniel Tabbush

#21Business Buzz: ABD $180 Mn IPO, State Owned Banks Sell Bonds, K29 Secures $120 Mn Loan

Indian companies in various sectors are taking advantage of favorable market conditions to raise funds and expand their operations through IPOs,...

Nimish Maheshwari

#17Business Buzz: BHP Averts Strike, UBS Market Concerns, EU Tariffs on Chinese EVs

"UBS-Credit Suisse merger sparks competition fears. EU tariffs on Chinese EVs heighten trade tensions. BHP's Spence mine wage deal averts costly...

Nimish Maheshwari

Big Fines on Foreign Investment Banks for Naked Short Selling in Korea - Implications

The FSS mentioned it has uncovered 211 billion won of naked short sales by Credit Suisse and 8 other global banks of Korea-listed stocks between...

Douglas Kim

Thanksgiving musings: What's done extremely well over the last year???

If anyone remembers, in the spring of last year, we had a banking crisis - multiple bank-runs that led to the some of the largest bank failures in...

Acid Investments

US Banks - Strong Weekly Balance Sheet Figures for Loans, Loan Loss Reserves and Time Deposits

The largest US banks by assets are showing HFD that is increasingly positive for loan growth, loan loss reserves growth and large time deposits...

Daniel Tabbush

#21Business Buzz: ABD $180 Mn IPO, State Owned Banks Sell Bonds, K29 Secures $120 Mn Loan

​Indian companies in various sectors are taking advantage of favorable market conditions to raise funds and expand their operations through IPOs,...

Nimish Maheshwari

#17Business Buzz: BHP Averts Strike, UBS Market Concerns, EU Tariffs on Chinese EVs

"UBS-Credit Suisse merger sparks competition fears. EU tariffs on Chinese EVs heighten trade tensions. BHP's Spence mine wage deal averts costly...

Nimish Maheshwari

Big Fines on Foreign Investment Banks for Naked Short Selling in Korea - Implications

The FSS mentioned it has uncovered 211 billion won of naked short sales by Credit Suisse and 8 other global banks of Korea-listed stocks between...

Douglas Kim

Indian companies in various sectors are taking advantage of favorable market conditions to raise funds and expand their operations through IPOs,...