IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lygend-resources-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36493:1" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK)</a> raised US$470 million, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weilong-delicious-global-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33378:1" rel="noopener">Weilong Delicious Global (WDG HK)</a> pre-market IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments -<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chip-eng-seng-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6441:1" rel="noopener">Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, DTAC/True.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK) raised US$470 million, Growatt Technology (1833969D CH) and Weilong Delicious Global (WDG HK) pre-market IPOs.
Event-Driven developments -Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP), Keppel Corp (KEP SP), Singapore Medical (SMG SP), Link Administration (LNK AU), Pendal Group (PDL AU), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), DTAC/True.


Weekly Deals Digest (27 Nov) - Keppel, Chip Eng Seng, Link Admin, DTAC/True, Growatt, Weilong

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>’s EGM on 8 December requires majority shareholder approval of two ordinary resolutions. The IFA notes that the transaction terms are “not prejudicial” to minorities.</li>
<li>Keppel shareholders will be supportive due to attractive terms. The other key conditions precedent is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> shareholders and regulatory approvals (SGX-ST and Maritime Port Authority of Singapore). </li>
<li>The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.30 per share, which is 12% above the last close.</li>
</ul>



Keppel Corp (KEP SP)’s EGM on 8 December requires majority shareholder approval of two ordinary resolutions. The IFA notes that the transaction terms are “not prejudicial” to minorities.
Keppel shareholders will be supportive due to attractive terms. The other key conditions precedent is Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) shareholders and regulatory approvals (SGX-ST and Maritime Port Authority of Singapore). 
The deal is expected to close by the end of the year. Our Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.30 per share, which is 12% above the last close.


Keppel (KEP SP) Vote on Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine Transaction on 8 Dec

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>From the 21 Oct to 21 Nov close, the STI rallied 9.4%, with Singapore’s 100 most traded stocks averaging 8.0% total returns.</li><li>The 100 stocks represent all key sectors, with Telecommunications, Banks, and Technology Sectors seeing the most net fund inflows, proportionate to their current market capitalisation over the month, while the Energy, Materials & Resources, and Utilities Sectors saw the most proportionate net fund outflows.</li><li>This saw the Telecommunications, Banks, and Technology Sectors book the highest net fund inflows, proportionate to their respective current market capitalisation over the month.</li></ul>

From the 21 Oct to 21 Nov close, the STI rallied 9.4%, with Singapore’s 100 most traded stocks averaging 8.0% total returns.The 100 stocks represent all key sectors, with Telecommunications, Banks, and Technology Sectors seeing the most net fund inflows, proportionate to their current market capitalisation over the month, while the Energy, Materials & Resources, and Utilities Sectors saw the most proportionate net fund outflows.This saw the Telecommunications, Banks, and Technology Sectors book the highest net fund inflows, proportionate to their respective current market capitalisation over the month.

Sectors & Stocks That Led the Past Month's Net Fund Inflows

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a> announced salutary H1 results on Nov 1. The numbers were good, the innards suggested cost pressures. The revised forecasts suggested conservativeness, or risk of weakness.</li>
<li>The company also announced a stock buyback. It's only about 2% of shares out, which is 5-10% of Real World Float, but the stock has a low-beta risk character.</li>
<li>And it is quite cheap on a capital construct basis. EV/EBITDA to Mar23 on conservative guidance is 4.6x. Adj EV/EBITDA Mar23e deducing securities and net receivables? 3.7x. </li>
</ul>



ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP) announced salutary H1 results on Nov 1. The numbers were good, the innards suggested cost pressures. The revised forecasts suggested conservativeness, or risk of weakness.
The company also announced a stock buyback. It's only about 2% of shares out, which is 5-10% of Real World Float, but the stock has a low-beta risk character.
And it is quite cheap on a capital construct basis. EV/EBITDA to Mar23 on conservative guidance is 4.6x. Adj EV/EBITDA Mar23e deducing securities and net receivables? 3.7x. 


Rohm (6963): Costs Up, FX Gains Up More, Small Buyback, Cheap (And N225 Inclusion In the Distance)

<ul><li>Singapore’s 30 most traded stocks outside of the STI have seen ~S$670 million in net fund outflows in the 2022 YTD, with declines in October, bringing their average 2022 YTD decline in total return of the stocks to 5%.</li><li>Total returns of the five stocks over the 43 weeks varied from -10% for Riverstone to +202% for Golden Energy & Res.</li><li>Similarly, as energy stocks have led the global stock market this year, the four energy stocks tabled below have averaged 57% total returns over the past 43 weeks (with the median gain at 26%).</li></ul>

Singapore’s 30 most traded stocks outside of the STI have seen ~S$670 million in net fund outflows in the 2022 YTD, with declines in October, bringing their average 2022 YTD decline in total return of the stocks to 5%.Total returns of the five stocks over the 43 weeks varied from -10% for Riverstone to +202% for Golden Energy & Res.Similarly, as energy stocks have led the global stock market this year, the four energy stocks tabled below have averaged 57% total returns over the past 43 weeks (with the median gain at 26%).

Mixed Oct Returns for Singapore's Most Traded Non-STI stocks

Singapore

Seatrium is a Singapore-headquartered engineering firm providing innovative solutions to the global offshore, marine, and energy industries. It specializes in oil & gas newbuilds and conversions, offshore renewables, specialized shipbuilding, and repairs & upgrades. The company was formed in 2023 through the merger of Sembcorp Marine and Keppel Offshore & Marine.

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Seatrium (STM SP)

Weekly Deals Digest (27 Nov) - Keppel, Chip Eng Seng, Link Admin, DTAC/True, Growatt, Weilong

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Link Admin, Nearmap, Nitro, Pendal, Lifestyle, Chip Eng Seng, Keppel, Singapore Medical,...

Arun George

Keppel (KEP SP) Vote on Keppel O&M and Sembcorp Marine Transaction on 8 Dec

The transaction is a win-win for both sets of shareholders. The vote requires majority shareholder approval. Our Keppel SoTP valuation is S$8.30...

Arun George

Sectors & Stocks That Led the Past Month's Net Fund Inflows

From the 21 Oct to 21 Nov close, the STI rallied 9.4%, with Singapore’s 100 most traded stocks averaging 8.0% total returns. The 100 stocks...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Rohm (6963): Costs Up, FX Gains Up More, Small Buyback, Cheap (And N225 Inclusion In the Distance)

Rohm's H1 results were good, goosed by FX, and hampered by cost rises. H2 looks conservative. It's cheap, there's a buyback, and longer-term a...

Travis Lundy

Mixed Oct Returns for Singapore's Most Traded Non-STI stocks

Singapore’s 30 most traded stocks outside of the STI have seen ~S$670 million in net fund outflows in the 2022 YTD, with declines in October,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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