HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>'s management update suggested that its outlook remains encouraging. Order backlog of Rmb87.8bn well covers the FY22 revenue at 1.57x.  </li>
<li>It is positive towards pumped storage, alternative power storage and hydrogen energy. Although they may not have significant near-term contribution, DEC is well-positioned in the long term.</li>
<li>While new A-shares issue will dilute EPS, this should lower gearing (including contract liabilities) to 32.1%, from 49.2%, and is positive to H-share holders as book value will be enhanced.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)'s management update suggested that its outlook remains encouraging. Order backlog of Rmb87.8bn well covers the FY22 revenue at 1.57x.  
It is positive towards pumped storage, alternative power storage and hydrogen energy. Although they may not have significant near-term contribution, DEC is well-positioned in the long term.
While new A-shares issue will dilute EPS, this should lower gearing (including contract liabilities) to 32.1%, from 49.2%, and is positive to H-share holders as book value will be enhanced.


Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Positive Takeaways from Post-Result Presentation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>'s 35.1% increase in FY22 recurring earnings demonstrated its healthy operations. Slowdown in 4Q22 (+14.4% YoY) is more a result of pandemic disruption. </li>
<li>Record new orders of Rmb65.6bn were signed FY22 (+16.3% YoY), and 4Q22 even saw a 25% growth. End-FY22 backlog is estimated to be enough to cover 1.66x FY22 revenue.</li>
<li>DEC targets a 35% growth in power generation equipment production volume in FY23. Power storage, including pumped storage, and hydrogen energy are important engines going forward.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)'s 35.1% increase in FY22 recurring earnings demonstrated its healthy operations. Slowdown in 4Q22 (+14.4% YoY) is more a result of pandemic disruption. 
Record new orders of Rmb65.6bn were signed FY22 (+16.3% YoY), and 4Q22 even saw a 25% growth. End-FY22 backlog is estimated to be enough to cover 1.66x FY22 revenue.
DEC targets a 35% growth in power generation equipment production volume in FY23. Power storage, including pumped storage, and hydrogen energy are important engines going forward.


Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Heading Towards Another Fruitful Year

<ul>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a>'s share price has lagged YTD, its 3Q25 and 9M25 results look decent with 6.2% and 12.9% YoY increase, respectively.</li>
<li>Its backlog orders amount of Rmb30.8bn, up by 10.9% YoY, is a record high. This is already enough to cover the full-year FY26 projected revenue.</li>
<li>With a 13.4% 3-year EPS CAGR, its PERs are inexpensive. Meanwhile, it is in an excellent position to thrive under China's 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030).</li>
</ul>


While CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)'s share price has lagged YTD, its 3Q25 and 9M25 results look decent with 6.2% and 12.9% YoY increase, respectively.
Its backlog orders amount of Rmb30.8bn, up by 10.9% YoY, is a record high. This is already enough to cover the full-year FY26 projected revenue.
With a 13.4% 3-year EPS CAGR, its PERs are inexpensive. Meanwhile, it is in an excellent position to thrive under China's 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030).


CIMC Enric (3899 HK): A Laggard That Is Poised to Revive

Shanghai Electric Group Company / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With a 37.3% rally in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)</a>'s share price in the last 5 trading days, it is poised for a correction, which is a long-term opportunity. </li>
<li>Key positive drivers include its Fanuc Robots earnings, progress in China's nuclear fusion project, solid new order momentum, and speculation on asset acquisition.</li>
<li>PER valuations are not cheap, but this is understandable due to the company's transition. However, its 1.5x P/B multiple is not outrageously expensive relative to peers.</li>
</ul>


With a 37.3% rally in Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)'s share price in the last 5 trading days, it is poised for a correction, which is a long-term opportunity. 
Key positive drivers include its Fanuc Robots earnings, progress in China's nuclear fusion project, solid new order momentum, and speculation on asset acquisition.
PER valuations are not cheap, but this is understandable due to the company's transition. However, its 1.5x P/B multiple is not outrageously expensive relative to peers.


Shanghai Electric (2727 HK): High Risk, High Return

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Jilin Jiutai Rural Comm Bank / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 3rd July 2025, Jilin Province Trust must a voluntary Offer at HK$0.70/share (~0.23x P/B!!) for troubled rural commercial bank <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jilin-jiutai-rural-comm-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23735:1" rel="noopener">Jilin Jiutai Rural Comm Bank (6122 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Shares have been suspended since 12th March. Jilin Jiutai have yet to publish their 2024 annual results. It's doubtful shares will resume trading. Ever. </li>
<li>
The Composite Doc Booklet is now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0910/2025091000391.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a H-share class meeting on the 24th October, the same day as the first close. The IFA (Gram) says "fair &amp; reasonable".</li>
</ul>


Back on the 3rd July 2025, Jilin Province Trust must a voluntary Offer at HK$0.70/share (~0.23x P/B!!) for troubled rural commercial bank Jilin Jiutai Rural Comm Bank (6122 HK). 
Shares have been suspended since 12th March. Jilin Jiutai have yet to publish their 2024 annual results. It's doubtful shares will resume trading. Ever. 

The Composite Doc Booklet is now out, with a H-share class meeting on the 24th October, the same day as the first close. The IFA (Gram) says "fair &amp; reasonable".


Jilin Jiutai Bank (6122 HK): Take The Offer. It Is What It Is

China

Harbin Electric Company Limited manufactures a comprehensive range of electric power generation equipment including thermal power generator sets, boilers, steam and hydro turbine and turbine generator sets.  The Company also provides power station engineering services and manufactures ancillary equipment for power stations as well as AC/DC motor and other products.

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Harbin Electric Co Ltd H (1133 HK)

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Positive Takeaways from Post-Result Presentation

Order backlog of Rmb87.8bn well covers the FY22 revenue at 1.57x. New A-shares issue will dilute EPS but this should lower gearing and is positive...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Heading Towards Another Fruitful Year

After a solid FY22, FY23 will still be impressive. Record new orders and healthy backlog will propel growth. We believe DEC has excellent exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): A Laggard That Is Poised to Revive

CIMC Enric announced that it will buy back no more than 30m shares, equivalent to 1.5% of the total outstanding shares. The total consideration...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Shanghai Electric (2727 HK): High Risk, High Return

Shanghai Electric is set for a correction after the recent rally, but a long-term opportunity is seen. Positive drivers include Fanuc Robots'...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Jilin Jiutai Bank (6122 HK): Take The Offer. It Is What It Is

Jilin Jiutai is suspended, so there is nothing to be done, if not in. If you hold shares, vote for the Offer, then tender. It is what it is. The...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Positive Takeaways from Post-Result Presentation

Order backlog of Rmb87.8bn well covers the FY22 revenue at 1.57x. New A-shares issue will dilute EPS but this should lower gearing and is positive...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Heading Towards Another Fruitful Year

After a solid FY22, FY23 will still be impressive. Record new orders and healthy backlog will propel growth. We believe DEC has excellent exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): A Laggard That Is Poised to Revive

CIMC Enric announced that it will buy back no more than 30m shares, equivalent to 1.5% of the total outstanding shares. The total consideration...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Shanghai Electric (2727 HK): High Risk, High Return

​Shanghai Electric is set for a correction after the recent rally, but a long-term opportunity is seen. Positive drivers include Fanuc Robots'...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Jilin Jiutai Bank (6122 HK): Take The Offer. It Is What It Is

Jilin Jiutai is suspended, so there is nothing to be done, if not in. If you hold shares, vote for the Offer, then tender. It is what it is. The...

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai Electric is set for a correction after the recent rally, but a long-term opportunity is seen. Positive drivers include Fanuc Robots'...