Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 16 June 2025, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> sub NTT Docomo and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12434:1" rel="noopener">Dentsu Inc (4324 JP)</a> announced Docomo would buy out minorities in Dentsu sub Carta Holdings.</li>
<li>It's an OK price, not a great price. But while they are not calculated by advisors, at least the Target Board talks about the value of synergies to minorities.</li>
<li>The price is light, but the combined irrevocables and large individual shareholders not brought over the wall get this over the line.</li>
</ul>


On 16 June 2025, NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) sub NTT Docomo and Dentsu Inc (4324 JP) announced Docomo would buy out minorities in Dentsu sub Carta Holdings.
It's an OK price, not a great price. But while they are not calculated by advisors, at least the Target Board talks about the value of synergies to minorities.
The price is light, but the combined irrevocables and large individual shareholders not brought over the wall get this over the line.


[Japan M&A] NTT Docomo Buys Out Carta Holdings (3688) Minorities - Done Deal

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carta-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9634:1" rel="noopener">Carta Holdings, Inc. (3688 JP)</a> has recommended a preconditional tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> at JPY2,100, a 37.2% premium to the last close price.</li>
<li>The offer is preconditional on several regulatory approvals, expected to commence in late August, and aligns with the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range.</li>
<li>Due to irrevocables from the controlling shareholder and key management, the required minority tendering rate is 11.2%. This low rate points to a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Carta Holdings, Inc. (3688 JP) has recommended a preconditional tender offer from NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) at JPY2,100, a 37.2% premium to the last close price.
The offer is preconditional on several regulatory approvals, expected to commence in late August, and aligns with the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range.
Due to irrevocables from the controlling shareholder and key management, the required minority tendering rate is 11.2%. This low rate points to a done deal. 


Carta Holdings (3688 JP): NTT DoCoMo’s JPY2,100 Preconditional Tender Offer Is a Done Deal

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Furukawa's stock surged after announcing shareholder-friendly measures, including asset sales, a buyback, and a dividend hike; activist City Index takes some profits.</li>
<li>The Japanese market faced a volatile week, ultimately closing lower, with the Nikkei declining by 1% - a mix of strong macro data, tariffs, and yen moves</li>
<li>Daifuku surged 25% on strong earnings, cost savings, and a robust FY25 order outlook, reinforcing confidence in long-term growth.</li>
</ul>


Furukawa's stock surged after announcing shareholder-friendly measures, including asset sales, a buyback, and a dividend hike; activist City Index takes some profits.
The Japanese market faced a volatile week, ultimately closing lower, with the Nikkei declining by 1% - a mix of strong macro data, tariffs, and yen moves
Daifuku surged 25% on strong earnings, cost savings, and a robust FY25 order outlook, reinforcing confidence in long-term growth.


Japan Strategy Weekly | City Index Cashes in on Furukawa

Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Dentsu posted Q324 organic net revenue growth of 0.3%, making a decline of 1.1% over the nine-month period. This is slightly below expectations at the half-year and, as the market for larger, transformational projects is still stagnant, management has trimmed full year organic revenue growth guidance to 0% (was 1%) and that for adjusted operating profit by 7%. There are positive elements to these figures, in particular continuing progress in Japan and good new business boosted by the ‘one dentsu’ initiative. The unveiling of the mid-term management plan has been delayed to February 2025, with the FY24 figures. Post the reaction to the Q3 figures, the shares now trade at a 10% discount to peers on EV/EBITDA.</p>

Dentsu posted Q324 organic net revenue growth of 0.3%, making a decline of 1.1% over the nine-month period. This is slightly below expectations at the half-year and, as the market for larger, transformational projects is still stagnant, management has trimmed full year organic revenue growth guidance to 0% (was 1%) and that for adjusted operating profit by 7%. There are positive elements to these figures, in particular continuing progress in Japan and good new business boosted by the ‘one dentsu’ initiative. The unveiling of the mid-term management plan has been delayed to February 2025, with the FY24 figures. Post the reaction to the Q3 figures, the shares now trade at a 10% discount to peers on EV/EBITDA.

Dentsu Group - Still fighting market headwinds

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Japan

DENTSU INC. mainly provides comprehensive advertising services.  The Company also provides marketing and event planning & promotion services.  Dentsu has associated companies in the US, Europe, and Asia.

Price Gauge
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Dentsu Inc (4324 JP)

[Japan M&A] NTT Docomo Buys Out Carta Holdings (3688) Minorities - Done Deal

NTT Docomo is buying out Dentsu sub Carta Holdings' minorities. The TOB price is a 3yr high. It's not overwhelming but the CEO/CFO are in, and...

Travis Lundy

Carta Holdings (3688 JP): NTT DoCoMo’s JPY2,100 Preconditional Tender Offer Is a Done Deal

Due to irrevocables from the controlling shareholder and key management, the required minority tendering rate is 11.2%. This low rate points to a...

Arun George

Japan Strategy Weekly | City Index Cashes in on Furukawa

Furukawa's shareholder-friendly measures boost stock, Japanese market faces volatility, Daifuku surges on strong earnings and outlook.

Mark Chadwick

Dentsu Group - Still fighting market headwinds

Dentsu posted Q324 organic net revenue growth of 0.3%, making a decline of 1.1% over the nine-month period. This is slightly below expectations at...

Edison Investment Research

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Japan M&A] NTT Docomo Buys Out Carta Holdings (3688) Minorities - Done Deal

NTT Docomo is buying out Dentsu sub Carta Holdings' minorities. The TOB price is a 3yr high. It's not overwhelming but the CEO/CFO are in, and...

Travis Lundy

Carta Holdings (3688 JP): NTT DoCoMo’s JPY2,100 Preconditional Tender Offer Is a Done Deal

Due to irrevocables from the controlling shareholder and key management, the required minority tendering rate is 11.2%. This low rate points to a...

Arun George

Japan Strategy Weekly | City Index Cashes in on Furukawa

​Furukawa's shareholder-friendly measures boost stock, Japanese market faces volatility, Daifuku surges on strong earnings and outlook.

Mark Chadwick

Dentsu Group - Still fighting market headwinds

Dentsu posted Q324 organic net revenue growth of 0.3%, making a decline of 1.1% over the nine-month period. This is slightly below expectations at...

Edison Investment Research

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Furukawa's shareholder-friendly measures boost stock, Japanese market faces volatility, Daifuku surges on strong earnings and outlook.