Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Mar 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD517.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,159mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instistutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, Kakao, LG Chem.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Mar 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD517.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,159mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instistutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, Kakao, LG Chem.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 1st): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, Kakao

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD519.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,484mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instistutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Hanwha Ocean, Sk Hynix, Posco Holdings, Samsung C&amp;T.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD519.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,484mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instistutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Hanwha Ocean, Sk Hynix, Posco Holdings, Samsung C&amp;T.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 23rd): Hanwha Ocean, Sk Hynix, Posco Holdings, Samsung C&T

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Unlike typical Korean stock rights arbitrage, LG Display's significant equity offering and active stock futures trading anticipate a spread opening, akin to the recent Hanwha Ocean scenario.</li>
<li>In contrast to Hanwha Ocean, the absence of major sellers, like KDB, sets this event apart. LG Electronics, the major shareholder with a 37.9% stake, intends to participate.</li>
<li>Despite differences from Hanwha Ocean, LG Display's high retail shareholder presence implies a substantial likelihood of stock rights overhang, even without players like KDB.</li>
</ul>


Unlike typical Korean stock rights arbitrage, LG Display's significant equity offering and active stock futures trading anticipate a spread opening, akin to the recent Hanwha Ocean scenario.
In contrast to Hanwha Ocean, the absence of major sellers, like KDB, sets this event apart. LG Electronics, the major shareholder with a 37.9% stake, intends to participate.
Despite differences from Hanwha Ocean, LG Display's high retail shareholder presence implies a substantial likelihood of stock rights overhang, even without players like KDB.


Arb Trading with Stock Rights in Korea: A Basic Guide Featuring LG Display Offering

<ul>
<li>KOSDAQ 150's passive outflow occurs on December 14th for Celltrion Healthcare, whereas it would be January 11th for Celltrion with KOSPI 200.</li>
<li>The estimated passive flow size (x ADTV) on their respective rebalancing trading days is anticipated to be approximately -2.79x (Celltrion Healthcare) and +1.76x (Celltrion).</li>
<li>We should monitor the potential expansion of the swap spread on December 14th. Additionally, contemplating an outright approach for Celltrion, akin to the Hanwha Ocean scenario, could be worth considering.</li>
</ul>


KOSDAQ 150's passive outflow occurs on December 14th for Celltrion Healthcare, whereas it would be January 11th for Celltrion with KOSPI 200.
The estimated passive flow size (x ADTV) on their respective rebalancing trading days is anticipated to be approximately -2.79x (Celltrion Healthcare) and +1.76x (Celltrion).
We should monitor the potential expansion of the swap spread on December 14th. Additionally, contemplating an outright approach for Celltrion, akin to the Hanwha Ocean scenario, could be worth considering.


Spread Trade Opportunities Arising from KQ150/KS200 Passive Flows in the Celltrion Merger

<ul>
<li>Futures backwardation resulting from the short selling ban will persist. Also, the contraction of market making will lead to more widespread and frequent occurrences of extreme spreads.</li>
<li>The straightforward sell arbitrage (reverse cash and carry) is no longer viable. We must pay attention to the emergence of new price and trading patterns driven by these market conditions.</li>
<li>One potential pattern is the possibility of spot buying centered around those that exhibited extreme spreads at expiration. This has already been observed to some extent in this month's expiration.</li>
</ul>


Futures backwardation resulting from the short selling ban will persist. Also, the contraction of market making will lead to more widespread and frequent occurrences of extreme spreads.
The straightforward sell arbitrage (reverse cash and carry) is no longer viable. We must pay attention to the emergence of new price and trading patterns driven by these market conditions.
One potential pattern is the possibility of spot buying centered around those that exhibited extreme spreads at expiration. This has already been observed to some extent in this month's expiration.


Understanding Extreme SSF Spreads in Korea & Trading Approaches

South Korea

Hanwha Ocean Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding and offshore company. The Company provides floating structure construction, steel wire drying, commercial vessels, specialty vessels, gas carrier, tanker, containership, ro ro, bulk carrier, submarine, warship, auxiliaries, cruise ships, and ferries manufacturing services. Hanwha Ocean also offers onshore plants services.

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Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 1st): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, Kakao

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 23rd): Hanwha Ocean, Sk Hynix, Posco Holdings, Samsung C&T

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hanwha Ocean, Sk Hynix, Posco Holdings, Samsung C&T.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Arb Trading with Stock Rights in Korea: A Basic Guide Featuring LG Display Offering

This post offers a basic guide to arbitrage trading using stock rights in Korean equity offerings, with LG Display's recent announcement as an...

Sanghyun Park

Spread Trade Opportunities Arising from KQ150/KS200 Passive Flows in the Celltrion Merger

This post delves into the detailed implications of the Celltrion merger on KOSPI 200/KOSDAQ 150 passive flows. It's crucial, as the widening swap...

Sanghyun Park

Understanding Extreme SSF Spreads in Korea & Trading Approaches

This post offers insights into the currently observed extreme spreads in the Korean single stock futures market and explores practical trading...

Sanghyun Park

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