Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Trump administration proposed a new 100% tariffs at movies produced outside the United States. Korean contents account for about 8-9% of total viewing hours on Netflix globally.</li>
<li>Top three listed film/drama production companies in Korea including Studio Dragon, CJ ENM, and ContentreeJoongAng are likely to be negatively impacted by the new major tariffs imposed by the U.S.</li>
<li>Economics of making a movie is much cheaper in South Korea versus the U.S. Producing a film in South Korea can cost 30–70% less than in the United States.</li>
</ul>


The Trump administration proposed a new 100% tariffs at movies produced outside the United States. Korean contents account for about 8-9% of total viewing hours on Netflix globally.
Top three listed film/drama production companies in Korea including Studio Dragon, CJ ENM, and ContentreeJoongAng are likely to be negatively impacted by the new major tariffs imposed by the U.S.
Economics of making a movie is much cheaper in South Korea versus the U.S. Producing a film in South Korea can cost 30–70% less than in the United States.


A 100% Tariffs on Films Produced Outside the U.S. - Negative on Korean Film Production Companies

<ul>
<li>One of the big thematic events on the Korean stock market has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean popular culture (Hallyu) as early as May 2025. </li>
<li>China's President Xi recently stated <em>"Cultural exchanges are a valuable part of our bilateral relations [between China and Korea]. We should avoid any problems occurring in handling such matters.” </em>
</li>
<li>We provide a list of 40 stocks in Korea that could most benefit from the end of lifting ban of Korean popular culture. </li>
</ul>


One of the big thematic events on the Korean stock market has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean popular culture (Hallyu) as early as May 2025. 
China's President Xi recently stated "Cultural exchanges are a valuable part of our bilateral relations [between China and Korea]. We should avoid any problems occurring in handling such matters.” 

We provide a list of 40 stocks in Korea that could most benefit from the end of lifting ban of Korean popular culture. 


China Could Lift Ban on Korean Popular Culture (Hallyu) As Early As May 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Mirae Asset Tiger Media Contents ETF / Event-Driven

Mirae Asset Tiger Media Contents ETF (228810 KS)

<ul>
<li>Next Thursday, the rebalancing trading of the WISE Secondary Cell Index will occur. The current AUM is ₩0.15T, and the AUM has increased a bit in the last two weeks.</li>
<li>Four names (2 Longs &amp; 2 Shorts) are screened as follows: <strong>CJ ENM, Dear U, JYP Entertainment, &amp; Jcontentree Corp</strong>.</li>
<li>We should consider putting only JYP Ent in the Short basket. On the other hand, it seems okay to put CJ ENM and Dear U together in the Long basket.</li>
</ul>


Next Thursday, the rebalancing trading of the WISE Secondary Cell Index will occur. The current AUM is ₩0.15T, and the AUM has increased a bit in the last two weeks.
Four names (2 Longs &amp; 2 Shorts) are screened as follows: CJ ENM, Dear U, JYP Entertainment, &amp; Jcontentree Corp.
We should consider putting only JYP Ent in the Short basket. On the other hand, it seems okay to put CJ ENM and Dear U together in the Long basket.


WISE Media Contents Rebalancing (TIGER ETF): Long/Short Tradable Names

South Korea

ContentreeJoongAng corp. operates as a comprehensive media content company. The Company provides drama and movie intellectual property investment and distribution, large multiplex megabox media platform operation, premium theater and movie distributor, broadcast production, and other related services. ContentreeJoongAng markets its products worldwide.

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ContentreeJoongAng (036420 KS)

A 100% Tariffs on Films Produced Outside the U.S. - Negative on Korean Film Production Companies

Top three listed film/drama production companies in Korea including Studio Dragon, CJ ENM, and ContentreeJoongAng are likely to be negatively...

Douglas Kim

China Could Lift Ban on Korean Popular Culture (Hallyu) As Early As May 2025

One of the big thematic events that have impacted the Korean stock market this week has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

We currently forecast 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices. There are stocks that are potential KOSPI200 adds in December and others that will...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

We currently forecast 52 changes for the KOSPI Size Indices. While there are few passive assets tracking these indices, they are used by active...

Brian Freitas

WISE Media Contents Rebalancing (TIGER ETF): Long/Short Tradable Names

This post recommends Long/Short tradable names for the rebalancing trading event of the WISE Media Contents Index (TIGER ETF) next Thursday.

Sanghyun Park

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