Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 14th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Santos, A2 Milk Company, Nextdc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 14th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Santos, A2 Milk Company, Nextdc.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodman-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:959:1" rel="noopener">Goodman Group (GMG AU)</a> is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans.</li>
<li>Goodman’s shares have performed exceptionally well over the past year, driven by its pivot towards data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Goodman Group (GMG AU) is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans.
Goodman’s shares have performed exceptionally well over the past year, driven by its pivot towards data centers.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Goodman Group Placement - Large Deal, Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged, Not Particularly Exciting

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearing a few days left in the review period, there could be 39 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300.</li>
<li>Except for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> that is heavily tracked, the performance of the forecast changes to the other indices has been very stable with adds outperforming deletes bigly.</li>
</ul>


Nearing a few days left in the review period, there could be 39 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and S&amp;P/ASX 300.
Except for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) that is heavily tracked, the performance of the forecast changes to the other indices has been very stable with adds outperforming deletes bigly.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Stable as Adds Outperform Deletes Bigly

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaonavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29703:1" rel="noopener">Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smart-share-global-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32217:1" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (EM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/millennium-copthorne-hotels-nz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5040:1" rel="noopener">Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Smart Share Global (EM US), ESR Group (1821 HK), Vesync (2148 HK). 
Lowest spreads: Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ), Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU), Insignia Financial (IFL AU). 



Merger Arb Mondays (17 Feb) - HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Get Nice, 7&I, Shibaura, Kaonavi, Paragon

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its Monetary Policy on 18 February. The current RBA rate stands at 4.35% with no change since 2024. </li>
<li>The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut. Options expiring on 20 February provide an instrument to trade this event. </li>
<li>Option pricing is in-line with historical <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> moves on days after expected rate changes. Contrarians expecting no change might find value in put options.</li>
</ul>


The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its Monetary Policy on 18 February. The current RBA rate stands at 4.35% with no change since 2024. 
The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut. Options expiring on 20 February provide an instrument to trade this event. 
Option pricing is in-line with historical S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) moves on days after expected rate changes. Contrarians expecting no change might find value in put options.


Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

Australia

Rio Tinto Limited is an international mining company.  The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO LN.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates, Sigma...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Goodman Group Placement - Large Deal, Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged, Not Particularly Exciting

Goodman Group (GMG AU) is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Stable as Adds Outperform Deletes Bigly

There could be 39 changes for the S&P/ASX family in March. The forecast adds continue to outperform the forecast deletes in all indices. Huge...

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (17 Feb) - HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Get Nice, 7&I, Shibaura, Kaonavi, Paragon

This week, the highest gross spreads are Kaonavi (84.0%), Lifestyle China (18.1%), Seven & I (14.7%), Smart Share (8.7%), ESR (6.9%), Vesync...

Arun George

Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 14th): Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Treasury Wine Estates, Sigma...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Goodman Group Placement - Large Deal, Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged, Not Particularly Exciting

Goodman Group (GMG AU) is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Stable as Adds Outperform Deletes Bigly

There could be 39 changes for the S&P/ASX family in March. The forecast adds continue to outperform the forecast deletes in all indices. Huge...

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (17 Feb) - HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Get Nice, 7&I, Shibaura, Kaonavi, Paragon

This week, the highest gross spreads are Kaonavi (84.0%), Lifestyle China (18.1%), Seven & I (14.7%), Smart Share (8.7%), ESR (6.9%), Vesync...

Arun George

Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

​The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

Gaudenz Schneider

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Stable as Adds Outperform Deletes Bigly

The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...