Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the post-CNY return, SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was not. </li>
<li>Tech ended up being a big net buy, but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> a big net sell. </li>
<li>Lower-Than-Expected tariff rates against China meant foreigners are back to buying Chinese stocks for the time being which may lower SB net buys near-term.</li>
</ul>


In the post-CNY return, SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was not. 
Tech ended up being a big net buy, but Tencent (700 HK) a big net sell. 
Lower-Than-Expected tariff rates against China meant foreigners are back to buying Chinese stocks for the time being which may lower SB net buys near-term.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 Feb 2025); Busy Start Post CNY But Clear Selling of High Div SOEs

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Third week in a row with declining participation in the rally.</li>
<li>Information technology the hottest sector with all names up more than double digits, all but 2 stocks closing at a 52-week high and median implied vols at 96th percentile.</li>
<li>Single Stock option volume registers the two highest days in the last 3 months but Call trading as a percentage of the total slipped week over week.</li>
</ul>


Third week in a row with declining participation in the rally.
Information technology the hottest sector with all names up more than double digits, all but 2 stocks closing at a 52-week high and median implied vols at 96th percentile.
Single Stock option volume registers the two highest days in the last 3 months but Call trading as a percentage of the total slipped week over week.


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (February 02 – 07): Rally Narrows, Info Tech Hot

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Growing Signs That ARM-Based Chips Are Set to Disrupt the PC Market</li>
<li>Qualcomm’s Earnings Call Insights -- Snapdragon’s ARM-Based Push into PCs Successfully Taking Significant Market Share</li>
<li>Mediatek Earnings Call Highlights -- Reiterates ARM-Based Entry into PC Market with AI Supercomputer CPU in Collaboration with NVIDIA</li>
</ul>


Growing Signs That ARM-Based Chips Are Set to Disrupt the PC Market
Qualcomm’s Earnings Call Insights -- Snapdragon’s ARM-Based Push into PCs Successfully Taking Significant Market Share
Mediatek Earnings Call Highlights -- Reiterates ARM-Based Entry into PC Market with AI Supercomputer CPU in Collaboration with NVIDIA


PC Monitor: Latest Qualcomm & Mediatek Results Show ARM-Based Chips Disrupting the PC Market

<ul>
<li>Recent U.S. Market Weakness Appears to Have Been More Focused on Falling Sentiment for Server Businesses, Not PCs</li>
<li>CES 2025 Showed Qualcomm Chips Gaining Momentum in PCs, While AMD Continued Aggressive Competition -- Intel Under Pressure</li>
<li>PC Maker Universe to Experience Decent Revenue Growth in 2025E -- Structural Long Asustek &amp; Dell</li>
</ul>


Recent U.S. Market Weakness Appears to Have Been More Focused on Falling Sentiment for Server Businesses, Not PCs
CES 2025 Showed Qualcomm Chips Gaining Momentum in PCs, While AMD Continued Aggressive Competition -- Intel Under Pressure
PC Maker Universe to Experience Decent Revenue Growth in 2025E -- Structural Long Asustek &amp; Dell


PC Monitor: Snapdragon’s Surge, AMD’s Gains, Intel’s Test; Long Asus & Dell

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.</li>
<li>China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> shares have benefited from this trend.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.
</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH index is trading higher on higher breadth and momentum in January, up 6% so far.  Analysts project an upside of 23% over 12 months.
China's semiconductor sector is advancing this year from AI enthusiasm and accelerated localization in the chip industry.  Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) shares have benefited from this trend.

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) benefits from China's announcement that it will subsidize more consumer products, including smartphones and new vehicles.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

China

Lenovo Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, sells, and manufactures personal computers and handheld devices. The Company also provides Internet services and IT services, and contracting manufacturing business.

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Lenovo (992 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 Feb 2025); Busy Start Post CNY But Clear Selling of High Div SOEs

Post Chinese New Year, SOUTHBOUND activity is heavy but with low net buying. Tech was net bought last week, and high div SOEs were sold. Foreigners...

Travis Lundy

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (February 02 – 07): Rally Narrows, Info Tech Hot

Participation declines for the third consecutive week, with information technology sector leading the charge. Single stock option volume surges,...

John Ley

PC Monitor: Latest Qualcomm & Mediatek Results Show ARM-Based Chips Disrupting the PC Market

ARM-based chips, led by Qualcomm and Mediatek, are poised to disrupt the PC market with successful market share gains and collaborations with...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Snapdragon’s Surge, AMD’s Gains, Intel’s Test; Long Asus & Dell

Recent market weakness in the U.S. is centered on server businesses, not PCs. Qualcomm chips gaining traction in PCs at CES 2025, while AMD...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 Feb 2025); Busy Start Post CNY But Clear Selling of High Div SOEs

Post Chinese New Year, SOUTHBOUND activity is heavy but with low net buying. Tech was net bought last week, and high div SOEs were sold. Foreigners...

Travis Lundy

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (February 02 – 07): Rally Narrows, Info Tech Hot

Participation declines for the third consecutive week, with information technology sector leading the charge. Single stock option volume surges,...

John Ley

PC Monitor: Latest Qualcomm & Mediatek Results Show ARM-Based Chips Disrupting the PC Market

​ARM-based chips, led by Qualcomm and Mediatek, are poised to disrupt the PC market with successful market share gains and collaborations with...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Snapdragon’s Surge, AMD’s Gains, Intel’s Test; Long Asus & Dell

​Recent market weakness in the U.S. is centered on server businesses, not PCs. Qualcomm chips gaining traction in PCs at CES 2025, while AMD...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 25)

HSTECH advances with good market breadth in January. SMIC is benefiting from AI advances as well as the localization trend in semi industry. ...

David Mudd

ARM-based chips, led by Qualcomm and Mediatek, are poised to disrupt the PC market with successful market share gains and collaborations with...

Recent market weakness in the U.S. is centered on server businesses, not PCs. Qualcomm chips gaining traction in PCs at CES 2025, while AMD...