Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in December but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$5.5bn. There are 3 stocks with over half a yard to trade.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lam-research-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1116:1" rel="noopener">Lam Research</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in December but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$5.5bn. There are 3 stocks with over half a yard to trade.
The largest flows will be in NVIDIA, Micron Technology, Applied Materials, Lam Research, Intel Corp, Texas Instruments and TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR. 


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$5.5bn Trade

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>According to numerous local media, SK Hynix is considering on listing its treasury shares (2.4% of outstanding shares representing 17.4 million shares) as ADRs.</li>
<li>SK Hynix could cancel its treasury shares or list them as ADRs. The bigger bang for the buck will likely be to list them as ADRs. </li>
<li>By listing its shares as ADRs, the valuation gap between SK Hynix and other listed peers (such as MU and TSMC) could be reduced. </li>
</ul>


According to numerous local media, SK Hynix is considering on listing its treasury shares (2.4% of outstanding shares representing 17.4 million shares) as ADRs.
SK Hynix could cancel its treasury shares or list them as ADRs. The bigger bang for the buck will likely be to list them as ADRs. 
By listing its shares as ADRs, the valuation gap between SK Hynix and other listed peers (such as MU and TSMC) could be reduced. 


A Potential Listing of ADRs for SK Hynix Using Its Treasury Shares?

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After taking short positions against Palantir &amp; NVIDIA, Michael Burry has closed his hedge fund and taken to substack to continue his assault on the AI bubble</li>
<li>While he makes some valid points, these are mainly things everybody already knows and in the end he's missing the forest for the trees</li>
<li>There are key structural issues surrounding the AI Infrastructure build out (grid, foundry, memory capacity to mention a few). These will drive course corrections, all by themselves.</li>
</ul>


After taking short positions against Palantir &amp; NVIDIA, Michael Burry has closed his hedge fund and taken to substack to continue his assault on the AI bubble
While he makes some valid points, these are mainly things everybody already knows and in the end he's missing the forest for the trees
There are key structural issues surrounding the AI Infrastructure build out (grid, foundry, memory capacity to mention a few). These will drive course corrections, all by themselves.


NVIDIA. Burry's Claims Miss The Forest For The Trees. The Real Issues Are Structural, Not Legal

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that Bain Capital is selling 36.0 million <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)</a> shares through a block trade. IFR reports that the offering is worth up to JPY330 billion (US$2.1 billion).</li>
<li>The offering is unsurprising given the shares are up around 7x since the IPO. The offering is easily digestible as it represents 2.7 days of the average ADV since listing.</li>
<li>Kioxia is anticipated to return to growth in 3Q, and the underlying margin is recovering from recent lows. However, Kioxia’s EV/EBITDA multiple is full compared to peers and historical ranges. </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that Bain Capital is selling 36.0 million Kioxia Holdings (285A JP) shares through a block trade. IFR reports that the offering is worth up to JPY330 billion (US$2.1 billion).
The offering is unsurprising given the shares are up around 7x since the IPO. The offering is easily digestible as it represents 2.7 days of the average ADV since listing.
Kioxia is anticipated to return to growth in 3Q, and the underlying margin is recovering from recent lows. However, Kioxia’s EV/EBITDA multiple is full compared to peers and historical ranges. 


Kioxia (285A JP): Bain’s US$2.1 Billion Selldown

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>NVIDIA’s AI Factory Buildout Signals Multi-Year Demand for Taiwan’s Supply Chain</li>
<li>TSMC’s Growth Outlook De-Risked by NVIDIA's Smooth Transition to GB300</li>
<li>NVIDIA's Networking Segment Surge Expands System-Level Product Integration Opportunity for Taiwan Ecosystem</li>
</ul>


NVIDIA’s AI Factory Buildout Signals Multi-Year Demand for Taiwan’s Supply Chain
TSMC’s Growth Outlook De-Risked by NVIDIA's Smooth Transition to GB300
NVIDIA's Networking Segment Surge Expands System-Level Product Integration Opportunity for Taiwan Ecosystem


NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways -- Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers

United States

Micron Technology, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets dynamic random access memory chips (DRAMs), very fast static random access memory chips (SRAMs), Flash Memory, other semiconductor components, and memory modules.

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Micron Technology (MU US)

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$5.5bn Trade

There are no constituent changes for the index in Dec but there are float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

A Potential Listing of ADRs for SK Hynix Using Its Treasury Shares?

According to numerous local media, SK Hynix is considering on listing its treasury shares (2.4% of outstanding shares representing 17.4 million...

Douglas Kim

NVIDIA. Burry's Claims Miss The Forest For The Trees. The Real Issues Are Structural, Not Legal

There are key structural issues surrounding the AI Infrastructure build out (grid, foundry, memory capacity to mention a few). These will drive...

William Keating

Kioxia (285A JP): Bain’s US$2.1 Billion Selldown

The offering is unsurprising given the shares are up around 7x since the IPO and easily digestible as it represents 2.7 days of the average ADV...

Arun George

NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways -- Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers

NVIDIA's expansion and smooth transition to new products signal long-term demand for Taiwan's supply chain and growth opportunities for TSMC.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$5.5bn Trade

There are no constituent changes for the index in Dec but there are float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.5% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

A Potential Listing of ADRs for SK Hynix Using Its Treasury Shares?

According to numerous local media, SK Hynix is considering on listing its treasury shares (2.4% of outstanding shares representing 17.4 million...

Douglas Kim

NVIDIA. Burry's Claims Miss The Forest For The Trees. The Real Issues Are Structural, Not Legal

There are key structural issues surrounding the AI Infrastructure build out (grid, foundry, memory capacity to mention a few). These will drive...

William Keating

Kioxia (285A JP): Bain’s US$2.1 Billion Selldown

The offering is unsurprising given the shares are up around 7x since the IPO and easily digestible as it represents 2.7 days of the average ADV...

Arun George

NVIDIA Results: Taiwan Take-Aways -- Demand Visibility Implies Strength for Key Suppliers

​NVIDIA's expansion and smooth transition to new products signal long-term demand for Taiwan's supply chain and growth opportunities for TSMC.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

NVIDIA's expansion and smooth transition to new products signal long-term demand for Taiwan's supply chain and growth opportunities for TSMC.