Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The September 2026 HSCI review adds 53 names to southbound Connect, 49 new and 4 returning, and removes 15, all effective 7 Sep 2026.</li>
<li>The announced list ran wider than our forecast. 33 of our 36 ADD calls and 14 of 25 DELETE calls were announced.</li>
<li>Current ADDs rose into the announcement and DELETEs fell. Historically, ADD-NEWs outperformed ADD-REJOINs over the bridge, while DELETEs fell further after announcement.</li>
</ul>


The September 2026 HSCI review adds 53 names to southbound Connect, 49 new and 4 returning, and removes 15, all effective 7 Sep 2026.
The announced list ran wider than our forecast. 33 of our 36 ADD calls and 14 of 25 DELETE calls were announced.
Current ADDs rose into the announcement and DELETEs fell. Historically, ADD-NEWs outperformed ADD-REJOINs over the bridge, while DELETEs fell further after announcement.


HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

<ul>
<li>We screen our HSCI September 2026 review candidates for southbound Connect action, with 36 Connect ADDs and 25 DELETEs.</li>
<li>ADD candidates split into 31 ADD-NEW and 5 ADD-REJOIN, with one WVR name deferred and seven A+H names already in Connect.</li>
<li>DELETE candidates are 23 MV cases and 2 velocity cases, after one A+H name is exempt from Connect deletion.</li>
</ul>


We screen our HSCI September 2026 review candidates for southbound Connect action, with 36 Connect ADDs and 25 DELETEs.
ADD candidates split into 31 ADD-NEW and 5 ADD-REJOIN, with one WVR name deferred and seven A+H names already in Connect.
DELETE candidates are 23 MV cases and 2 velocity cases, after one A+H name is exempt from Connect deletion.


HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Inclusion Forecast and Positioning

<ul>
<li>We screen HK stocks ahead of the HSCI September 2026 half-yearly review, with 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates.</li>
<li>ADD candidates are mostly new listings and prior constituents, including seven A+H names already in Connect.</li>
<li>DELETE candidates include 21 MV DELETEs, three retention-line borderline names, and two velocity cases.</li>
</ul>


We screen HK stocks ahead of the HSCI September 2026 half-yearly review, with 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates.
ADD candidates are mostly new listings and prior constituents, including seven A+H names already in Connect.
DELETE candidates include 21 MV DELETEs, three retention-line borderline names, and two velocity cases.


HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance Forecast

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on 2 June, SOE terminal operator <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiamen-international-port-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5390:1" rel="noopener">Xiamen International Port (3378 HK)</a> <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0602/2022060202446.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a pre-conditional Offer of $2.25/share from Xiamen Port Holding, a Fujian SASAC-controlled entity.</li>
<li>The pre-conditions  - NDRC, MoC, SAFE, and CSRC - were fulfilled on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0816/2022081601198.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">16 August</a>.</li>
<li>The Composite Doc is now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0822/2022082200558.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>. The H-class meeting will be held on the 16 September. There is no tendering condition. Payment should be the 6 October.</li>
</ul>


Back on 2 June, SOE terminal operator Xiamen International Port (3378 HK) announced a pre-conditional Offer of $2.25/share from Xiamen Port Holding, a Fujian SASAC-controlled entity.
The pre-conditions  - NDRC, MoC, SAFE, and CSRC - were fulfilled on the 16 August.
The Composite Doc is now out. The H-class meeting will be held on the 16 September. There is no tendering condition. Payment should be the 6 October.


Xiamen Port (3378 HK)’s Composite Doc Out; Shareholders To Vote On 16 Sept

EVOC Intelligent Technology / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After shares were suspended on the 1 August, electronics play and property developer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evoc-intelligent-technology-company-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2015:1" rel="noopener">EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited H (2308 HK)</a> has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0808/2022080801133.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a privatisation at HK$1.75 per H-share.</li>
<li>This Offer is by way of a Merger by Absorption, which incorporates a Scheme-like vote. There is no tendering condition.
</li>
<li>The premium to last close is just 15.13%; however, it is a 42.28% premium to the five-day closing average. This is EVOC's third privatisation attempt in the past five years. </li>
</ul>


After shares were suspended on the 1 August, electronics play and property developer EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited H (2308 HK) has announced a privatisation at HK$1.75 per H-share.
This Offer is by way of a Merger by Absorption, which incorporates a Scheme-like vote. There is no tendering condition.

The premium to last close is just 15.13%; however, it is a 42.28% premium to the five-day closing average. This is EVOC's third privatisation attempt in the past five years. 


China

Advanced Semiconductor Manufacturing is a large-scale integrated circuit (IC) chip manufacturer, operating as a dedicated analog foundry. It primarily focuses on manufacturing analog IC and power discrete chips, as well as 5-inch, 6-inch, and 8-inch semiconductor wafers and Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems (MEMS) chips for various applications including automotive electronics and power management. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Advanced Semiconductor Manufacturing (ASM HK)

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Advanced Semiconductor Manufacturing (ASM HK)

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

HSIL announced the September review result on 21 Aug 2026 after market close. We forecast 53 southbound Connect ADDs and 15 DELETEs. We review the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Inclusion Forecast and Positioning

We expect 36 southbound Connect ADDs, 31 new and 5 returning, and 25 DELETEs from the current Connect list at the HSCI September review, effective...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance Forecast

We forecast 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates for the HSCI September review, with the announcement expected on 21 Aug 2026.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Xiamen Port (3378 HK)’s Composite Doc Out; Shareholders To Vote On 16 Sept

This is done - play the spread here. Assuming payment early October payment, this is trading at a modestly attractive gross/annualised spread at 2%...

David Blennerhassett

EVOC (2308 HK)'s Merger By Absorption

There's enough here to see the Offer get up. I'd be buying up to around $1.67 or a gross/annualised spread of 5%/15%, assuming a late-November...

David Blennerhassett

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