Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Archer Daniels Midland Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) recently reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2025, demonstrating a combination of resilience and areas of challenge within a dynamic global market environment.</li><li>For 2025, ADM achieved an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.43 and a segment operating profit of $3.2 billion.</li><li>The company's efforts in inventory management yielded a $1.5 billion cash flow benefit, which is a significant achievement in working capital management.</li></ul>

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) recently reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2025, demonstrating a combination of resilience and areas of challenge within a dynamic global market environment.For 2025, ADM achieved an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.43 and a segment operating profit of $3.2 billion.The company's efforts in inventory management yielded a $1.5 billion cash flow benefit, which is a significant achievement in working capital management.

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) & The Renewable Diesel Equation: When Policy

<ul><li>Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) reported third-quarter 2025 results that reflected a challenging operating environment, capturing both obstacles and strategic advancements.</li><li>Against a backdrop of evolving global trade dynamics and anticipated U.S. biofuel policies, ADM reported an adjusted earnings per share of $0.92 and total segment operating profit of $845 million.</li><li>While these figures are commendable, they reflect a significant decline due to tough market conditions, notably in the Ag Services and Oilseeds (AS&O) segment, which faced reduced crush margins amid deferred U.S. biofuel policy impacts.</li></ul>

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) reported third-quarter 2025 results that reflected a challenging operating environment, capturing both obstacles and strategic advancements.Against a backdrop of evolving global trade dynamics and anticipated U.S. biofuel policies, ADM reported an adjusted earnings per share of $0.92 and total segment operating profit of $845 million.While these figures are commendable, they reflect a significant decline due to tough market conditions, notably in the Ag Services and Oilseeds (AS&O) segment, which faced reduced crush margins amid deferred U.S. biofuel policy impacts.

Archer-Daniels Midland Company: What Rising Biofuel Demand Could Unlock for Its Crushing Powerhouse!

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are officially downgrading our outlook to bearish with the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) violating major support at 6480-6520, NQ violating 24,000, and Russell 2000 (IWM) breaking below crucial $245 support.</li>
<li>This comes after downgrading our outlook to neutral in our 3/3/26 Compass.</li>
<li>We view this latest rally as a selling opportunity at resistance at 6480-6520 and the 200-day MA</li>
</ul>


We are officially downgrading our outlook to bearish with the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) violating major support at 6480-6520, NQ violating 24,000, and Russell 2000 (IWM) breaking below crucial $245 support.
This comes after downgrading our outlook to neutral in our 3/3/26 Compass.
We view this latest rally as a selling opportunity at resistance at 6480-6520 and the 200-day MA


Downgrading Outlook to Bearish; Stay Defensive; $SPX Rally a Selling Opportunity?

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The alcohol-to-jet (AtJ) production pathway for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) has the best potential to be a long-term scalable solution for decarbonizing the aviation industry.</li><li>Recent news that Airbus has delayed its hydrogen-powered aircraft initiative by up to a decade (Wall Street Journal) provides evidence that at least one leading alternative to SAF is losing ground.</li><li>Airbus has not changed its commitment to producing all aircraft capable of flying with up to 100% SAF by 2030. </li></ul>

The alcohol-to-jet (AtJ) production pathway for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) has the best potential to be a long-term scalable solution for decarbonizing the aviation industry.Recent news that Airbus has delayed its hydrogen-powered aircraft initiative by up to a decade (Wall Street Journal) provides evidence that at least one leading alternative to SAF is losing ground.Airbus has not changed its commitment to producing all aircraft capable of flying with up to 100% SAF by 2030. 

Airbus Hydrogen Delay Broadens the Runway for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF)

Providing investors with a balanced perspective, Massif Capital

Massif Capital Research

Providing investors with a balanced perspective

Massif Capital

Research focused on providing investors with a balanced perspective on the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy for businesses within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial industries.

The Massif Capital Real Asset Strategy is a global long/short equity strategy built around bottom-up stock picking. We are focused on creating a portfolio of businesses from within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial sectors that balance the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy.

<div><p>This is the first edition of the Real Asset Chartbook.</p><p>This document arose from an internal need at Massif Capital to consolidate and streamline our process of monitoring liquid real asset markets. It remains a work in progress but is extremely useful in its present state. </p></div><div><p>The Chartbook will be released weekly, on Fridays, after the market closes.</p></div>

This is the first edition of the Real Asset Chartbook.This document arose from an internal need at Massif Capital to consolidate and streamline our process of monitoring liquid real asset markets. It remains a work in progress but is extremely useful in its present state. The Chartbook will be released weekly, on Fridays, after the market closes.

United States

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company procures, transports, stores, processes, and merchandises agricultural commodities and products. The Company processes oilseeds, corn, milo, oats, barley, peanuts, and wheat. Archer-Daniels-Midland also processes produce products which have primarily two end uses including food or feed ingredients.

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Archer Daniels Midland Co (ADM US)

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) & The Renewable Diesel Equation: When Policy

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) recently reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2025, demonstrating a combination of...

Baptista Research

Archer-Daniels Midland Company: What Rising Biofuel Demand Could Unlock for Its Crushing Powerhouse!

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) reported third-quarter 2025 results that reflected a challenging operating environment, capturing both...

Baptista Research

Downgrading Outlook to Bearish; Stay Defensive; $SPX Rally a Selling Opportunity?

Downgrading Outlook to Bearish; Stay Defensive; Latest $SPX Rally Likely to Roll Over Here at 6480-6520 or 200-day MA resistance

Vermilion Research

Airbus Hydrogen Delay Broadens the Runway for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF)

The alcohol-to-jet (AtJ) production pathway for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) has the best potential to be a long-term scalable solution for...

Water Tower Research

Real Asset Chartbook: The First Edition

This is the first edition of the Real Asset Chartbook. This document arose from an internal need at Massif Capital to consolidate and streamline...

Massif Capital Research

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