AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Engineering work continues on the 14A, but further capacity expansion is on hold until a major external customer commits.</li>
<li>CEO Lip-Bu Tan is prioritising balance sheet strength and shareholder returns after years of aggressive capex.</li>
<li>Intel would only expand PPE upon firm commitments, ensuring any new foundry capacity is tied to revenue certainty.</li>
</ul>


Engineering work continues on the 14A, but further capacity expansion is on hold until a major external customer commits.
CEO Lip-Bu Tan is prioritising balance sheet strength and shareholder returns after years of aggressive capex.
Intel would only expand PPE upon firm commitments, ensuring any new foundry capacity is tied to revenue certainty.


Is 14A on the Chopping Block, or Is Intel Raising the Stakes for a Whale

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.</li><li>Major hyperscalers’ capex continue to grow, at 43% YoY for overseas Big Four (MSFT/AMZN/GOOG/META) and 44% YoY for domestic Big Three (Alibaba/Tencent/Baidu) in 2025, per Bloomberg consensus estimates.</li><li>Recent earnings results across the supply chain confirms AI-related spend. TSMC’s (TSMC US, NR) 1H25 revenue was NT$ 1,773bn, up 40% YoY. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.Major hyperscalers’ capex continue to grow, at 43% YoY for overseas Big Four (MSFT/AMZN/GOOG/META) and 44% YoY for domestic Big Three (Alibaba/Tencent/Baidu) in 2025, per Bloomberg consensus estimates.Recent earnings results across the supply chain confirms AI-related spend. TSMC’s (TSMC US, NR) 1H25 revenue was NT$ 1,773bn, up 40% YoY. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: 1H25 AI Demand Check

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45414:1" rel="noopener">NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP)</a>, a data center REIT, raised around US$772m in its Singapore IPO.</li>
<li>The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP), a data center REIT, raised around US$772m in its Singapore IPO.
The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn
We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


NTT DC REIT IPO Trading - Decent Demand, High Yield and Discount Should Help

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, filed for long-awaited IPO. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are the lead bankers on the offering.</li>
<li>The San Francisco-based company was valued at $12.5B in a 2024 tender offer. Figma is well-positioned with a strong brand among designers and a growing footprint in enterprise segment.</li>
<li>With strong financial profile and network effects, driven by large scale and efficient GTM strategy, the company remains the leader in collaborative design software market.</li>
</ul>


Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, filed for long-awaited IPO. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are the lead bankers on the offering.
The San Francisco-based company was valued at $12.5B in a 2024 tender offer. Figma is well-positioned with a strong brand among designers and a growing footprint in enterprise segment.
With strong financial profile and network effects, driven by large scale and efficient GTM strategy, the company remains the leader in collaborative design software market.


Figma IPO Preview: Fast-Growing Disruptor In The Design Software Market

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The real point of Reuters’ article on Intel CEO “new” Foundry strategy is, imo, to pre-announce the possibility of a very large write off </li>
<li>TSMC discontinues GaN doesn’t matter, it’s not even 1% of revenue. 1) Auto demand is slow, GaN is lower margins, lot of competition  2) management has better things to do </li>
<li>UMC 6nm rumor, maybe yes but most likely with Intel’s manufacturing after 2030. UMC and Intel first start with 12nm in 2027-28.</li>
</ul>


The real point of Reuters’ article on Intel CEO “new” Foundry strategy is, imo, to pre-announce the possibility of a very large write off 
TSMC discontinues GaN doesn’t matter, it’s not even 1% of revenue. 1) Auto demand is slow, GaN is lower margins, lot of competition  2) management has better things to do 
UMC 6nm rumor, maybe yes but most likely with Intel’s manufacturing after 2030. UMC and Intel first start with 12nm in 2027-28.


Intel 18A Not Ready for Foundry (Preparing for Bad News?), TSMC Exit GaN (Doesn’t Matter), UMC 6nm

United States

Microsoft Corporation operates as a software company. The Company offers applications, extra cloud storage, and advanced security solutions. Microsoft serves customers worldwide.

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Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)

Is 14A on the Chopping Block, or Is Intel Raising the Stakes for a Whale

Intel is focusing on financial stability and shareholder returns, delaying capacity expansion until it secures commitments from major customers.

Mint Finance

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: 1H25 AI Demand Check

We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.

CMB International

NTT DC REIT IPO Trading - Decent Demand, High Yield and Discount Should Help

NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP), a data center REIT, raised around US$772m in its Singapore IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Figma IPO Preview: Fast-Growing Disruptor In The Design Software Market

Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, files for an IPO with strong financials and market leadership. Morgan Stanley and...

Andrei Zakharov

Intel 18A Not Ready for Foundry (Preparing for Bad News?), TSMC Exit GaN (Doesn’t Matter), UMC 6nm

Reuters' on Intel "new" Foundry strategy may be hinting at a potential write off in the future. TSMC discontinuing GaN insignificant due to low...

Nicolas Baratte

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Is 14A on the Chopping Block, or Is Intel Raising the Stakes for a Whale

​Intel is focusing on financial stability and shareholder returns, delaying capacity expansion until it secures commitments from major customers.

Mint Finance

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: 1H25 AI Demand Check

We remain structurally bullish on AI infrastructure investment supported by sustained momentum in compute-intensive investments.

CMB International

NTT DC REIT IPO Trading - Decent Demand, High Yield and Discount Should Help

NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP), a data center REIT, raised around US$772m in its Singapore IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Figma IPO Preview: Fast-Growing Disruptor In The Design Software Market

​Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, files for an IPO with strong financials and market leadership. Morgan Stanley and...

Andrei Zakharov

Intel 18A Not Ready for Foundry (Preparing for Bad News?), TSMC Exit GaN (Doesn’t Matter), UMC 6nm

​Reuters' on Intel "new" Foundry strategy may be hinting at a potential write off in the future. TSMC discontinuing GaN insignificant due to low...

Nicolas Baratte

Intel is focusing on financial stability and shareholder returns, delaying capacity expansion until it secures commitments from major customers.

Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, files for an IPO with strong financials and market leadership. Morgan Stanley and...

Reuters' on Intel "new" Foundry strategy may be hinting at a potential write off in the future. TSMC discontinuing GaN insignificant due to low...