Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For Oct 2025, 15 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$33bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~54%, with a year-to-date average of ~49%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), 2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For Oct 2025, 15 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$33bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~54%, with a year-to-date average of ~49%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), 2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2025 Wrap: Hang Seng, SCSK, AUB, Sumitomo Densetsu, Genting Malaysia, ANE

<ul>
<li>I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Six new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">AUB  (AUB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE (9956 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scsk-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19996:1" rel="noopener">SCSK (9719 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainpad-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11499:1" rel="noopener">Brainpad (3655 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-riko-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14955:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Riko (5191 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-densetsu-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1530:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/humm-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35366:1" rel="noopener">Humm Group (HUM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oneconnect-financial-technology-co-ltd-2e580cf8-6a65-4148-ac1e-f9a8a167856a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36656:1" rel="noopener">Oneconnect Financial Technology (6638 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Bank (11 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashimori-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13918:1" rel="noopener">Ashimori Industry (3526 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/restaurant-brands-nz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11891:1" rel="noopener">Restaurant Brands NZ (RBD NZ)</a>. </li>
</ul>


I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Six new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: AUB  (AUB AU), ANE (9956 HK), SCSK (9719 JP), Brainpad (3655 JP), Sumitomo Riko (5191 JP), and Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Humm Group (HUM AU), Oneconnect Financial Technology (6638 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Ashimori Industry (3526 JP), Restaurant Brands NZ (RBD NZ). 


Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: SCSK Corp, AUB, Brainpad, ANE Cayman, Sumitomo Densetsu, Sumitomo Densetsu

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">AUB Group Limited (AUB AU)</a>, which operates a network of insurance "matchmakers", has announced a NBIO, via a Scheme, from EQT @ A$45/share, a ~40% premium to undisturbed.</li>
<li>That indicative price is up from $43/share proposed on the 13th September (but not made public). </li>
<li>AUB's board has opted to open its books to EQT, on an exclusive basis, for six weeks. Tentatively, that expires on or around the 9th December. </li>
</ul>



AUB Group Limited (AUB AU), which operates a network of insurance "matchmakers", has announced a NBIO, via a Scheme, from EQT @ A$45/share, a ~40% premium to undisturbed.
That indicative price is up from $43/share proposed on the 13th September (but not made public). 
AUB's board has opted to open its books to EQT, on an exclusive basis, for six weeks. Tentatively, that expires on or around the 9th December. 


AUB Group (AUB AU) Opens Books To EQT's NBIO

<ul>
<li>I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/larvotto-resources-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36437:1" rel="noopener">Larvotto Resources (LRV AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minmetals-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1917:1" rel="noopener">Minmetals Land (230 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apiam-animal-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26109:1" rel="noopener">Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynch-group-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36359:1" rel="noopener">Lynch Group Holdings (LGL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joy-city-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10958:1" rel="noopener">Joy City Property (207 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandarin-oriental-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4773:1" rel="noopener">Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Larvotto Resources (LRV AU) and Minmetals Land (230 HK).
Key updates/news took place on: Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU), Lynch Group Holdings (LGL AU), Joy City Property (207 HK), Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), and Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP).


Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Shibaura Elect., Larvotto, Minmetals Land, Lynch Group, Mandarin Oriental

<ul>
<li>On the 31sr July, Chinese property play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joy-city-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10958:1" rel="noopener">Joy City (207 HK)</a> announced a Scheme buyback, @ $0.62/share (declared final), a 67.57% premium; but arguably a 158% premium to undisturbed.</li>
<li>Yes, this was a ~70% discount to NAV. However, Joy City had traded at P/B of 0.14x, on average, the past five years. Earnings have trended south in that timeframe.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1023/2025102300920.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Scheme Document's now out</a>, with a Court Meeting on the 17th November and expected payment around the 4th December. The IFA (Somerley) says "fair &amp; reasonable". It probably is.</li>
</ul>


On the 31sr July, Chinese property play Joy City (207 HK) announced a Scheme buyback, @ $0.62/share (declared final), a 67.57% premium; but arguably a 158% premium to undisturbed.
Yes, this was a ~70% discount to NAV. However, Joy City had traded at P/B of 0.14x, on average, the past five years. Earnings have trended south in that timeframe.

The Scheme Document's now out, with a Court Meeting on the 17th November and expected payment around the 4th December. The IFA (Somerley) says "fair &amp; reasonable". It probably is.


Joy City (207 HK): 17th November Vote On COFCO's Offer

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Iress Limited provides real-time information services to businesses that specialize in the equity, equity options and future information markets in Australia and New Zealand. The Group supplies a range of pricing data, charting, news and equity and equity derivatives and also offers real-time trading tools, including a domestic order routing product and financial

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Iress Ltd (IRE AU)

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For the month of Oct 2025, 15 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$33bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

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David Blennerhassett

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David Blennerhassett

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