Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>According to <em>Looking Foward</em> TV program on NOW26, the Thai government approved Bt2.3trillion (US$63bn) of infrastructure projects. Many of these are mass transit projects: skytrains, subways, and monorails (similar to what we have in China and Malaysia). We call this "the Rainbow Wars", because the various train routes have different color. In most cases, BTS has emerged as the winner due to their experience and incumbent status, and this is our quick update yo:</p><table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td>Stocks</td>
<td>Business</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Shr pr (Bt/sh)</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Mkt cap</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>…

According to Looking Foward TV program on NOW26, the Thai government approved Bt2.3trillion (US$63bn) of infrastructure projects. Many of these are mass transit projects: skytrains, subways, and monorails (similar to what we have in China and Malaysia). We call this "the Rainbow Wars", because the various train routes have different color. In most cases, BTS has emerged as the winner due to their experience and incumbent status, and this is our quick update yo:

Stocks
Business
Shr pr (Bt/sh)
Mkt cap

…

<p>We met up with BTS management today and saw that things are clearly picking up in virtually all aspects of the business. Some key points we noted were:</p><table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td>Stocks</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Business</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Shr pr (Bt/sh)</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Mkt cap (US$ m)</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">PE (x)</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Yld (%)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>BTS</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Skytrain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2,900</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">58.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">7.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MACO</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Transit media</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1.09</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">100</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">22.9</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3.3</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table><ul><li>
<strong>Strong 33% growth in media revenues </strong>following the acquisition of MACO or Master Ad. Right now, you will notice that media accounts for an even bigger portion of revenues than transport, which was not the case in the last quarter. In…</li></ul>

We met up with BTS management today and saw that things are clearly picking up in virtually all aspects of the business. Some key points we noted were:

Stocks
Business
Shr pr (Bt/sh)
Mkt cap (US$ m)
PE (x)
Yld (%)


BTS
Skytrain
8.6
2,900
58.6
7.9


MACO
Transit media
1.09
100
22.9
3.3


Strong 33% growth in media revenues following the acquisition of MACO or Master Ad. Right now, you will notice that media accounts for an even bigger portion of revenues than transport, which was not the case in the last quarter. In…

<p>The Kanjanapat family, who go by a different Chinese name in HK, have built two distinct empires. Elder brother Anand, who claims to have failed Grade 1 eight times, runs Bangkok Land, once the country's biggest property developer prior to the 1997 crisis when he was 2nd richest man in Thailand. His younger brother, Keeree, picked up the piece with BTS Group, previously Tanayong, and he is now richer than Anand with property joint ventures, transit ad companies (VGI and MACO), yummy restaurant Chefman, and one of the country's biggest infrastructure fund BTSGIF. Anand also picked up himself up with the country's leading exhibtion center Impact, which is newly listed.</p><p>Their story is one of redemption and a fitting feel-good ending to <em>Thai-coons, </em>the longest-ever series produced by <em>The MCorp Review.</em> Investment-wise, BTS remains one of our favorites. The funds are looking good too yo. BTSGIF trades at lower multiple than the parent and has less volatility, though it comes with lower yields too. And IMPACT...that's one of a kind asset yo. Everyday, there's new events. At 20x, I'm all in, man! All year round, they have new events. It's the ultimate MICE (meetings, incentives, conference, events) play, man.</p>

The Kanjanapat family, who go by a different Chinese name in HK, have built two distinct empires. Elder brother Anand, who claims to have failed Grade 1 eight times, runs Bangkok Land, once the country's biggest property developer prior to the 1997 crisis when he was 2nd richest man in Thailand. His younger brother, Keeree, picked up the piece with BTS Group, previously Tanayong, and he is now richer than Anand with property joint ventures, transit ad companies (VGI and MACO), yummy restaurant Chefman, and one of the country's biggest infrastructure fund BTSGIF. Anand also picked up himself up with the country's leading exhibtion center Impact, which is newly listed.Their story is one of redemption and a fitting feel-good ending to Thai-coons, the longest-ever series produced by The MCorp Review. Investment-wise, BTS remains one of our favorites. The funds are looking good too yo. BTSGIF trades at lower multiple than the parent and has less volatility, though it comes with lower yields too. And IMPACT...that's one of a kind asset yo. Everyday, there's new events. At 20x, I'm all in, man! All year round, they have new events. It's the ultimate MICE (meetings, incentives, conference, events) play, man.

Thai-Coons (Season Finale): Two Brothers on a Flying Train

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>His Majesty King Bhumibol Adulyadej (Rama IX) passed away at Siriraj Hospital in Bangkok yesterday, 13 October 2016, at 3.52pm. Our condolences to all our Thai friends in your time of grief.</p><p>Thailand is sailing into unchartered waters, considering that nearly everyone alive has only known one King and that his fiat power was immense, built up over years of devotion to the country.</p><p>We expect that the Thai stock market will be hurt in the near term, but will eventually stabilize.</p>

His Majesty King Bhumibol Adulyadej (Rama IX) passed away at Siriraj Hospital in Bangkok yesterday, 13 October 2016, at 3.52pm. Our condolences to all our Thai friends in your time of grief.Thailand is sailing into unchartered waters, considering that nearly everyone alive has only known one King and that his fiat power was immense, built up over years of devotion to the country.We expect that the Thai stock market will be hurt in the near term, but will eventually stabilize.

Thailand Mourns Fallen King, Healing Will Take Some Time

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

<ul>
<li>Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.</li>
<li>ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.</li>
<li>A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.</li>
<li>Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.</li>
<li>BUY…</li>
</ul>


Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.
ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.
A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.
Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.
BUY…


Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Thailand

BTS Group Holdings PCL is primarily in the business of Mass Transit.  The Company operates Bangkok's BTS SkyTrain system and the Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) System. BTS Group Holdings PCL is also involved in Media & Advertising, Property Development, and Services business.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB)

The Rainbow Wars: BTS Vs BEM (Round 2)

According to Looking Foward TV program on NOW26, the Thai government approved Bt2.3trillion (US$63bn) of infrastructure projects. Many of these are...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

BTS: All Engines Firing

We met up with BTS management today and saw that things are clearly picking up in virtually all aspects of the business. Some key points we noted...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thai-Coons (Season Finale): Two Brothers on a Flying Train

The Kanjanapat family, who go by a different Chinese name in HK, have built two distinct empires. Elder brother Anand, who claims to have failed...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thailand Mourns Fallen King, Healing Will Take Some Time

His Majesty King Bhumibol Adulyadej (Rama IX) passed away at Siriraj Hospital in Bangkok yesterday, 13 October 2016, at 3.52pm. Our condolences to...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos. ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with...

David Riedel

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)