Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Asm International Nv / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are resuming their uptrends following several weeks of consolidation above major base supports (classic bull market behavior). Our outlook for global equities remains bullish.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 has held above critical support at 4400-4415, and now displays a bull flag breakout following over a month of consolidation -- add exposure</li>
<li>We highlight many buy opportunities within global Technology, Services, and Communications</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are resuming their uptrends following several weeks of consolidation above major base supports (classic bull market behavior). Our outlook for global equities remains bullish.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 has held above critical support at 4400-4415, and now displays a bull flag breakout following over a month of consolidation -- add exposure
We highlight many buy opportunities within global Technology, Services, and Communications


EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-10946'>Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-16955'>SK Hynix</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail TrustSK Hynix

Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, SK Hynix

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Foosung announced a rights offering worth 101 billion won. The estimated rights offering price is 7,850 won which is 22% discount to closing price on 25 January (10,070 won). </li>
<li>The rights offering will involve 12.9 million shares (13.7% of outstanding shares). Of the 101 billion won in rights offering, the company will use 88.3 billion won in facility investments.</li>
<li>We are negative on Foosung overall and on the rights offering. Despite the company's turnaround this year, there are concerns about share dilution plus valuations are not particularly attractive. </li>
</ul>


Foosung announced a rights offering worth 101 billion won. The estimated rights offering price is 7,850 won which is 22% discount to closing price on 25 January (10,070 won). 
The rights offering will involve 12.9 million shares (13.7% of outstanding shares). Of the 101 billion won in rights offering, the company will use 88.3 billion won in facility investments.
We are negative on Foosung overall and on the rights offering. Despite the company's turnaround this year, there are concerns about share dilution plus valuations are not particularly attractive. 


Foosung: Announces a Rights Offering of 101 Billion Won

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>SK Hynix results surpised consensus with a swing to positive operating profit; The company expects industry demand growth to exceed supply growth by a wide margin in 2024E.</li>
<li>Management suggests optimism not just for 2024E, but also for 2025E. 2025E is when a much larger positive demand impact from AI is expected as AI products will expand substantially.</li>
<li>SK Hynix comments regarding AI phones imply that consumers will most likely need to upgrade their phones, including iPhones, to take full advantage of AI capabilities</li>
</ul>


SK Hynix results surpised consensus with a swing to positive operating profit; The company expects industry demand growth to exceed supply growth by a wide margin in 2024E.
Management suggests optimism not just for 2024E, but also for 2025E. 2025E is when a much larger positive demand impact from AI is expected as AI products will expand substantially.
SK Hynix comments regarding AI phones imply that consumers will most likely need to upgrade their phones, including iPhones, to take full advantage of AI capabilities


What SK Hynix's Latest Results Indicate for PC & Mobile Makers into 2025E, Including Apple

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD8.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in POSCO Future, LG Energy Solution.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD8.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in POSCO Future, LG Energy Solution.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 19th): POSCO Future, LG Energy Solution

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

EURO $STOXX 50, MSCI $ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Actionable Themes: Global Technology, Services, and Communications $ASML $ASMIY...

Vermilion Research

Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, SK Hynix

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Foosung: Announces a Rights Offering of 101 Billion Won

Foosung announced a rights offering worth 101 billion won. The estimated rights offering price is 7,850 won which is 22% discount to closing price...

Douglas Kim

What SK Hynix's Latest Results Indicate for PC & Mobile Makers into 2025E, Including Apple

SK Hynix expects strong industry demand growth in 2024 and beyond, particularly due to AI expansion. AI mobile phones will be a future driver and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 19th): POSCO Future, LG Energy Solution

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in POSCO FUTURE, LG Energy Solution.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

EURO $STOXX 50, MSCI $ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Actionable Themes: Global Technology, Services, and Communications $ASML $ASMIY...

Vermilion Research

Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, SK Hynix

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Foosung: Announces a Rights Offering of 101 Billion Won

Foosung announced a rights offering worth 101 billion won. The estimated rights offering price is 7,850 won which is 22% discount to closing price...

Douglas Kim

What SK Hynix's Latest Results Indicate for PC & Mobile Makers into 2025E, Including Apple

​SK Hynix expects strong industry demand growth in 2024 and beyond, particularly due to AI expansion. AI mobile phones will be a future driver and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 19th): POSCO Future, LG Energy Solution

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in POSCO FUTURE, LG Energy Solution.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SK Hynix expects strong industry demand growth in 2024 and beyond, particularly due to AI expansion. AI mobile phones will be a future driver and...