Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Welcome to Random Walks Down David's Mind!</li><li>With inflation being a relevant macroeconomic variable in the US and Europe for the first time since the early 1990s, many currently active European and US investors are experiencing their first period of elevated inflation in their professional lives—or even their entire lives (yep, I was born after 1990!).</li><li>In this context, I am studying which businesses benefit from inflation and which are harmed by it.</li></ul>

Welcome to Random Walks Down David's Mind!With inflation being a relevant macroeconomic variable in the US and Europe for the first time since the early 1990s, many currently active European and US investors are experiencing their first period of elevated inflation in their professional lives—or even their entire lives (yep, I was born after 1990!).In this context, I am studying which businesses benefit from inflation and which are harmed by it.

RW-08-25: Inflation and Capital Intensity: Blessing or Curse?

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>WTI crude prices are pressured by oversupply and weak sentiment, but received support late-week by a strong inventory draw and improved outlook for U.S.-EU trade talks. </li>
<li>U.S. natural gas prices dipped early due to high output and mild weather but recovered slightly on heat-driven demand, with ample storage limiting further upside.</li>
<li>Oil and gas corporate updates showed mixed earnings and strategy shifts, with Halliburton guiding lower, BP appointing a new chairman, and SLB falling despite beating expectations.</li>
</ul>


WTI crude prices are pressured by oversupply and weak sentiment, but received support late-week by a strong inventory draw and improved outlook for U.S.-EU trade talks. 
U.S. natural gas prices dipped early due to high output and mild weather but recovered slightly on heat-driven demand, with ample storage limiting further upside.
Oil and gas corporate updates showed mixed earnings and strategy shifts, with Halliburton guiding lower, BP appointing a new chairman, and SLB falling despite beating expectations.


[ETP 2025/30] TotalEnergies Lifts Payouts, BP Reboots Leadership; WTI Recovers While Henry Hub Drops

<ul>
<li>Chevron’s arbitration win over ExxonMobil unlocks Guyana’s Stabroek Block, a key asset underpinning its USD 53 billion Hess acquisition.</li>
<li>SLB outperformed Q2 estimates despite YoY declines and also completed its ChampionX acquisition amid regulatory challenges.</li>
<li>WTI crude found support late-week after better-than-expected economic data tempered demand fears, despite early pressure from inventory and macro concerns.</li>
</ul>


Chevron’s arbitration win over ExxonMobil unlocks Guyana’s Stabroek Block, a key asset underpinning its USD 53 billion Hess acquisition.
SLB outperformed Q2 estimates despite YoY declines and also completed its ChampionX acquisition amid regulatory challenges.
WTI crude found support late-week after better-than-expected economic data tempered demand fears, despite early pressure from inventory and macro concerns.


[ETP 2025/29] Chevron Secures Guyana Win as SLB Surprises; WTI Slips, Henry Hub Snaps Losing Streak

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 27/Jun, U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8m barrels (vs. expectations of a 3.5m barrel decline). Gasoline stockpiles rose more than expected.</li>
<li>The EIA reported a 55 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 48 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.2% above the five-year average but 5.6% below year-ago levels.</li>
<li>BlackRock may offload its gas pipeline stake back to Aramco, while JP Morgan cut its 12-month PT on SLB and Goldman Sachs did the same for Halliburton.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 27/Jun, U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8m barrels (vs. expectations of a 3.5m barrel decline). Gasoline stockpiles rose more than expected.
The EIA reported a 55 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 48 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.2% above the five-year average but 5.6% below year-ago levels.
BlackRock may offload its gas pipeline stake back to Aramco, while JP Morgan cut its 12-month PT on SLB and Goldman Sachs did the same for Halliburton.


[ETP 2025/27] WTI Volatile on Supply Risks; Henry Hub Slips on Softer Demand Outlook

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 20/Jun, U.S. crude inventories fell by 5.8m barrels (vs. expectations of a 1.2m barrel decline). Meanwhile, gasoline stockpiles fell more than expected.</li>
<li>The EIA reported a 96 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted an 88 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.6% above the five-year average but 6.3% below year-ago levels.</li>
<li>Shell denied reports of merger talks with BP. TD Cowen raised its price target on Exxon to USD 128, citing its technological edge in resource recovery and strategic deal-making capacity.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 20/Jun, U.S. crude inventories fell by 5.8m barrels (vs. expectations of a 1.2m barrel decline). Meanwhile, gasoline stockpiles fell more than expected.
The EIA reported a 96 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted an 88 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 6.6% above the five-year average but 6.3% below year-ago levels.
Shell denied reports of merger talks with BP. TD Cowen raised its price target on Exxon to USD 128, citing its technological edge in resource recovery and strategic deal-making capacity.


[ETP 2025/26] WTI Set for Deepest Weekly Drop Since March 2023; Henry Hub Slides on Tepid Demand

United States

Occidental Petroleum Corporation explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil and natural gas.  The Company also manufactures and markets a variety of basic chemicals, vinyls and performance chemicals. Occidental also gathers, treats, processes, transports, stores, trades and markets crude oil, natural gas, NGLs, condensate and carbon dioxide (CO2) and generates and markets power.

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Occidental Petroleum (OXY US)

RW-08-25: Inflation and Capital Intensity: Blessing or Curse?

Welcome to Random Walks Down David's Mind! With inflation being a relevant macroeconomic variable in the US and Europe for the first time since...

Contrarian Cashflows

[ETP 2025/30] TotalEnergies Lifts Payouts, BP Reboots Leadership; WTI Recovers While Henry Hub Drops

WTI crude prices face pressure from oversupply and weak sentiment. US natural gas prices dip due to high output and mild weather. Oil & Gas...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/29] Chevron Secures Guyana Win as SLB Surprises; WTI Slips, Henry Hub Snaps Losing Streak

Chevron's arbitration win over ExxonMobil unlocks key asset in Guyana, Hess acquisition; SLB outperforms Q2 estimates with ChampionX acquisition;...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/27] WTI Volatile on Supply Risks; Henry Hub Slips on Softer Demand Outlook

US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, gasoline stockpiles increased, natural gas storage levels are above average but below last year, BlackRock...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/26] WTI Set for Deepest Weekly Drop Since March 2023; Henry Hub Slides on Tepid Demand

US crude inventories fell more than expected. However, EIA reports gas storage build slightly above forecast. Shell denies merger talks with BP,...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

RW-08-25: Inflation and Capital Intensity: Blessing or Curse?

Welcome to Random Walks Down David's Mind! With inflation being a relevant macroeconomic variable in the US and Europe for the first time since...

Contrarian Cashflows

[ETP 2025/30] TotalEnergies Lifts Payouts, BP Reboots Leadership; WTI Recovers While Henry Hub Drops

​WTI crude prices face pressure from oversupply and weak sentiment. US natural gas prices dip due to high output and mild weather. Oil & Gas...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/29] Chevron Secures Guyana Win as SLB Surprises; WTI Slips, Henry Hub Snaps Losing Streak

​Chevron's arbitration win over ExxonMobil unlocks key asset in Guyana, Hess acquisition; SLB outperforms Q2 estimates with ChampionX acquisition;...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/27] WTI Volatile on Supply Risks; Henry Hub Slips on Softer Demand Outlook

​US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, gasoline stockpiles increased, natural gas storage levels are above average but below last year, BlackRock...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/26] WTI Set for Deepest Weekly Drop Since March 2023; Henry Hub Slides on Tepid Demand

​US crude inventories fell more than expected. However, EIA reports gas storage build slightly above forecast. Shell denies merger talks with BP,...

Mint Finance

WTI crude prices face pressure from oversupply and weak sentiment. US natural gas prices dip due to high output and mild weather. Oil & Gas...

Chevron's arbitration win over ExxonMobil unlocks key asset in Guyana, Hess acquisition; SLB outperforms Q2 estimates with ChampionX acquisition;...

US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, gasoline stockpiles increased, natural gas storage levels are above average but below last year, BlackRock...

US crude inventories fell more than expected. However, EIA reports gas storage build slightly above forecast. Shell denies merger talks with BP,...