IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-c827a672-7027-4114-b744-0fc66a5d1d98" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a> H Share listing; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kandenko-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3726:1" rel="noopener">Kandenko Co Ltd (1942 JP)</a> placement.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/br-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19365:1" rel="noopener">Br Holdings (1726 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcj-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14132:1" rel="noopener">MCJ Co Ltd (6670 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raksul-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27043:1" rel="noopener">Raksul Inc (4384 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guocoland-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16496:1" rel="noopener">Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Montage Technology (6809 HK) H Share listing; Kandenko Co Ltd (1942 JP) placement.
Event-Driven developments: Toyota Industries (6201 JP), Br Holdings (1726 JP), MCJ Co Ltd (6670 JP), Raksul Inc (4384 JP), Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK). 


Weekly Deals Digest (08 Feb) - Toyota Ind, Br Holdings, MCJ, Raksul, Guocoland, Montage, Kandenko

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>I tally 34 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Aura's scrip Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qoria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30531:1" rel="noopener">Qoria (QOR AU)</a> and backdoor listing; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guocoland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17467:1" rel="noopener">GuocoLand (GUOL SP)</a>'s selective capital reduction for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guocoland-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16496:1" rel="noopener">Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apiam-animal-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26109:1" rel="noopener">Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/humm-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35366:1" rel="noopener">Humm (HUM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qube-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:958:1" rel="noopener">Qube (QUB AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medical-data-vision-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8367:1" rel="noopener">Medical Data Vision (3902 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raksul-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27043:1" rel="noopener">Raksul (4384 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp (IJM MK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 34 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Two new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Aura's scrip Offer for Qoria (QOR AU) and backdoor listing; and GuocoLand (GUOL SP)'s selective capital reduction for Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK).
Key updates/news also took place on: Apiam Animal Health (AHX AU), Humm (HUM AU), Qube (QUB AU),Medical Data Vision (3902 JP), Raksul (4384 JP), and Ijm Corp (IJM MK).


Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Qoria, Guocoland Malaysia, Humm, Qube, Medical Data Vision, Raksul, IJM

<ul>
<li>Investors see value in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>. Many are concerned TICO and TM will deliberately engage in bad corporate governance to punish minorities if the Offer doesn't go through.</li>
<li>It's doubtful an international tribunal has the clout to overturn <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CKH (1 HK)</a>'s Supreme Court decision. The safe takeaway here is that this entire construct won't be concluded anytime soon.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a>'s divergence with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-crown-entertainme-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:810:1" rel="noopener">Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US)</a> is a curious thing. Is a statutory merger in the wings?</li>
</ul>


Investors see value in Toyota Industries (6201 JP). Many are concerned TICO and TM will deliberately engage in bad corporate governance to punish minorities if the Offer doesn't go through.
It's doubtful an international tribunal has the clout to overturn CKH (1 HK)'s Supreme Court decision. The safe takeaway here is that this entire construct won't be concluded anytime soon.

Melco International Development (200 HK)'s divergence with Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US) is a curious thing. Is a statutory merger in the wings?


Last Week In Event SPACE: CKH, Toyota Industries, Melco, Rio/Glencore, Guoco

<ul>
<li>Property developer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guocoland-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16496:1" rel="noopener">GuocoLand Malaysia (GUOL MK)</a> (GMB) has <a href="https://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=165945&amp;name=EA_GA_ATTACHMENTS" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a>  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guocoland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17467:1" rel="noopener">GuocoLand (GUOL SP)</a> (via wholly-owned sub GLL (Malaysia)), its controlling shareholder, intends to delist the company via a selective capital reduction.</li>
<li>GuocoLand is offering RM1.10/share in cash, a 17.65% premium to last close; but more like &gt;80% to undisturbed. Guocoland and concert parties hold 67.93% of shares out. </li>
<li>At ~0.47x P/B, that looks like a bargain for GuocoLand. But the price is the highest level in near-on seven years. For shareholders in an illiquid stock, here's your exit. </li>
</ul>


Property developer GuocoLand Malaysia (GUOL MK) (GMB) has announced  GuocoLand (GUOL SP) (via wholly-owned sub GLL (Malaysia)), its controlling shareholder, intends to delist the company via a selective capital reduction.
GuocoLand is offering RM1.10/share in cash, a 17.65% premium to last close; but more like &gt;80% to undisturbed. Guocoland and concert parties hold 67.93% of shares out. 
At ~0.47x P/B, that looks like a bargain for GuocoLand. But the price is the highest level in near-on seven years. For shareholders in an illiquid stock, here's your exit. 


GuocoLand Malaysia (GUOL MK): GuocoLand's Fair Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guocoland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17467:1" rel="noopener">GuocoLand (GUOL SP)</a> has submitted a proposal to privatise <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guocoland-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16496:1" rel="noopener">Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK)</a>/GLM through a selective capital reduction at RM1.10 per share, a 17.6% premium to the last close price. </li>
<li>The GLM Board has until 2 March (unless extended) to decide. It is likely that the 60% YTD share price rise forced the announcement before Board support could be secured.</li>
<li>While the offer is below NAV (implying a P/NAV of 0.53x), it represents an eight-year high. The shareholder vote is low-risk as no disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake.</li>
</ul>



GuocoLand (GUOL SP) has submitted a proposal to privatise Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK)/GLM through a selective capital reduction at RM1.10 per share, a 17.6% premium to the last close price. 
The GLM Board has until 2 March (unless extended) to decide. It is likely that the 60% YTD share price rise forced the announcement before Board support could be secured.
While the offer is below NAV (implying a P/NAV of 0.53x), it represents an eight-year high. The shareholder vote is low-risk as no disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake.


Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK): GuocoLand (GUOL SP)’s Privatisation Offer

Singapore

GuocoLand is an investment holding company focused on property development, investment, and management across residential, commercial, retail, hospitality, and integrated properties. The company also rents properties, operates hotels, and provides related management and marketing services. Headquartered in Singapore, GuocoLand was incorporated in 1976.

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GuocoLand (GUOL SP)

Weekly Deals Digest (08 Feb) - Toyota Ind, Br Holdings, MCJ, Raksul, Guocoland, Montage, Kandenko

A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, NZ, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia,...

Arun George

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Qoria, Guocoland Malaysia, Humm, Qube, Medical Data Vision, Raksul, IJM

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: CKH, Toyota Industries, Melco, Rio/Glencore, Guoco

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

GuocoLand Malaysia (GUOL MK): GuocoLand's Fair Offer

Clean deal. Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 4.8%/10.7%, assuming late July completion. That's looks right. If illiquid Malaysian arbs are...

David Blennerhassett

Guocoland Malaysia (GUOL MK): GuocoLand (GUOL SP)’s Privatisation Offer

While the offer is below NAV (implying a P/NAV of 0.53x), it represents an eight-year high. The shareholder vote is low-risk.

Arun George

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