Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA US/9699 HK/DADA US /JD US /PDD US /ZTO US /1519 HK/3690 HK:Taobao/Tmall to open one-hour delivery option to merchants on its platform (+/+/+/-/-/-/-/-)</li>
<li>NTES US: NetEase showcased their latest tactical shooter game, &lt;FragPunk&gt;, which is expected to launch in 2025.(+)</li>
<li>TCOM US/ATAT US : Travel consumption remained moderate during the Dragon Boat Festival.(-/-)</li>
</ul>


BABA US/9699 HK/DADA US /JD US /PDD US /ZTO US /1519 HK/3690 HK:Taobao/Tmall to open one-hour delivery option to merchants on its platform (+/+/+/-/-/-/-/-)
NTES US: NetEase showcased their latest tactical shooter game, &lt;FragPunk&gt;, which is expected to launch in 2025.(+)
TCOM US/ATAT US : Travel consumption remained moderate during the Dragon Boat Festival.(-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA /9699HK/DADA/JD/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/3690 HK/NTES/TCOM/ATAT

Andy Fu

<ul>
<li>Aging population, coupled with under-development of retirement pensions, is the major headwind against enhancing consumption; </li>
<li>The headroom of urbanization as a driver for enhanced consumption is not as big as depicted;</li>
<li>Residential housing has, over the years, become the social safety net for the Chinese. Therefore, the bust of the property market takes many years, if not decades, to heal. </li>
</ul>


Aging population, coupled with under-development of retirement pensions, is the major headwind against enhancing consumption; 
The headroom of urbanization as a driver for enhanced consumption is not as big as depicted;
Residential housing has, over the years, become the social safety net for the Chinese. Therefore, the bust of the property market takes many years, if not decades, to heal. 


How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

<ul>
<li>Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;</li>
<li>If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually <strong>over-consumes</strong>, both by GDP and by individual categories;</li>
<li>If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China <strong>underconsumption</strong> becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. </li>
</ul>


Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;
If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually over-consumes, both by GDP and by individual categories;
If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China underconsumption becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. 


How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Atour Lifestyle Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atour-lifestyle-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33481:1" rel="noopener">Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US)</a>, is looking to raise around US$168m through a secondary selldown.</li>
<li>This will be the third selldown by Legend Capital in just over a year’s time. Hence, the deal is well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$168m through a secondary selldown.
This will be the third selldown by Legend Capital in just over a year’s time. Hence, the deal is well flagged.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Well Flagged Deal, past Selldowns Have Done Well

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tuniu’s revenue grew by 71% YoY in 1Q24, as the company benefited from the travel industry’s recovery.</li>
<li>Smart Share Global’s revenue plunged by 52% YoY in 1Q24 due to fewer customers in shopping malls.</li>
<li>PDD plans to price products on behalf of retailers, which reflects the severe competition in e-commerce.</li>
</ul>


Tuniu’s revenue grew by 71% YoY in 1Q24, as the company benefited from the travel industry’s recovery.
Smart Share Global’s revenue plunged by 52% YoY in 1Q24 due to fewer customers in shopping malls.
PDD plans to price products on behalf of retailers, which reflects the severe competition in e-commerce.


China Consumption Weekly (10 Jun 2024): Tencent, PDD, Meituan, NIO, Tuniu, Smart Share

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Trip.com (TCOM US)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA /9699HK/DADA/JD/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/3690 HK/NTES/TCOM/ATAT

Taobao/Tmall offers one-hour delivery to merchants, NetEase unveils new game FragPunk for 2025 launch, travel consumption during Dragon Boat...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

The underdevelopment of China's pension system leads to reliance on the residential property market as social safety net. The headroom of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Well Flagged Deal, past Selldowns Have Done Well

Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$168m through a...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA /9699HK/DADA/JD/PDD/ZTO/1519 HK/3690 HK/NTES/TCOM/ATAT

​Taobao/Tmall offers one-hour delivery to merchants, NetEase unveils new game FragPunk for 2025 launch, travel consumption during Dragon Boat...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

The underdevelopment of China's pension system leads to reliance on the residential property market as social safety net. The headroom of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Well Flagged Deal, past Selldowns Have Done Well

Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$168m through a...

Sumeet Singh

China Consumption Weekly (10 Jun 2024): Tencent, PDD, Meituan, NIO, Tuniu, Smart Share

Tuniu’s revenue grew by 71% YoY in 1Q24. Smart Share Global’s revenue plunge by 52% YoY in 1Q24. PDD plans to price products on behalf of retailers.

Ming Lu

Taobao/Tmall offers one-hour delivery to merchants, NetEase unveils new game FragPunk for 2025 launch, travel consumption during Dragon Boat...