Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ASML's numbers failed to lift US semi-caps overnight, with Kospi futures pointing -4.4% lower. A dour tone for SPE.</li>
<li>TSMC will report today, so expect to see semi-cap fluctuations based on their capex commentary.</li>
<li>Mitsubishi Heavy may see interest after news that it is shipping cooling systems to NVDA's DSX.</li>
</ul>


ASML's numbers failed to lift US semi-caps overnight, with Kospi futures pointing -4.4% lower. A dour tone for SPE.
TSMC will report today, so expect to see semi-cap fluctuations based on their capex commentary.
Mitsubishi Heavy may see interest after news that it is shipping cooling systems to NVDA's DSX.


Japan Morning Connection: SPE Set to Give Back Yesterday's Gains with Memory Selloff Overnight

<ul>
<li>The market should like the news that Tokyo Electron can now deliver chip gear manufacturing equipment to customers in half the time.</li>
<li>Ibiden as well as SPE majors should get a lift from NVDA's +3.7% move.</li>
<li>Kioxia may catch a bid now that Bain Capital has fully exited their stake. </li>
</ul>


The market should like the news that Tokyo Electron can now deliver chip gear manufacturing equipment to customers in half the time.
Ibiden as well as SPE majors should get a lift from NVDA's +3.7% move.
Kioxia may catch a bid now that Bain Capital has fully exited their stake. 


Japan Morning Connection: Softbank in Focus Ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Release Tomorrow

<ul>
<li>Can expect more from the likes of Rakus Co Ltd, Shift Inc, NEC Corp and Fujitsu Ltd which all traded well yesterday on the rotation away from frontline AI plays.</li>
<li>It would make sense to see interest in physical AI FA plays such as Yaskawa Electric, Mitsubishi Electric, Keyence Corp and Fanuc Corp as alternative exposure to the AI theme.</li>
<li>The power semis such as Fuji Electric, ROHM Co Ltd and Renesas Electronics should hold up after a strong day for the sector in the US.</li>
</ul>


Can expect more from the likes of Rakus Co Ltd, Shift Inc, NEC Corp and Fujitsu Ltd which all traded well yesterday on the rotation away from frontline AI plays.
It would make sense to see interest in physical AI FA plays such as Yaskawa Electric, Mitsubishi Electric, Keyence Corp and Fanuc Corp as alternative exposure to the AI theme.
The power semis such as Fuji Electric, ROHM Co Ltd and Renesas Electronics should hold up after a strong day for the sector in the US.


Japan Morning Connection: Physical AI FA Plays May Draw Fresh Interest as Alternative AI Exposure

<ul>
<li>SOX up ~80% this quarter, one of its biggest ever gains, making quarter-end profit-taking a real risk for high-flying AI names over the next two sessions.</li>
<li>Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas and Sanken likely to open weak after Onsemi -24% taken as a warning that there isn’t much upside for power/industrial makers in the DC arena.</li>
<li>European heatwave puts Daikin, Mitsubishi Electric and Panasonic A/C names in focus as a potential distraction from AI volatility into quarter end.</li>
</ul>


SOX up ~80% this quarter, one of its biggest ever gains, making quarter-end profit-taking a real risk for high-flying AI names over the next two sessions.
Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas and Sanken likely to open weak after Onsemi -24% taken as a warning that there isn’t much upside for power/industrial makers in the DC arena.
European heatwave puts Daikin, Mitsubishi Electric and Panasonic A/C names in focus as a potential distraction from AI volatility into quarter end.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Names Increasingly Volatile with SOX Reversal and Quarter-End Pressure

<ul>
<li>Should still be more upside after Micron’s AH numbers yesterday with many Japanese SPE names still a ways from their recent highs after correcting earlier in the week.</li>
<li>Still yet to see Furukawa, SEI and SWCC play catch up to Fujikura after strong guidance revision this week.</li>
<li>A negative read for JP game developers such as Nintendo and Sony after Microsoft announced price hikes for its Xbox.</li>
</ul>


Should still be more upside after Micron’s AH numbers yesterday with many Japanese SPE names still a ways from their recent highs after correcting earlier in the week.
Still yet to see Furukawa, SEI and SWCC play catch up to Fujikura after strong guidance revision this week.
A negative read for JP game developers such as Nintendo and Sony after Microsoft announced price hikes for its Xbox.


Japan Morning Connection: Room to Run with SPEs Still Below Recent Highs

Japan

ADVANTEST CORPORATION produces semiconductor testing devices and electronic measuring instruments.  The Company's products include large-scale integration (LSI) test systems, memory test systems, dynamic test handlers, network analyzers, electronic meters, optical testing devices, and signal sources.

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Advantest Corp (6857 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: SPE Set to Give Back Yesterday's Gains with Memory Selloff Overnight

SPE names may give back yesterday's gains as ASML's numbers fail to lift US peers. TSMC will report today, so expect to see semi-cap fluctuations...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Softbank in Focus Ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Release Tomorrow

Softbank Group may see interest today ahead of the news that OpenAI is set to release its latest version of GPT-5.6 tomorrow while news of faster...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Physical AI FA Plays May Draw Fresh Interest as Alternative AI Exposure

Expect a continuation of the shift away from frontline AI plays. Interest in physical AI FA plays may see an increase as alternative exposure to...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AI Names Increasingly Volatile with SOX Reversal and Quarter-End Pressure

Japanese AI and semi names face a rocky quarter end with power/industrial stocks, memory names and Softbank all under pressure, while A/C names may...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Room to Run with SPEs Still Below Recent Highs

Japanese SPEs have room to run as AI rally yet to be fully priced in, with relative s/t laggards including Lasertec, TEL and Resonac.

Andrew Jackson

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