Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/winbond-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9177:1" rel="noopener">Winbond Electronics (2344 TT)</a> should be added to a global index in February and then to a country index in March.</li>
<li>With one exception, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/winbond-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9177:1" rel="noopener">Winbond Electronics (2344 TT)</a> has outperformed its peers over the last 5 months. With passive buying to come, outperformance could continue in the short-term.</li>
<li>There is positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/winbond-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9177:1" rel="noopener">Winbond Electronics (2344 TT)</a> and in its peers. With continued momentum in the stock, the path of least resistance is higher.</li>
</ul>



Winbond Electronics (2344 TT) should be added to a global index in February and then to a country index in March.
With one exception, Winbond Electronics (2344 TT) has outperformed its peers over the last 5 months. With passive buying to come, outperformance could continue in the short-term.
There is positioning in Winbond Electronics (2344 TT) and in its peers. With continued momentum in the stock, the path of least resistance is higher.


Winbond Electronics (2344 TT): Two Index Inclusions in Quick Succession

Taishin Financial Holding / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 8 adds and 8 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$13bn.</li>
<li>The ETF has started trading the stocks and is expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days.</li>
<li>There are a few surprises and those stocks could outperform peers over the rest of the trading period.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 adds and 8 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$13bn.
The ETF has started trading the stocks and is expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days.
There are a few surprises and those stocks could outperform peers over the rest of the trading period.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$7bn Trade over the Next Week

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 403bn (US$12.8bn).</li>
<li>We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of 30.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7.9bn.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last couple of weeks and we expect the adds to continue outperforming the deletes over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 403bn (US$12.8bn).
We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of 30.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7.9bn.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last couple of weeks and we expect the adds to continue outperforming the deletes over the next few days.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebal Preview: 8 Changes; US$8bn Trade

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Micron Earnings Call Analysis: AI Memory Tailwinds Getting Stronger as Servers, Smartphone, PC Demand Converge</li>
<li>MediaTek Sharpens Flagship Push, Aiming for 40% Global Market Share... Also, Exploring U.S. Production Set Up</li>
<li>KYEC (2449.TT): The Recent Upward Momentum in the Share Price Has Been Driven by Strong Fundamentals </li>
</ul>


Micron Earnings Call Analysis: AI Memory Tailwinds Getting Stronger as Servers, Smartphone, PC Demand Converge
MediaTek Sharpens Flagship Push, Aiming for 40% Global Market Share... Also, Exploring U.S. Production Set Up
KYEC (2449.TT): The Recent Upward Momentum in the Share Price Has Been Driven by Strong Fundamentals 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Eyes US Manufacturing, 40% Global Mkt Share; Micron Earnings Take-Aways

<ul>
<li>Foxconn Tech invests US$1bn in U.S. robotics, AI, and smart manufacturing over 10 years, expanding into service robotics via RoboTemi stake.</li>
<li>Samsung to surpass US$50bn in U.S. chip investments, adding US$7bn for advanced packaging to compete with TSMC and capture AI/HPC integration opportunities.</li>
<li>Intel faces leadership crisis as CEO Lip Bu Tan’s strategy is criticized; U.S. policy and competitive pressures may accelerate market gains for TSMC and Samsung.</li>
</ul>


Foxconn Tech invests US$1bn in U.S. robotics, AI, and smart manufacturing over 10 years, expanding into service robotics via RoboTemi stake.
Samsung to surpass US$50bn in U.S. chip investments, adding US$7bn for advanced packaging to compete with TSMC and capture AI/HPC integration opportunities.
Intel faces leadership crisis as CEO Lip Bu Tan’s strategy is criticized; U.S. policy and competitive pressures may accelerate market gains for TSMC and Samsung.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Foxconn US$1bn USA Robotics Push; Samsung Doubles Down on US Fabs; Intel Crisis

Taiwan

Phison Electronics Corp. manufactures and markets USB (Universal Serial Bus) flash pen drives, card readers, adapters, flash memory controllers, and integrated circuits (ICs).

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Phison Electronics (8299 TT)

Winbond Electronics (2344 TT): Two Index Inclusions in Quick Succession

Winbond Electronics should be added to a global index in Feb and a country ETF in March. There will be nearly US$900m to buy in the stock. Momentum...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$7bn Trade over the Next Week

There are 8 adds and 8 deletes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 26.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7bn. There are a few...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebal Preview: 8 Changes; US$8bn Trade

We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of 30.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7.9bn....

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Foxconn US$1bn USA Robotics Push; Samsung Doubles Down on US Fabs; Intel Crisis

Foxconn and Samsung make significant investments in U.S. robotics and chip packaging technology, while Intel faces leadership challenges. TSMC and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Winbond Electronics (2344 TT): Two Index Inclusions in Quick Succession

Winbond Electronics should be added to a global index in Feb and a country ETF in March. There will be nearly US$900m to buy in the stock. Momentum...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$7bn Trade over the Next Week

There are 8 adds and 8 deletes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 26.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7bn. There are a few...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebal Preview: 8 Changes; US$8bn Trade

We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of 30.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$7.9bn....

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Eyes US Manufacturing, 40% Global Mkt Share; Micron Earnings Take-Aways

​Micron sees AI memory demand rising, MediaTek targets 40% market share, KYEC's stock surge driven by strong fundamentals.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Foxconn US$1bn USA Robotics Push; Samsung Doubles Down on US Fabs; Intel Crisis

​Foxconn and Samsung make significant investments in U.S. robotics and chip packaging technology, while Intel faces leadership challenges. TSMC and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron sees AI memory demand rising, MediaTek targets 40% market share, KYEC's stock surge driven by strong fundamentals.

Foxconn and Samsung make significant investments in U.S. robotics and chip packaging technology, while Intel faces leadership challenges. TSMC and...