Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Big Dec-24 due to China. Mar-25 will be weaker. FY26 growth will come only from TSMC and HBM. After a strong FY25 (~30% growth), FY26 should see growth at 10-15%.</li>
<li>Accounting concerns  should be over after the publication of the audit report on Jan 14 2025. The stock has started appreciating since early Jan 2025.</li>
<li>Valuations are low. The stock is trading at ~11x FY26 EPS. A muted Mar-25 could limit the upside short-term, let’s wait.</li>
</ul>


Big Dec-24 due to China. Mar-25 will be weaker. FY26 growth will come only from TSMC and HBM. After a strong FY25 (~30% growth), FY26 should see growth at 10-15%.
Accounting concerns  should be over after the publication of the audit report on Jan 14 2025. The stock has started appreciating since early Jan 2025.
Valuations are low. The stock is trading at ~11x FY26 EPS. A muted Mar-25 could limit the upside short-term, let’s wait.


SCREEN: Moderate ~teens Growth Outlook but the Stock Is Cheap

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> has been in a downtrend since mid July 2024. A base may be forming and the stock may begin a rally from here.</li>
<li>This insight will identify the WEEKLY profit targets for this possible rally: since the stock's direction is unclear at the moment, strategic predictions risky, better be short-term tactical.</li>
<li>The stock currently has corrected for 2 weeks from the last close up, reaching the 50% support area, according to our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics</a> quantitative LONG model.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has been in a downtrend since mid July 2024. A base may be forming and the stock may begin a rally from here.
This insight will identify the WEEKLY profit targets for this possible rally: since the stock's direction is unclear at the moment, strategic predictions risky, better be short-term tactical.
The stock currently has corrected for 2 weeks from the last close up, reaching the 50% support area, according to our Samsung Electronics quantitative LONG model.


Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Primed for a Rally: Key Profit Targets

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>PC Monitor: Snapdragon’s Surge, AMD’s Gains, Intel’s Test; Long Asus &amp; Dell</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Is DeepSeek a Problem for SK Hynix &amp; Micron's HBM DRAM Growth? </li>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Earthquake Impact Limited; Setting Newest Production Line Not Viable in US. </li>
</ul>


PC Monitor: Snapdragon’s Surge, AMD’s Gains, Intel’s Test; Long Asus &amp; Dell
Memory Monitor: Is DeepSeek a Problem for SK Hynix &amp; Micron's HBM DRAM Growth? 
TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Earthquake Impact Limited; Setting Newest Production Line Not Viable in US. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: How Apple Helped TSMC Become #1; Also Morris Chang Comments on TSMC ADR Premium

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

<ul>
<li>As we hit Chinese New Year break,  we want to examine if Hynix's earnings and investor call met investor expectations</li>
<li>6 key questions going in and where we are post <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> reporting and before <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> reports early February</li>
<li>The consensus is that the key questions were not answered.  Well, not all answered and some remains to be seen. </li>
</ul>


As we hit Chinese New Year break,  we want to examine if Hynix's earnings and investor call met investor expectations
6 key questions going in and where we are post SK Hynix (000660 KS) reporting and before Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) reports early February
The consensus is that the key questions were not answered.  Well, not all answered and some remains to be seen. 


Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC hit a record high average fund allocation of 9.07% at the end of last year, yet EM funds switched to a sizeable underweight of -1.47% throughout the year.</li>
<li>Active UCITS funds become forced sellers as weights hit 10%, with non-UCITS selling in to strength as weights rise on strong performance.</li>
<li>EM Value funds maintain an overweight in Alibaba, the only Style group to do so. Alibaba is now the most widely held stock for Value funds alongside TSMC and Samsung.</li>
</ul>


TSMC hit a record high average fund allocation of 9.07% at the end of last year, yet EM funds switched to a sizeable underweight of -1.47% throughout the year.
Active UCITS funds become forced sellers as weights hit 10%, with non-UCITS selling in to strength as weights rise on strong performance.
EM Value funds maintain an overweight in Alibaba, the only Style group to do so. Alibaba is now the most widely held stock for Value funds alongside TSMC and Samsung.


TSMC Forced Underweight, Alibaba Value Trap?

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

SCREEN: Moderate ~teens Growth Outlook but the Stock Is Cheap

China impact on Dec-24, weaker Mar-25, FY26 growth from TSMC/HBM. Accounting concerns resolved, stock appreciating. Low valuations at 11x FY26...

Nicolas Baratte