Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>China's wafer foundry industry is set to experience substantial growth by 2025, presenting opportunities for technological advancements and innovation within the sector.</li><li>TSMC's focus on COUPE technology in silicon photonics demonstrates their commitment to driving advancements in the field and maintaining a leading position in the industry.</li><li>The introduction of Samsung's GenAI smartphones 2.0, equipped with AI agents, showcases a new level of integration and innovation in mobile technology, promising an enhanced user experience.</li></ul>

China's wafer foundry industry is set to experience substantial growth by 2025, presenting opportunities for technological advancements and innovation within the sector.TSMC's focus on COUPE technology in silicon photonics demonstrates their commitment to driving advancements in the field and maintaining a leading position in the industry.The introduction of Samsung's GenAI smartphones 2.0, equipped with AI agents, showcases a new level of integration and innovation in mobile technology, promising an enhanced user experience.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Jan-2025): China wafer industry by 2025.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Silicon Motion Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>What is PCIe 5.0 and Why SIMO is Poised to Expand Market Share with PCIe 5.0</li>
<li>PCIe 5.0 and Beyond -- Importance for Enterprise HPC and AI Data Centers</li>
<li>Looking Ahead: MaxLinear Arbitration in 2H25E -- We Believe SIMO Likely to Win Its Termination Fee Plus Additional Award for Additional Damages</li>
</ul>


What is PCIe 5.0 and Why SIMO is Poised to Expand Market Share with PCIe 5.0
PCIe 5.0 and Beyond -- Importance for Enterprise HPC and AI Data Centers
Looking Ahead: MaxLinear Arbitration in 2H25E -- We Believe SIMO Likely to Win Its Termination Fee Plus Additional Award for Additional Damages


Silicon Motion: Memory Controllers Emerging as Strategic Pillar for Global HPC and AI Leadership

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul><li>Taiwan startup secures military contract for anti-drone tech, expanding manufacturing in mobile sector</li><li>Dixon sees phone sales spike, eyes display fab with India semiconductor incentive</li><li>Samsung delays DRAM development, CG Power granted subsidy for OSAT facility, Poland faces US sanctions, Taiwan quake impacts semiconductor production, ByteDance dominates AI chatbot market, Broadcom and Marvell compete in ASIC opportunities</li></ul>

Taiwan startup secures military contract for anti-drone tech, expanding manufacturing in mobile sectorDixon sees phone sales spike, eyes display fab with India semiconductor incentiveSamsung delays DRAM development, CG Power granted subsidy for OSAT facility, Poland faces US sanctions, Taiwan quake impacts semiconductor production, ByteDance dominates AI chatbot market, Broadcom and Marvell compete in ASIC opportunities

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Jan-2025): Taiwan startup wins military deal for anti-drone tech.

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UMC Misses 4Q24 Expectations -- Gross Margin Dips with Flat QoQ Revenue</li>
<li>UMC Guides for 40% Reduction in Capex Budget -- We Believe Signals Strategic Shift to Less Capex Intensive Business Model</li>
<li>Intel 12nm Partnership Remains on Track and is Key Business Model for Future; UMC Sees Improvement in Consumer Electronics Industry Inventories</li>
</ul>


UMC Misses 4Q24 Expectations -- Gross Margin Dips with Flat QoQ Revenue
UMC Guides for 40% Reduction in Capex Budget -- We Believe Signals Strategic Shift to Less Capex Intensive Business Model
Intel 12nm Partnership Remains on Track and is Key Business Model for Future; UMC Sees Improvement in Consumer Electronics Industry Inventories


United Microelectronics 4Q24 Results: Intel Partnership On Track and Is A Key Model for UMC's Future

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>AI related demand accounted for ~15% of revenue in 2024, i.e. ~$13.5 billion. This is set to double to $27 billion in 2025</li>
<li>5 year growth CAGR of 20%, at the top end of the previously guided 15-20% range</li>
<li>On track for $100 billion revenue in 2025, and most likely, $200 billion by 2030</li>
</ul>


AI related demand accounted for ~15% of revenue in 2024, i.e. ~$13.5 billion. This is set to double to $27 billion in 2025
5 year growth CAGR of 20%, at the top end of the previously guided 15-20% range
On track for $100 billion revenue in 2025, and most likely, $200 billion by 2030


South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Jan-2025): China wafer industry by 2025.

China's wafer foundry industry set to grow, TSMC prioritizing COUPE tech for silicon photonics, Samsung's GenAI smartphones 2.0 enhance mobile...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Silicon Motion: Memory Controllers Emerging as Strategic Pillar for Global HPC and AI Leadership

PCIe 5.0 is set to revolutionize data centers, with SIMO positioned to benefit from its expansion in the market. We also analyze a potential...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Jan-2025): Taiwan startup wins military deal for anti-drone tech.

Taiwan startup wins military contract, Dixon expands phone sales, Samsung delays DRAM development, CG Power receives subsidy in India, Poland faces...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

United Microelectronics 4Q24 Results: Intel Partnership On Track and Is A Key Model for UMC's Future

UMC's 4Q24 results disappoint with lower gross margin and flat revenue. Plans to reduce capex by 40% hint at shift to less capital-intensive...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC. The Juggernaut Accelerates!

AI related demand ~15% of revenue in 2024, i.e. ~$13.5 billion. This is set to double to $27 billion in 2025. 5 year growth CAGR 20%, >$100 billion...

William Keating

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Tech Supply Chain Tracker (24-Jan-2025): China wafer industry by 2025.

China's wafer foundry industry set to grow, TSMC prioritizing COUPE tech for silicon photonics, Samsung's GenAI smartphones 2.0 enhance mobile...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Silicon Motion: Memory Controllers Emerging as Strategic Pillar for Global HPC and AI Leadership

​PCIe 5.0 is set to revolutionize data centers, with SIMO positioned to benefit from its expansion in the market. We also analyze a potential...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Jan-2025): Taiwan startup wins military deal for anti-drone tech.

Taiwan startup wins military contract, Dixon expands phone sales, Samsung delays DRAM development, CG Power receives subsidy in India, Poland faces...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

United Microelectronics 4Q24 Results: Intel Partnership On Track and Is A Key Model for UMC's Future

​UMC's 4Q24 results disappoint with lower gross margin and flat revenue. Plans to reduce capex by 40% hint at shift to less capital-intensive...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC. The Juggernaut Accelerates!

AI related demand ~15% of revenue in 2024, i.e. ~$13.5 billion. This is set to double to $27 billion in 2025. 5 year growth CAGR 20%, >$100 billion...

William Keating

PCIe 5.0 is set to revolutionize data centers, with SIMO positioned to benefit from its expansion in the market. We also analyze a potential...

UMC's 4Q24 results disappoint with lower gross margin and flat revenue. Plans to reduce capex by 40% hint at shift to less capital-intensive...