Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>During Tesla's third quarter of 2024 financial report, several key points emerged that provide an overview of the company's performance and strategic direction.</li><li>One of the prominent highlights was Tesla's achievement of record deliveries in a market experiencing overall industry declines.</li><li>This emphasizes Tesla's ability to navigate a challenging automotive landscape, an important consideration for investors assessing the company's resilience and market positioning.</li></ul>

During Tesla's third quarter of 2024 financial report, several key points emerged that provide an overview of the company's performance and strategic direction.One of the prominent highlights was Tesla's achievement of record deliveries in a market experiencing overall industry declines.This emphasizes Tesla's ability to navigate a challenging automotive landscape, an important consideration for investors assessing the company's resilience and market positioning.

Tesla’s Big Bet: Why Trump’s Autonomous Push Could Supercharge Their Future!

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Our Geopolitical team is wrapping up an analysis on the escalating Ukraine-Russia conflict.</li><li>In the meantime, here’s a piece we believe markets might not yet be fully tuned into:With Donald Trump and Elon Musk seemingly forming a close alliance, their influence on trade and economic policies has become a hot topic.</li><li>Notably, Vivek Ramaswamy and Musk have thrown their support behind Javier Milei’s economic strategy in Argentina, which includes radical measures such as aggressive spending cuts and a commitment to reducing trade barriers.</li></ul>

Our Geopolitical team is wrapping up an analysis on the escalating Ukraine-Russia conflict.In the meantime, here’s a piece we believe markets might not yet be fully tuned into:With Donald Trump and Elon Musk seemingly forming a close alliance, their influence on trade and economic policies has become a hot topic.Notably, Vivek Ramaswamy and Musk have thrown their support behind Javier Milei’s economic strategy in Argentina, which includes radical measures such as aggressive spending cuts and a commitment to reducing trade barriers.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.</li>
<li>Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback <em>again</em>.</li>
<li>We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.
Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback again.
We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).


Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Geely’s revenue grew by 20% YoY and deliveries increased by 19% YoY in 3Q24.</li>
<li>The operating margin improved to 5.3% in 3Q24 versus 2.9% in 3Q23.</li>
<li>We conclude an upside of 58% and a price target of HK$22 for the end of 2025.</li>
</ul>


Geely’s revenue grew by 20% YoY and deliveries increased by 19% YoY in 3Q24.
The operating margin improved to 5.3% in 3Q24 versus 2.9% in 3Q23.
We conclude an upside of 58% and a price target of HK$22 for the end of 2025.


Geely (175 HK): 3Q24, Revenue up by 20% and Operating Profit up by 129% (2nd Largest in China)

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: Government cut property transaction related taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% of transaction costs per unit(+)</li>
<li>1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US: EV deliveries in the 45th week of 2024, Xiaomi rebounds, Tesla is strong, NIO and Xpeng are weak （///////////）</li>
<li>ATAT US: Atour Pillow's Double 11 Sales Exceed Expectations, Reaching RMB520mn（+）</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: Government cut property transaction related taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% of transaction costs per unit(+)
1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US: EV deliveries in the 45th week of 2024, Xiaomi rebounds, Tesla is strong, NIO and Xpeng are weak （///////////）
ATAT US: Atour Pillow's Double 11 Sales Exceed Expectations, Reaching RMB520mn（+）


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/ATAT US/BIDU US

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

Tesla’s Big Bet: Why Trump’s Autonomous Push Could Supercharge Their Future!

During Tesla's third quarter of 2024 financial report, several key points emerged that provide an overview of the company's performance and...

Baptista Research

Trump Watch: Possible U-Turn on Tariffs?

Our Geopolitical team is wrapping up an analysis on the escalating Ukraine-Russia conflict. In the meantime, here’s a piece we believe markets...

Steno Research

Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Buy the Pullback Again, Same as Our Election Day Report; S&P 500 $SPX, Nasdaq 100 $QQQ, Russell 2000 $IWM Testing Confluence of Support at 20-day...

Vermilion Research

Geely (175 HK): 3Q24, Revenue up by 20% and Operating Profit up by 129% (2nd Largest in China)

Revenue grew by 20% YoY and deliveries increased by 19% YoY in 3Q24. The operating margin improved to 5.3% in 3Q24 versus 2.9% in 3Q23. We conclude...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/ATAT US/BIDU US

Government in BEKE US cuts property transaction taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% per unit; EV deliveries mixed in 45th week, Atour Pillow's Double 11 sales...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tesla’s Big Bet: Why Trump’s Autonomous Push Could Supercharge Their Future!

During Tesla's third quarter of 2024 financial report, several key points emerged that provide an overview of the company's performance and...

Baptista Research

Trump Watch: Possible U-Turn on Tariffs?

Our Geopolitical team is wrapping up an analysis on the escalating Ukraine-Russia conflict. In the meantime, here’s a piece we believe markets...

Steno Research

Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Buy the Pullback Again, Same as Our Election Day Report; S&P 500 $SPX, Nasdaq 100 $QQQ, Russell 2000 $IWM Testing Confluence of Support at 20-day...

Vermilion Research

Geely (175 HK): 3Q24, Revenue up by 20% and Operating Profit up by 129% (2nd Largest in China)

Revenue grew by 20% YoY and deliveries increased by 19% YoY in 3Q24. The operating margin improved to 5.3% in 3Q24 versus 2.9% in 3Q23. We conclude...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/ATAT US/BIDU US

​Government in BEKE US cuts property transaction taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% per unit; EV deliveries mixed in 45th week, Atour Pillow's Double 11 sales...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Government in BEKE US cuts property transaction taxes, saving 2.5%-4.5% per unit; EV deliveries mixed in 45th week, Atour Pillow's Double 11 sales...