Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/203678/What's%20Up%20(&amp;%20Up)%20With%20Shandong%20Hi-Speed%20(412%20HK)" target="_blank" rel="noopener">What's Up (&amp; Up) With Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK)?</a>, I thought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-holdings-gro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10356:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK)</a> was a bubble after gaining 190% in the past six months. </li>
<li>My guess was that SDHG's high shareholder concentration was still very much present, and the stock was getting (unjustly) squeezed.</li>
<li>The SFC concurred on the 18th September, and issued a concentration warning. SDHG's shares cratered 76% on the 19th September, before recovering 49%. Quite the ride. </li>
</ul>


In What's Up (&amp; Up) With Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK)?, I thought Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK) was a bubble after gaining 190% in the past six months. 
My guess was that SDHG's high shareholder concentration was still very much present, and the stock was getting (unjustly) squeezed.
The SFC concurred on the 18th September, and issued a concentration warning. SDHG's shares cratered 76% on the 19th September, before recovering 49%. Quite the ride. 


Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK): Now Overshot To The Downside

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HSTECH index on the verge of breaking through its Deepsek high</li>
<li>The market is again rewarding AI and cloud infrastructure spending</li>
<li>We add some names to benefit from this ongoing trend</li>
</ul>


HSTECH index on the verge of breaking through its Deepsek high
The market is again rewarding AI and cloud infrastructure spending
We add some names to benefit from this ongoing trend


Tactical Trading – Adding AI Infrastructure to the China Tech Trade

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>The Fed announced a 25bps rate cut, which is largely anticipated by the market.  The SEP median estimate indicates 2 more cuts in 2025</li>
<li>Regarding HK policy address, there are no meaningful positive surprise related to the property market.  It highlights the importance of Northern Metropolis development, and improving home ownership, and talent admission</li>
<li>Investors should see-through these and focus on big picture: macro developments, monetary policy, and sector fundamentals.  Pick company with attractive valuation and catalysts: NWD, Link REIT, CICT, COLI, VNET, GDS</li>
</ul>


The Fed announced a 25bps rate cut, which is largely anticipated by the market.  The SEP median estimate indicates 2 more cuts in 2025
Regarding HK policy address, there are no meaningful positive surprise related to the property market.  It highlights the importance of Northern Metropolis development, and improving home ownership, and talent admission
Investors should see-through these and focus on big picture: macro developments, monetary policy, and sector fundamentals.  Pick company with attractive valuation and catalysts: NWD, Link REIT, CICT, COLI, VNET, GDS


RE Stock Implications from Fed's Rate Cut and HK PA: Focus on Big Picture, Macro and Sector Drivers

<ul>
<li>We believe the recent launches of AI Model will challenge the assumptions of AI training costs, and we are still in early stages of AI revolution</li>
<li>It will maintain a sustainable growth of AI infrastructure like data centers, instead of reducing the demand. GDS and VNET are well positioned to capture this tailwind</li>
<li>VNET and GDS were up 303% and 268% for last 12 months, we think it is not too late to chase the rally</li>
</ul>


We believe the recent launches of AI Model will challenge the assumptions of AI training costs, and we are still in early stages of AI revolution
It will maintain a sustainable growth of AI infrastructure like data centers, instead of reducing the demand. GDS and VNET are well positioned to capture this tailwind
VNET and GDS were up 303% and 268% for last 12 months, we think it is not too late to chase the rally


Implication of Deepseek on China Data Centers: Buy GDS and VNET, Not Too Late to Chase the Rally!

<ul>
<li>China’s carrier neutral data center service is growing rapidly, we believe VNET is positioned to capture this growing market</li>
<li>We think VNET is the path of transforming itself from a traditional retail IDC operator to a wholesale IDC operator, which should give VNET a higher trading multiple</li>
<li>Valuation is not demanding, and we think VNET is currently undervalued by the market</li>
</ul>


China’s carrier neutral data center service is growing rapidly, we believe VNET is positioned to capture this growing market
We think VNET is the path of transforming itself from a traditional retail IDC operator to a wholesale IDC operator, which should give VNET a higher trading multiple
Valuation is not demanding, and we think VNET is currently undervalued by the market


VNET: A Leader in IDC Market, Transforming from a Traditional Operator to Wholesale Operator

China

VNET Group, Inc. provides carrier-neutral Internet data center services. The Company hosts its customers' servers and networking equipment, as well as provides interconnectivity to enable customers to deliver data across the Internet. VNET Group conducts business in Beijing, China.

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VNET Group (VNET US)

Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK): Now Overshot To The Downside

I'd look to get some exposure here. But I wouldn't chase it. I doubt the days of large share price gyrations are a thing of the past.

David Blennerhassett

Tactical Trading – Adding AI Infrastructure to the China Tech Trade

HSTECH index showing increased momentum as market approaches Deepseek high. We look at some AI infrastructure beneficiaries

Rikki Malik

RE Stock Implications from Fed's Rate Cut and HK PA: Focus on Big Picture, Macro and Sector Drivers

Investors should see through Fed's 25bps rate cut and HK's Policy Address, and focus on macro development, geopolitical risks, as well as sector...

Jacob Cheng

Implication of Deepseek on China Data Centers: Buy GDS and VNET, Not Too Late to Chase the Rally!

We explored the recent launches of AI model, e.g. Deepseek, discuss the implication to Data Centers. Despite GDS and VNET were up 3x for last 12...

Jacob Cheng

VNET: A Leader in IDC Market, Transforming from a Traditional Operator to Wholesale Operator

China data center service is growing rapidly, and we believe VNET is positioned to capture this market. VNET is on the path transforming from...

Jacob Cheng

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK): Now Overshot To The Downside

I'd look to get some exposure here. But I wouldn't chase it. I doubt the days of large share price gyrations are a thing of the past.

David Blennerhassett

Tactical Trading – Adding AI Infrastructure to the China Tech Trade

​HSTECH index showing increased momentum as market approaches Deepseek high. We look at some AI infrastructure beneficiaries

Rikki Malik

RE Stock Implications from Fed's Rate Cut and HK PA: Focus on Big Picture, Macro and Sector Drivers

Investors should see through Fed's 25bps rate cut and HK's Policy Address, and focus on macro development, geopolitical risks, as well as sector...

Jacob Cheng

Implication of Deepseek on China Data Centers: Buy GDS and VNET, Not Too Late to Chase the Rally!

We explored the recent launches of AI model, e.g. Deepseek, discuss the implication to Data Centers. Despite GDS and VNET were up 3x for last 12...

Jacob Cheng

VNET: A Leader in IDC Market, Transforming from a Traditional Operator to Wholesale Operator

China data center service is growing rapidly, and we believe VNET is positioned to capture this market. VNET is on the path transforming from...

Jacob Cheng

HSTECH index showing increased momentum as market approaches Deepseek high. We look at some AI infrastructure beneficiaries