Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Korean Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service held a press briefing, unveiling the comprehensive prohibition of short selling from the 6th November, until June 30th next year.</li>
<li>Recco or Ascendant for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys (HOLI US)</a>? Ascendant could easily get &gt;50% of shares out, and spill the board. Recco, with no shares held, looks to have a weaker hand. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12385:1" rel="noopener">Sankyo (6417 JP)</a> is cheap. It will never trade at 20x expected PER because of the nature of the business; right now, on an ex-cash basis, it trades 1.6x ex-cash PER.</li>
</ul>


The Korean Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service held a press briefing, unveiling the comprehensive prohibition of short selling from the 6th November, until June 30th next year.
Recco or Ascendant for Hollysys (HOLI US)? Ascendant could easily get &gt;50% of shares out, and spill the board. Recco, with no shares held, looks to have a weaker hand. 

Sankyo (6417 JP) is cheap. It will never trade at 20x expected PER because of the nature of the business; right now, on an ex-cash basis, it trades 1.6x ex-cash PER.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Korea's Short Selling, Hollysys, Sankyo, Descente

Melco International Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-garage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13747:1" rel="noopener">Digital Garage (4819 JP)</a> is coming up "cheap" versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP)</a>; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a> is trading "rich" to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-crown-entertainme-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:810:1" rel="noopener">Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US)</a>.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on DG and Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Digital Garage (4819 JP) is coming up "cheap" versus Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP); and Melco International Development (200 HK) is trading "rich" to Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US).
Preceding my comments on DG and Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Digital Garage Looking "Cheap". Melco's Consensus-Missing Results

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This is our second Insight into Tobila Systems - the absolute dominator in the niche of fraud/spam call and message filtering services in Japan;</li>
<li>We like the high-quality, unique assets owned by the company, although capital allocation appears to stand out as a wild card in our formula of long-term shareholder-value creation;</li>
<li>At the current level, we would hold the shares firmly and wait patiently for more opportunistic offerings from Mr. Market to accumulate more shares.</li>
</ul>


This is our second Insight into Tobila Systems - the absolute dominator in the niche of fraud/spam call and message filtering services in Japan;
We like the high-quality, unique assets owned by the company, although capital allocation appears to stand out as a wild card in our formula of long-term shareholder-value creation;
At the current level, we would hold the shares firmly and wait patiently for more opportunistic offerings from Mr. Market to accumulate more shares.


<ul>
<li>Kakaku.com Inc. can be a rare species among listed companies in Japan;</li>
<li>We had multiple email exchanges and meetings with the management team for a deep-dive view covering corporate cultural, management style, capital allocation, business model, and competitive strength.</li>
<li>We would wait for a 20%-30% pullback in the share price before looking to add to our position but would certainly remain reluctant to sell any share that we own.</li>
</ul>


Kakaku.com Inc. can be a rare species among listed companies in Japan;
We had multiple email exchanges and meetings with the management team for a deep-dive view covering corporate cultural, management style, capital allocation, business model, and competitive strength.
We would wait for a 20%-30% pullback in the share price before looking to add to our position but would certainly remain reluctant to sell any share that we own.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, things are picking up again going into the year end.</li>
<li>There were no large placement or blocks this week, although prior lockup linked blocks kept flowing through.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, things are picking up again going into the year end.
There were no large placement or blocks this week, although prior lockup linked blocks kept flowing through.


ECM Weekly (27th Nov 2022) - Growatt, Lygend, Sunshine Ins, Weilong, DPC, Daiei, Skymark, GoTo

Japan

Kakaku.com, Inc provides price comparison services and products information through its website.  The Company also provides Internet advertising services.

Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Korea's Short Selling, Hollysys, Sankyo, Descente

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Digital Garage Looking "Cheap". Melco's Consensus-Missing Results

I see Melco's discount to NAV at 22% versus a 12-month average of 38%. The NAV discount and implied stub have narrowed nicely since mid-July. For...

David Blennerhassett

Tobila Systems: A Deep-Dive View

High-quality, predictable, high-growth business with slightly questionable capital allocation; shares modestly overvalued; we would hold and wait.

Steven Chen

Kakaku.com Inc.: A Deep-Dive View

Kakaku.com Inc. has impressed us as a rare species compared to many other Japanese companies and is probably the most investable publicly-traded...

Steven Chen

ECM Weekly (27th Nov 2022) - Growatt, Lygend, Sunshine Ins, Weilong, DPC, Daiei, Skymark, GoTo

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh