Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>How have our major investment themes performed so far in 2025?</li>
<li>Review of the performance of the major markets and asset classes we focus on</li>
<li>We revisit our outlook for each of those asset classes for Q4 25</li>
</ul>


How have our major investment themes performed so far in 2025?
Review of the performance of the major markets and asset classes we focus on
We revisit our outlook for each of those asset classes for Q4 25


India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India expects steel imports to fall by 50% as new tax supports local industry. Rising demand shows the steel sector is set for strong growth.</li>
<li>India imposes five-year anti-dumping duties on Vitamin A Palmitate and Insoluble Sulphur imports to protect domestic producers, signaling stronger trade enforcement amid global competition.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/british-american-tobacco-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21828:1" rel="noopener">British American Tobacco (BATS LN)</a> plans to exit its 14.55% stake in ITC Hotels post-demerger, focusing on core operations. The move may reshape ownership and boost institutional participation.</li>
</ul>


India expects steel imports to fall by 50% as new tax supports local industry. Rising demand shows the steel sector is set for strong growth.
India imposes five-year anti-dumping duties on Vitamin A Palmitate and Insoluble Sulphur imports to protect domestic producers, signaling stronger trade enforcement amid global competition.

British American Tobacco (BATS LN) plans to exit its 14.55% stake in ITC Hotels post-demerger, focusing on core operations. The move may reshape ownership and boost institutional participation.


#163 India Insight: Steel Tax To Cut Imports By 50%, ADD on Chemicals, BAT to Exit ITC Hotel's Stake

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15577:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food (603288 CH)</a> might launch its A/H listing this week.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there were a number of large deals across the region, with notable ones in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN).</a>
</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food (603288 CH) might launch its A/H listing this week.
On the placements front, there were a number of large deals across the region, with notable ones in ITC Ltd (ITC IN) and InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN).



ECM Weekly (2 June 2025) -Indigo, ITC, EBOS, Isuzu, Foshan Haitian, Lens Tech, Seres, Schloss, Aegis

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious</li>
<li>While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).</li>
</ul>


Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.
However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious
While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).


Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

<ul>
<li>India is adapting to tougher US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains with non-sanctioned merchants, tankers, and insurance providers. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unilever-plc-9bad7ce3-0d24-469f-831a-14bf19340303" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28467:1" rel="noopener">Unilever (UL US)</a>  plans to invest in India’s beauty and wellness sector, expecting improved demand conditions mid-term after fiscal stimulus.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/british-american-tobacco-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21828:1" rel="noopener">British American Tobacco (BATS LN)</a> will divest its 15% stake in ITC Hotels at the "best moment," aiming to maximize shareholder value, following ITC Hotels demerger from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a>  earlier.</li>
</ul>


India is adapting to tougher US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains with non-sanctioned merchants, tankers, and insurance providers. 

Unilever (UL US)  plans to invest in India’s beauty and wellness sector, expecting improved demand conditions mid-term after fiscal stimulus.

British American Tobacco (BATS LN) will divest its 15% stake in ITC Hotels at the "best moment," aiming to maximize shareholder value, following ITC Hotels demerger from ITC Ltd (ITC IN)  earlier.


#103 India Insight: India Adapts to US Sanctions, Unilever Invests in Beauty, BAT to Divest

United Kingdom

British American Tobacco P.L.C. operates as a holding company for a group of companies that manufactures, markets, and sells cigarettes and other tobacco products including cigars and roll-your-own tobacco.

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British American Tobacco (BATS LN)

Q4 Outlook for Our Investment Themes

A review of the performance of how our major investment themes have performed in 2025 and our outlook for Q4 and beyond.

Rikki Malik

#163 India Insight: Steel Tax To Cut Imports By 50%, ADD on Chemicals, BAT to Exit ITC Hotel's Stake

India boosts local industry by imposing taxes on imports, signaling stronger trade enforcement. British American Tobacco plans to exit stake in...

Sudarshan Bhandari

ECM Weekly (2 June 2025) -Indigo, ITC, EBOS, Isuzu, Foshan Haitian, Lens Tech, Seres, Schloss, Aegis

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

#103 India Insight: India Adapts to US Sanctions, Unilever Invests in Beauty, BAT to Divest

India adapts to US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains; Unilever eyes investment in India's beauty sector; British American...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Q4 Outlook for Our Investment Themes

​A review of the performance of how our major investment themes have performed in 2025 and our outlook for Q4 and beyond.

Rikki Malik

#163 India Insight: Steel Tax To Cut Imports By 50%, ADD on Chemicals, BAT to Exit ITC Hotel's Stake

​India boosts local industry by imposing taxes on imports, signaling stronger trade enforcement. British American Tobacco plans to exit stake in...

Sudarshan Bhandari

ECM Weekly (2 June 2025) -Indigo, ITC, EBOS, Isuzu, Foshan Haitian, Lens Tech, Seres, Schloss, Aegis

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

#103 India Insight: India Adapts to US Sanctions, Unilever Invests in Beauty, BAT to Divest

​India adapts to US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains; Unilever eyes investment in India's beauty sector; British American...

Sudarshan Bhandari

A review of the performance of how our major investment themes have performed in 2025 and our outlook for Q4 and beyond.

India boosts local industry by imposing taxes on imports, signaling stronger trade enforcement. British American Tobacco plans to exit stake in...

India adapts to US sanctions on Russian oil by rebuilding supply chains; Unilever eyes investment in India's beauty sector; British American...