Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>This insight offers a quick look at the probability of reversal for a number of stocks and indices in the Asia/Pacific Region, plus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crude-oil" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22869:1" rel="noopener">Crude Oil (CL1)</a> </li>
<li>Both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crude-oil" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22869:1" rel="noopener">Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)</a> appear overbought, but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/key-markets-tactical-outlooks-after-israel-strike-on-iran" target="_blank" rel="noopener">as discussed in a recent insight</a>, Crude Oil can certainly go higher.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)</a> are also very overbought, detailed outlooks have been recently discussed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/s-p-asx-200-tactical-outlook-post-index-rebalance-announcement" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here (ASX200)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kospi-200-update-market-moves-after-lee-jae-myung-s-victory" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here (KOSPI200).</a>
</li>
</ul>


This insight offers a quick look at the probability of reversal for a number of stocks and indices in the Asia/Pacific Region, plus Gold (GOLD COMDTY) and Crude Oil (CL1) 
Both Gold (GOLD COMDTY) and Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY) appear overbought, but as discussed in a recent insight, Crude Oil can certainly go higher.

S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY) are also very overbought, detailed outlooks have been recently discussed here (ASX200) and here (KOSPI200).



Heat Maps: Asia/Pacific Stocks and Commodities

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>YTD our absolute return strategy is up 10,6% The Egg-Price-Bubble Has Busted!</li><li>The price of a dozen eggs in the US has crashed from $8 to $2,5 within five months - highlighting extraordinary volatility in the egg market.</li><li>For context: The rise of egg prices can be primarily contributed to the ongoing avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak that began in 2022.</li></ul>

YTD our absolute return strategy is up 10,6% The Egg-Price-Bubble Has Busted!The price of a dozen eggs in the US has crashed from $8 to $2,5 within five months - highlighting extraordinary volatility in the egg market.For context: The rise of egg prices can be primarily contributed to the ongoing avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak that began in 2022.

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Happy Wednesday from Copenhagen.</li><li>Trump now has to deal with a reality where Russia is not going to end this war without being forced to—probably always the case—but Trump allowed himself to be friend-zoned by Putin in the run-up to these peace talks.</li><li>Various media outlets have already reported that a sanctions package is being prepared to put pressure on Russia, and in the following, we’ll try to assess the potential content and ramifications of such a package.</li></ul>

Happy Wednesday from Copenhagen.Trump now has to deal with a reality where Russia is not going to end this war without being forced to—probably always the case—but Trump allowed himself to be friend-zoned by Putin in the run-up to these peace talks.Various media outlets have already reported that a sanctions package is being prepared to put pressure on Russia, and in the following, we’ll try to assess the potential content and ramifications of such a package.

The Drill: Input prices about to go Nuclear

<ul><li>Morning from Europe.</li><li>Trump’s classical stop-and-go approach to negotiations is starting to get baked into markets, but we’re still surprised by the extent of market moves when these impulsive threats are announced on Truth Social — and markets remain poor at assessing the “realistic outcomes” of this approach.</li><li>On Friday, markets at one point priced in a 40–60% probability that 50% tariffs on the EU would actually take effect on June 1.</li></ul>

Morning from Europe.Trump’s classical stop-and-go approach to negotiations is starting to get baked into markets, but we’re still surprised by the extent of market moves when these impulsive threats are announced on Truth Social — and markets remain poor at assessing the “realistic outcomes” of this approach.On Friday, markets at one point priced in a 40–60% probability that 50% tariffs on the EU would actually take effect on June 1.

Steno Signals #198 – A 20–25% Weaker USD May Solve All Trump’s Problems

<ul><li>Greetings from Copenhagen.</li><li>We’ve previously advocated a long tilt toward commodities, as both the U.S. and global growth outlooks are being repriced amid the reopening of trade and the sudden realization that the U.S., China, and even Europe have collectively slammed the deficit accelerator—rather than the brakes.</li><li>Everywhere you look, countries are ramping up fiscal spending to cushion the blow of tariffs.</li></ul>

Greetings from Copenhagen.We’ve previously advocated a long tilt toward commodities, as both the U.S. and global growth outlooks are being repriced amid the reopening of trade and the sudden realization that the U.S., China, and even Europe have collectively slammed the deficit accelerator—rather than the brakes.Everywhere you look, countries are ramping up fiscal spending to cushion the blow of tariffs.

The Drill – The Commodity “Super”cycle

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

Heat Maps: Asia/Pacific Stocks and Commodities

A synoptic view of the reversal probabilities for equities and indices across the Asia-Pacific region, as well as Gold and Crude Oil.

Nico Rosti

The Egg-Price-Bubble Has Busted!

The price of a dozen eggs in the US has crashed from $8 to $2,5 within five months - highlighting extraordinary volatility in the egg market.

The Commodity Report

The Drill: Input prices about to go Nuclear

Happy Wednesday from Copenhagen. Trump now has to deal with a reality where Russia is not going to end this war without being forced to—probably...

Steno Research

Steno Signals #198 – A 20–25% Weaker USD May Solve All Trump’s Problems

Morning from Europe. Trump’s classical stop-and-go approach to negotiations is starting to get baked into markets, but we’re still surprised by...

Steno Research

The Drill – The Commodity “Super”cycle

Greetings from Copenhagen. We’ve previously advocated a long tilt toward commodities, as both the U.S. and global growth outlooks are being...

Steno Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)