Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio outperformed its benchmark and all Hong Kong indexes in July.  The portfolio achieved these results while increasing its Sharpe ratio and reducing beta and volatility.</li>
<li>The shift to the healthcare and materials sectors since Liberation Day in April has aided the portfolio's performance.  The consumer staples sector lost momentum, and we exited some positions there.</li>
<li>The HSI now trades above its long-term resistance levels for the first time since 2022.  This signals a good time to rotate back into market leaders in tech.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio outperformed its benchmark and all Hong Kong indexes in July.  The portfolio achieved these results while increasing its Sharpe ratio and reducing beta and volatility.
The shift to the healthcare and materials sectors since Liberation Day in April has aided the portfolio's performance.  The consumer staples sector lost momentum, and we exited some positions there.
The HSI now trades above its long-term resistance levels for the first time since 2022.  This signals a good time to rotate back into market leaders in tech.


Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Eli Lilly announced positive topline results from Phase 3 trial, evaluating orforglipron, discovered by Chugai. Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical initiated Phase 3 trial of HP-6050, a transdermal formulation for sedation in Japan.</li>
<li>WuXi XDC completed GMP release of its new drug product facility in China. CSPC Pharmaceutical’s application for marketing approval of Semaglutide Injection has been accepted by the NMPA of China.</li>
<li>Junshi Biosciences’s indication expansion application for toripalimab for treatment of urothelial carcinoma has been accepted in China. Hanmi Pharma advances HM17321, a first-in-class obesity therapy, into global Phase 1 trials.</li>
</ul>


Eli Lilly announced positive topline results from Phase 3 trial, evaluating orforglipron, discovered by Chugai. Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical initiated Phase 3 trial of HP-6050, a transdermal formulation for sedation in Japan.
WuXi XDC completed GMP release of its new drug product facility in China. CSPC Pharmaceutical’s application for marketing approval of Semaglutide Injection has been accepted by the NMPA of China.
Junshi Biosciences’s indication expansion application for toripalimab for treatment of urothelial carcinoma has been accepted in China. Hanmi Pharma advances HM17321, a first-in-class obesity therapy, into global Phase 1 trials.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 10) – Chugai, Hisamitsu, Wuxi XDC, CSPC Pharma, Junshi Bio, Hanmi Pharma

<ul>
<li>Celltrion is acquiring a biopharmaceutical production plant in the U.S. capable of producing key biopharmaceuticals. Alteogen received positive opinion from European Medicines Agency for its Eylea biosimilar.</li>
<li>Wuxi Biologics has begun construction for new modular Drug Product facility in Singapore. CSPC Pharmaceutical entered into an exclusive license agreement with Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, for its oral GLP-1 drug candidate.</li>
<li>Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals has entered into agreements with GlaxoSmithKline, to grant GSK an exclusive worldwide right (excluding China) of HRS-9821 and up to 11 other programs.</li>
</ul>


Celltrion is acquiring a biopharmaceutical production plant in the U.S. capable of producing key biopharmaceuticals. Alteogen received positive opinion from European Medicines Agency for its Eylea biosimilar.
Wuxi Biologics has begun construction for new modular Drug Product facility in Singapore. CSPC Pharmaceutical entered into an exclusive license agreement with Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, for its oral GLP-1 drug candidate.
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals has entered into agreements with GlaxoSmithKline, to grant GSK an exclusive worldwide right (excluding China) of HRS-9821 and up to 11 other programs.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 3)– Celltrion, Alteogen, Wuxi Bio, CSPC, Jiangsu Hengrui, Eisai, Kissei

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

<ul>
<li>Sino Biopharmaceutical initiated Phase 1 trial for innovative drug candidate TQB6411 targeting advanced malignant tumors in China. Wuxi Biologics announced that five manufacturing facilities passed the Pre-License Inspection by FDA.</li>
<li>FDA drug advisory committee voted against Otsuka’s indication expansion application for Rexulti. Telix Pharmaceutical received a subpoena from the SEC regarding the development of prostate cancer therapeutic candidates. </li>
<li>Lupin received FDA approval for generic versions of Liraglutide and Glucagon injections. Sun Pharmaceutical announced positive top-line results from two Phase 3 trials of Ilumya in active psoriatic arthritis.</li>
</ul>


Sino Biopharmaceutical initiated Phase 1 trial for innovative drug candidate TQB6411 targeting advanced malignant tumors in China. Wuxi Biologics announced that five manufacturing facilities passed the Pre-License Inspection by FDA.
FDA drug advisory committee voted against Otsuka’s indication expansion application for Rexulti. Telix Pharmaceutical received a subpoena from the SEC regarding the development of prostate cancer therapeutic candidates. 
Lupin received FDA approval for generic versions of Liraglutide and Glucagon injections. Sun Pharmaceutical announced positive top-line results from two Phase 3 trials of Ilumya in active psoriatic arthritis.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 27) – Sino Bio, Wuxi Bio, Otsuka, Telix, Lupin, Sun Pharma

Hong Kong

Sino Biopharmaceutical is a leading, innovation-driven pharmaceutical conglomerate in China, focusing on the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of pharmaceutical products. The company specializes in therapeutic areas such as oncology, hepatology, respiratory, and cardiovascular diseases, offering both modernized Chinese and Western medicines. It was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Wanchai, Hong Kong.

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Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (July 2025)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio outperformed its benchmark and all Hong Kong indexes in July. The portfolio achieved these results while increasing...

David Mudd

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 10) – Chugai, Hisamitsu, Wuxi XDC, CSPC Pharma, Junshi Bio, Hanmi Pharma

Obesity treatment related development dominated the week, with Chugai’s drug candidate meeting Phase 3 trial goals, CSPC is a step ahead for...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 3)– Celltrion, Alteogen, Wuxi Bio, CSPC, Jiangsu Hengrui, Eisai, Kissei

Celltrion is acquiring a biopharmaceutical production plant in US. Wuxi Bio starts construction of new facility. CSPC and Jiangsu Hengrui stuck...

Tina Banerjee

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Continue Adding Exposure to China; $ACWI Short-Term Supports for this pullback: $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. Pullbacks = buy opportunities,...

Vermilion Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (July 27) – Sino Bio, Wuxi Bio, Otsuka, Telix, Lupin, Sun Pharma

Wuxi Bio’s manufacturing facilities passed FDA inspection. Otsuka’s label expansion plan for Rexulti is in jeopardy. Telix got SEC subpoena. Lupin...

Tina Banerjee

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