Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the next several weeks, the South Korean government is likely to provide details of a no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.</li>
<li>We provide a list of top 15 Korean companies that could benefit from potential no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea. </li>
<li>These 15 companies' share prices are up on average 49.2% YTD, sharply outperforming KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are up 21.2% and 15.9%, respectively YTD.</li>
</ul>


In the next several weeks, the South Korean government is likely to provide details of a no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.
We provide a list of top 15 Korean companies that could benefit from potential no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea. 
These 15 companies' share prices are up on average 49.2% YTD, sharply outperforming KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are up 21.2% and 15.9%, respectively YTD.


No Visa For Group Tour Visitors from China to South Korea Likely Starting 3Q 2025

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>You could label <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyocera-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:753:1" rel="noopener">Kyocera Corp (6971 JP)</a>"BULLISH" because the stock goes up rather than down; but you could easily label this BEARISH because the prospects aren't exciting.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>spins off <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smithfield-foods-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44251:1" rel="noopener">Smithfield Foods (SFD US)</a> - below the prior expected price range.  Pricing looks full here.</li>
<li>As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a>'s Partial Offer heads towards the pointy end, do you buy, and/or borrow, and tender; short outright; or short tender?</li>
</ul>


You could label Kyocera Corp (6971 JP)"BULLISH" because the stock goes up rather than down; but you could easily label this BEARISH because the prospects aren't exciting.

WH Group (288 HK)spins off Smithfield Foods (SFD US) - below the prior expected price range.  Pricing looks full here.
As China National Building Material (3323 HK)'s Partial Offer heads towards the pointy end, do you buy, and/or borrow, and tender; short outright; or short tender?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Kyocera, WH Group/Smithfield, CNBM, Japan Eyewear, Core Concept Tech

<ul>
<li>On 6 February, Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) launched a partial tender offer on Englewood Lab (950140 KS).</li>
<li>Cosmecca Korea announced that it plans to purchase 11% (2.185 million) of Englewood Lab's outstanding shares at the tender offer price of 10,000 won. </li>
<li>It appears that this partial tender offer is an attempt by Cosmecca Korea to increase its stake in Englewood Lab even further, capitalizing on the lower share price.</li>
</ul>


On 6 February, Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) launched a partial tender offer on Englewood Lab (950140 KS).
Cosmecca Korea announced that it plans to purchase 11% (2.185 million) of Englewood Lab's outstanding shares at the tender offer price of 10,000 won. 
It appears that this partial tender offer is an attempt by Cosmecca Korea to increase its stake in Englewood Lab even further, capitalizing on the lower share price.


A Partial Tender Offer of Englewood Lab by Cosmecca Korea

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 8 additions and 8 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 December.</li>
<li>Most of the inclusions were forecast but there is a lot of variance among the list of deletions... index committee knows best!</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fadu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39896:1" rel="noopener">Fadu (440110 KS)</a> was ignored for yet another rebalance, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snh-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12212:1" rel="noopener">Snh Inc (051980 KS)</a> has also not been included in the index.</li>
</ul>


There will be 8 additions and 8 deletions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 December.
Most of the inclusions were forecast but there is a lot of variance among the list of deletions... index committee knows best!

Fadu (440110 KS) was ignored for yet another rebalance, while Snh Inc (051980 KS) has also not been included in the index.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 8 Changes a Side; Fadu Appears to Be a 4 Letter Word

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> December rebalance complete, there could be 10 changes at the review.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.24-7.3 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.5-6.4 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> early in the review period, but there has been a small downward drift over the last 4 months.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) December rebalance complete, there could be 10 changes at the review.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.24-7.3 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.5-6.4 days of ADV.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index early in the review period, but there has been a small downward drift over the last 4 months.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side and Some Close Names

South Korea

Cosmecca Korea Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures cosmetics. The Company specializes in research and development of cosmetics. Cosmecca Korea serves customers in Korea.

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Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS)

No Visa For Group Tour Visitors from China to South Korea Likely Starting 3Q 2025

In the next several weeks, the South Korean government is likely to provide details of a no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South...

Douglas Kim

Last Week in Event SPACE: Kyocera, WH Group/Smithfield, CNBM, Japan Eyewear, Core Concept Tech

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

A Partial Tender Offer of Englewood Lab by Cosmecca Korea

Cosmecca Korea announced that it plans to purchase 11% (2.185 million) of Englewood Lab's outstanding shares at the tender offer price of 10,000 won.

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 8 Changes a Side; Fadu Appears to Be a 4 Letter Word

There are 8 changes for the KOSDAQ150 in Dec. Most of the adds are in line but there are of surprises too. Fadu has been ignored for yet another...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side and Some Close Names

We forecast 10 changes a side for the index in December. There are names that are close to market cap/liquidity thresholds. The forecast adds...

Brian Freitas

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