Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Six new deals: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property (HPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13438:1" rel="noopener">Guotai (1788 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong  (6837 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joban-kosan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2826:1" rel="noopener">Joban Kosan (9675 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dyna-mac-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16153:1" rel="noopener">Dyna Mac (DMHL SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-zinc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17944:1" rel="noopener">Korea Zinc (010130 KS)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/young-poong-precision-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16188:1" rel="noopener">Young Poong Precision (036560 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hulic-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:388:1" rel="noopener">Hulic (3003 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/namoi-cotton-co-operative" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10711:1" rel="noopener">Namoi Cotton Co Operative (NAM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/descente-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8225:1" rel="noopener">Descente (8114 JP)</a>, &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silverlake-axis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14150:1" rel="noopener">Silverlake Axis (SILV SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Six new deals: Hotel Property (HPI AU), Guotai (1788 HK)/Haitong  (6837 HK), Joban Kosan (9675 JP), Dyna Mac (DMHL SP), Korea Zinc (010130 KS)/Young Poong Precision (036560 KS), Hulic (3003 JP).
Key updates took place on Namoi Cotton Co Operative (NAM AU), Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Fuji Soft (9749 JP), Descente (8114 JP), &amp; Silverlake Axis (SILV SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Seven & I, Hotel Property, Hulic, Joban Kosan, Dyna Mac, Fuji Soft, Descente

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a>, two of China's leading state-backed brokerages, <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0905/2024090502014.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">intend to merge</a>r via a share swap, subject to regulatory approvals.</li>
<li>Via a Merger by Absorption. GJS will issue new A and H shares to Haitong shareholders. The ratio hasn't been firmed. Upon completion, the MergeCo creates China's largest securities entity.</li>
<li>A merger is welcome - possibly mandated - amid challenging capital markets and a tightening regulatory backdrop.</li>
</ul>



Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK), two of China's leading state-backed brokerages, intend to merger via a share swap, subject to regulatory approvals.
Via a Merger by Absorption. GJS will issue new A and H shares to Haitong shareholders. The ratio hasn't been firmed. Upon completion, the MergeCo creates China's largest securities entity.
A merger is welcome - possibly mandated - amid challenging capital markets and a tightening regulatory backdrop.


Guotai Junan (2611 HK) & Haitong (6837 HK) Merger Creates China's Major Player

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>On 6 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a> entered a legally binding agreement to merge through absorption and share exchange. </li>
<li>The high-profile merger aligns with the Chinese government’s ambition to reform the brokerage sector and create world-class investment banks. The merger would result in the largest China broker by assets.</li>
<li>In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.</li>
</ul>


On 6 September, Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) entered a legally binding agreement to merge through absorption and share exchange. 
The high-profile merger aligns with the Chinese government’s ambition to reform the brokerage sector and create world-class investment banks. The merger would result in the largest China broker by assets.
In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.


Haitong Securities (6837 HK): Evaluating the Potential Merger with GTJA (2611 HK)

Travis Lundy

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>BIG Net SOUTHBOUND inflow continues. Notable in the past four weeks are US$1.9bn of net flow to Energy Hs and US$2.2bn to Banks in the H side of H/A Pairs.</li>
<li>AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads, and the recent HA Premium bounce has lost momentum.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
BIG Net SOUTHBOUND inflow continues. Notable in the past four weeks are US$1.9bn of net flow to Energy Hs and US$2.2bn to Banks in the H side of H/A Pairs.
AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads, and the recent HA Premium bounce has lost momentum.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 21 Jun 2024):  AH Premia Stabilising Lower, Can Move A Leg Lower Still

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's buy streak continues unabated. NORTHBOUND was heavy to sell. Only Tech bought. Consumer sold heavily.</li>
<li>AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's buy streak continues unabated. NORTHBOUND was heavy to sell. Only Tech bought. Consumer sold heavily.
AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Jun 2024):  H Underperform A; the More Liquid, the Worse the Performance.

China

Guotai Junan Securities Co.,Ltd. provides financial services. The Company offers corporate finance, fixed income securities, asset management, risk management, and other services. Guotai Junan Securities Company serves clients throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Seven & I, Hotel Property, Hulic, Joban Kosan, Dyna Mac, Fuji Soft, Descente

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Guotai Junan (2611 HK) & Haitong (6837 HK) Merger Creates China's Major Player

A Guotai Junan (2611 HK)/Haitong (6837 HK) merger is welcome - possibly mandated - amid challenging capital markets and a tightening regulatory...

David Blennerhassett

Haitong Securities (6837 HK): Evaluating the Potential Merger with GTJA (2611 HK)

In this note, we evaluate the potential share exchange ratio and the risks to satisfying the conditions for implementing the potential merger.

Arun George

A/H Premium Tracker (To 21 Jun 2024): AH Premia Stabilising Lower, Can Move A Leg Lower Still

The Quiddity AH Monitor shows that while AH Premia have spent weeks "bouncing" off multi-year lows, the rebound impetus is slowing. There's room...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Jun 2024): H Underperform A; the More Liquid, the Worse the Performance.

AH Premia up on the week, with Hs underperforming their As by 0.7% on average, 1.2% on liquid pairs. Securities Selection Alpha +0.45% on the week...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)